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PRESS-RELEASE ·Filed Sep 23, 2026

CBRL

Cracker Barrel Old Country Store, Inc.
BULLISH
Impact 6/10
Horizonweeks Processed1mo ago WireGlobeNewswire
Press release · Earnings
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

The FY2027 adjusted EBITDA guidance of $180-200M implies a meaningful step-up from FY2026's $147.7M, driven by expected 3-5% comparable restaurant sales growth and margin recovery. Monitor Q1 FY2027 same-store sales trends and commodity/wage inflation for confirmation of the guidance trajectory.

DirectionBullish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+20d ⚠ clustered
CBRL ▲ +38.36% at T+20d
LONG call ✓ call won +38.36% · α vs SPY +37.68% · entry $47.52 → $65.75
Next anchor: T+60d in 7w
Latest observation: T+22 +48.49% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Sep 23, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+9.09%
call +9.09% · α +9.17%
$51.84
settled 5w ago
T+5d
+10.73%
call +10.73% · α +11.41%
$52.62
settled 27d ago
T+20d
+38.36%
call +38.36% · α +37.68%
$65.75
settled 6d ago
T+60d
Pending
in 7w

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Cracker Barrel reported Q4 FY2026 adjusted EPS of $0.99, well above the $0.17 consensus, and provided FY2027 adjusted EBITDA guidance of $180-200M. Revenue of $849.3M slightly beat the $845.0M consensus but declined 2.2% YoY. The strong EPS beat was driven by a $47.4M sale-leaseback gain, tariff refunds, and cost controls, while underlying comparable restaurant sales fell 2.1%.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
$0.99
est $0.17 · +482.4%
Revenue
$849.3M
est $845.0M · +0.5% · -2.2% YoY
Rating
strong beat
Guidance
$3.325B-$3.4B
initiated
Free Cash Flow
$90.9M

Key Facts

  • Adjusted EPS $0.99 vs consensus $0.17 (+482% beat)
  • Revenue $849.3M vs consensus $845.0M (+0.5% beat), but -2.2% YoY
  • FY2027 adjusted EBITDA guidance $180-200M vs FY2026 $147.7M (up 22-35%)
  • Comparable restaurant sales -2.1% YoY; comparable retail sales +0.7% YoY
  • Total debt reduced to $337.2M from $484.6M; leverage ratio 1.7x
  • Sale-leaseback on 26 stores generated $77M net proceeds used for debt paydown
  • Divested Maple Street Biscuit Company on July 20, 2026
  • Quarterly dividend maintained at $0.25/share

Financial Impact

Adjusted EPS beat consensus by $0.82 (482%); FY2027 adjusted EBITDA guidance midpoint $190M implies ~29% YoY growth

epsrevenueebitdadebtcomparable store sales

Risk Factors

  • FY2027 guidance assumes 3-5% comparable restaurant sales growth, which may prove optimistic given the -2.1% Q4 trend
  • Commodity inflation of ~3% and wage inflation of 2.5-3% could pressure margins if sales growth disappoints
  • The adjusted EPS beat was heavily influenced by one-time items (sale-leaseback gain, tariff refunds, MSBC divestiture) that may not recur

Investment Themes

Consumer & Retail

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 press release from GlobeNewswire.

DocumentAccession Number
PRESS-RELEASE Data (Synthetic)press-prn-302886679
10 reports for CBRL
Performance horizon
75% Hit rate @ T+20 3 of 4 directional calls Went positive at some point 4 of 5 best @ T+20▲ +38.36%Sep 23, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for CBRL — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 6, 2026
20d ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$56.40awaiting T+20—$67.79 (+20.20%)
Oct 6, 2026
20d ago
DEF 14A
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$56.40awaiting T+20—$67.79 (−20.20%)
Sep 23, 2026
4w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$47.52 $65.75▲ +38.36%▲ +37.68%$67.79 (+42.66%)
Sep 23, 2026
4w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$47.52 $65.75▲ +38.36%▲ +37.68%$67.79 (+42.66%)
Aug 19, 2026
9w ago
Court Ruling
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$55.13 $45.06▲ +18.27%▲ +18.15%$67.79 (−22.96%)
Aug 14, 2026
10w ago
Institutional Cluster
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$59.04 $45.15▼ −23.53%▼ −21.55%$67.79 (+14.82%)
Jul 27, 2026
13w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$52.43 $58.02▲ +10.66%▲ +7.36%$67.79 (+29.30%)
Jun 9, 2026
19w ago
8-K
MIXED ★ 6/10
$44.49 $49.51▲ +11.28%▲ +7.66%$67.79 (+52.37%)
Jun 1, 2026
21w ago
Court Ruling
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$33.88 $54.63▲ +61.25%▲ +62.82%$67.79 (+100.11%)
Mar 4, 2026
33w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$30.81 $28.65▲ +7.02%▲ +3.23%$67.79 (−120.03%)
Showing 10 of 10

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Report published Sep 23, 2026