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8-K ·Filed Sep 23, 2026

CBRL

CRACKER BARREL OLD COUNTRY STORE, INC
BULLISH
Impact 6/10
Horizonmonths Processed1mo ago SEC0001104659-26-109812
8-K Item 2.02: Earnings release
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

The FY2027 guidance implies a meaningful operational turnaround with comp sales swinging from -2.1% to +3-5% and adjusted EBITDA growing 22-35%. The debt reduction and sale-leaseback strengthen the balance sheet. Watch the Q1 FY2027 results for early evidence of whether the comp guidance is achievable.

DirectionBullish
Confidencehigh
Horizonmonths
Latest settled — T+20d
CBRL ▲ +38.36% at T+20d
LONG call ✓ call won +38.36% · α vs SPY +37.68% · entry $47.52 → $65.75
Next anchor: T+60d in 7w
Latest observation: T+22 +48.49% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Sep 23, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+9.09%
call +9.09% · α +9.17%
$51.84
settled 5w ago
T+5d
+10.73%
call +10.73% · α +11.41%
$52.62
settled 27d ago
T+20d
+38.36%
call +38.36% · α +37.68%
$65.75
settled 6d ago
T+60d
Pending
in 7w

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Cracker Barrel reported Q4 FY2026 results with revenue of $849.3M (-2.2% YoY) and GAAP EPS of $0.54, while adjusted EPS was $0.99. The company provided FY2027 guidance for revenue of $3.325B-$3.4B and adjusted EBITDA of $180M-$200M, implying a significant improvement from FY2026's $147.7M. The quarter included the divestiture of Maple Street Biscuit Company and a sale-leaseback transaction that generated $77M in net proceeds for debt reduction. Total debt was reduced to $337.2M from $484.6M at FY2025 year-end.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
$0.99
est $0.20 · +395.0%
Revenue
$849.3M
est $845.0M · +0.5% · -2.2% YoY
Rating
strong beat
Guidance
$3.325B-$3.4B
initiated

Key Facts

  • Q4 FY2026 revenue was $849.3M, down 2.2% YoY from $868.0M
  • GAAP diluted EPS was $0.54 vs $0.30 in prior year quarter; adjusted diluted EPS was $0.99 vs $0.74
  • Adjusted EBITDA was $62.1M, up from $55.7M in prior year quarter, including $9.1M in tariff refunds
  • FY2027 guidance: revenue $3.325B-$3.4B (implying 0.2%-2.5% growth), adjusted EBITDA $180M-$200M (22%-35% growth)
  • Comparable store restaurant sales guidance of 3%-5% growth for FY2027 vs -2.1% in Q4 FY2026
  • Total debt reduced to $337.2M from $484.6M at FY2025 year-end; consolidated total leverage ratio of 1.7x
  • Completed sale-leaseback of 26 stores for $77M net proceeds, deployed toward debt reduction
  • Divested Maple Street Biscuit Company (52 locations) during Q4
  • Quarterly dividend maintained at $0.25 per share

Financial Impact

FY2027 adjusted EBITDA guidance of $180M-$200M represents 22%-35% growth vs FY2026's $147.7M, driven by expected comparable restaurant sales growth of 3%-5% and no new store openings

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Risk Factors

  • FY2027 guidance depends on achieving 3-5% comparable restaurant sales growth after four consecutive quarters of declines
  • Commodity inflation of ~3% and wage inflation of 2.5-3.0% could pressure margins if revenue growth falls short
  • No new store openings planned for FY2027 limits growth levers if traffic improvement stalls
  • CEO transition to David Deno (effective August 10, 2026) introduces execution risk during turnaround

Investment Themes

Consumer & Retail

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 6 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001104659-26-109812
Document: tm2625926d1_8k.htm0001104659-26-109812
Document: 0001104659-26-109812-index-headers.html0001104659-26-109812
Document: 0001104659-26-109812-index.html0001104659-26-109812
Document: 0001104659-26-109812.txt0001104659-26-109812
8-K Data (Synthetic)0001104659-26-109812
10 reports for CBRL
Performance horizon
75% Hit rate @ T+20 3 of 4 directional calls Went positive at some point 4 of 5 best @ T+20▲ +38.36%Sep 23, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for CBRL — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 6, 2026
21d ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$56.40awaiting T+20—$68.19 (+20.90%)
Oct 6, 2026
21d ago
DEF 14A
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$56.40awaiting T+20—$68.19 (−20.90%)
Sep 23, 2026
4w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$47.52 $65.75▲ +38.36%▲ +37.68%$68.19 (+43.50%)
Sep 23, 2026
4w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$47.52 $65.75▲ +38.36%▲ +37.68%$68.19 (+43.50%)
Aug 19, 2026
9w ago
Court Ruling
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$55.13 $45.06▲ +18.27%▲ +18.15%$68.19 (−23.69%)
Aug 14, 2026
10w ago
Institutional Cluster
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$59.04 $45.15▼ −23.53%▼ −21.55%$68.19 (+15.50%)
Jul 27, 2026
13w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$52.43 $58.02▲ +10.66%▲ +7.36%$68.19 (+30.06%)
Jun 9, 2026
20w ago
8-K
MIXED ★ 6/10
$44.49 $49.51▲ +11.28%▲ +7.66%$68.19 (+53.27%)
Jun 1, 2026
21w ago
Court Ruling
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$33.88 $54.63▲ +61.25%▲ +62.82%$68.19 (+101.29%)
Mar 4, 2026
33w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$30.81 $28.65▲ +7.02%▲ +3.23%$68.19 (−121.33%)
Showing 10 of 10

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Wed (< 1m)

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Report published Sep 23, 2026