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8-K ·Filed Oct 6, 2026

CCXI

Churchill Capital Corp XI
NEUTRAL
Impact 5/10
Horizonmonths Processed20d ago SEC0001213900-26-107259
8-K context-dependent: Items 7.01
Actionable Insight • Neutral

Monitor the S-4 registration statement effectiveness and shareholder vote timeline for the Churchill-Agility business combination. The $300M order book and 9 customer deployments provide a baseline to track conversion to revenue post-close, but Digit 5 is not yet commercially available and the company has yet to achieve positive operating cash flow.

DirectionNeutral
Confidencehigh
Horizonmonths
Latest settled — T+5d ⚠ clustered
CCXI ▼ -3.65% at T+5d
NEUTRAL call -3.65% · α vs SPY -2.67% · entry $11.24 → $10.83
Next anchor: T+20d in 8d
Latest observation: T+12 +4.12% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Oct 6, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-1.78%
call -1.78% · α -1.36%
$11.04
settled 19d ago
T+5d
-3.65%
call -3.65% · α -2.67%
$10.83
settled 13d ago
T+20d
Pending
in 8d
T+60d
Pending
in 2mo

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Churchill Capital Corp XI (CCXI) filed an 8-K furnishing an investor presentation from Agility Robotics' Analyst & Investor Day held on October 6, 2026, in connection with their proposed business combination. The presentation details Agility's commercial humanoid robot business, including $300M+ in committed orders for Digit 5, 9 customer facility deployments, and a planned 4Q 2026 public listing on Nasdaq with a $2.5B pre-money equity value and $620M in gross proceeds. The filing is a routine Regulation FD disclosure of the investor materials and does not contain new financial results or material changes to the previously announced transaction terms.

Key Facts

  • Agility held an Analyst & Investor Day on October 6, 2026, in connection with the proposed business combination with Churchill Capital Corp XI.
  • Agility reports $300M+ in committed orders for Digit 5 (as of May 2026), representing potential multi-year value for 1,000 robots under a 3-year RaaS contract.
  • Agility has 9 committed customer facility deployments and 65,000 hours of operations.
  • Digit 5 is planned for 2027 release with cooperative safety features, up to 50 lbs lifting capacity, and ~22 hours max battery output.
  • The proposed transaction implies a $2.5B pre-money equity value for Agility and $620M in gross proceeds, with ~$200M incremental capital anchored by Foxconn.
  • Agility aims to be publicly traded in 4Q 2026 on Nasdaq under ticker AGLT.
  • RoboFab in Salem, Oregon has 10,000 annual robot production capacity.
  • Agility has raised >$390M in total equity since inception (as of May 2026, excluding grants).

Financial Impact

Transaction valued at $2.5B pre-money equity value with $620M gross proceeds; $300M+ committed orders for Digit 5 (not current revenue). No historical financial results disclosed.

pre-money valuationgross proceedscommitted orders

Risk Factors

  • Digit 5 remains under development and is not yet commercially available; commercial launch may be delayed.
  • Agility has a limited operating history and has not achieved positive operating cash flow.
  • The $300M+ committed orders are subject to contractual milestones and may not convert into revenue.
  • Intense competition from well-funded entrants including Tesla, Figure AI, and Boston Dynamics.
  • Redemption risk from Churchill shareholders could reduce available cash post-transaction.

Investment Themes

Traditional Finance

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 5 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001213900-26-107259
Document: ea0307842-8k425_church11.htm0001213900-26-107259
Document: 0001213900-26-107259-index-headers.html0001213900-26-107259
Document: 0001213900-26-107259-index.html0001213900-26-107259
Document: 0001213900-26-107259.txt0001213900-26-107259
20 reports for CCXI
Performance horizon
20% Hit rate @ T+1 2 of 10 directional calls Went positive at some point 2 of 10 best @ T+1▲ +4.80%Oct 13, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for CCXI — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 26, 2026
today
425
BULLISH ★ 5/10
—awaiting T+1——
Oct 22, 2026
4d ago
425
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$10.26 $10.25▼ −0.10%▼ −0.81%$10.25 (−0.10%)
Oct 22, 2026
4d ago
425
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$10.27 $10.26▼ −0.10%▲ +0.42%$10.25 (−0.19%)
Oct 20, 2026
5d ago
425
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$10.35 $10.27▼ −0.77%▲ +0.41%$10.25 (−0.97%)
Oct 20, 2026
5d ago
425
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$10.35 $10.27▼ −0.77%▲ +0.41%$10.25 (−0.97%)
Oct 19, 2026
7d ago
425
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$10.36 $10.35▼ −0.05%▼ −0.57%$10.25 (−1.01%)
Oct 14, 2026
12d ago
EFFECT
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$10.83 $11.35▲ +4.80%▲ +4.52%$10.25 (−5.36%)
Oct 13, 2026
13d ago
425
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$10.83 $11.35▲ +4.80%▲ +4.52%$10.25 (−5.36%)
Oct 13, 2026
13d ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$10.83 $11.35▲ +4.80%▲ +4.52%$10.25 (−5.36%)
Oct 8, 2026
17d ago
425
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$10.93 $10.78▼ −1.37%▼ −1.31%$10.25 (−6.22%)
Showing 10 of 20

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Market Closed — Opens Tue (15h 57m)

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Report published Oct 6, 2026