Institutional Cluster

CAR

AVIS BUDGET GROUP, INC.
BEARISH
Impact 5/10
Horizonweeks Processed1mo ago
Institutional cluster: 5 buyers, 7 sellers (mixed)
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

The cluster signals continued institutional distribution, particularly by a large holder (Assenagon) that nearly exited. Monitor for further selling pressure and any earnings or sector catalysts that could reverse the trend. The lack of insider buying weakens the conviction of the small buying cohort.

DirectionBearish
Confidencemedium
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+20d
CAR ▼ -3.44% at T+20d
SHORT call ✓ call won +3.44% · α vs SPY +2.53% · entry $138.61 → $133.84
Next anchor: T+60d in 4w
Latest observation: T+38 +15.82% FF3 residual α
Entry anchored
Aug 7, 04:00 PM ET
via 1-min bar
T+1d
+1.48%
call -1.48% · α -1.80%
$140.66
settled 8w ago
T+5d
+1.94%
call -1.94% · α -1.99%
$141.30
settled 7w ago
T+20d
-3.44%
call +3.44% · α +2.53%
$133.84
settled 28d ago
T+60d
—
call — · α —
—
in 4w

Executive Summary

Institutional cluster for CAR shows net selling of ~$39.2M in Q2 2026, with 7 sellers reducing positions by $49.7M against 5 buyers adding $10.5M. The largest seller, Assenagon Asset Management, nearly exited a $46M position, while Russell Investments doubled a smaller stake to $7.7M. The bearish tilt is reinforced by the absence of insider buying (confluence score 33/100, institutions only).

Key Financial Metrics

Direction
distributing
Buy Value
$12.4M
Sell Value
$49.7M
Net Flow
-$39.2M

Institutional Positions

Net institutional flow: -$39.2M

▲ Buyers (5)

InstitutionActionChangePosition ValueValue Δ
Russell Investments GroupDOUBLED+2014.5%$7.7M$7.3M
Walleye CapitalDOUBLED+159844.4%$2.1M$2.1M

▼ Sellers (7)

InstitutionActionChangePrev ValueValue Δ
Assenagon Asset ManagementNEAR_EXIT-88.5%$46.0M-$40.7M
Bank Of New York MellonTRIM-27.2%$20.6M-$5.4M

Key Facts

  • 7 institutional sellers reduced holdings by $49.7M; 5 buyers added $10.5M (net outflow ~$39.2M)
  • Assenagon Asset Management nearly exited, cutting 88.5% of its position (value dropped from $46.0M to $5.4M)
  • Russell Investments Group doubled its stake to $7.7M (largest buyer by value)
  • No open-market insider buying detected in the window; cluster is institutions-only
  • Historical calibration suggests over-scoring risk for bullish calls on CAR (38% win rate at T+20)

Financial Impact

Net institutional outflow of approximately $39.2M in Q2 2026, representing ~0.8% of CAR's $5.0B market cap

institutional ownershipfloat

Risk Factors

  • Further institutional selling could pressure the stock
  • 13F data is 45+ days stale; positions may have already been adjusted
  • Historical long calls on CAR have underperformed (38% win rate at T+20)

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Services-Auto Rental & Leasing (No Drivers)
Analyst Consensus
0% bullish (16 analysts)

Investment Themes

Services

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 institutional 13F filing from SEC EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
INST-CLUSTER Data (Synthetic)inst-cluster-CAR-2026-Q2
10 reports for CAR
Performance horizon
40% Hit rate 2 of 5 directional calls best @ T+60▲ +51.63%Feb 20, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for CAR — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Aug 9, 2026
7w ago
Institutional Cluster
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$138.61 $133.84▲ +3.44%▲ +2.53%—
Jul 13, 2026
11w ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 8/10
$159.78 $140.66▲ +11.97%▲ +14.46%—
Jun 22, 2026
14w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$190.46 $159.52▼ −16.24%▼ −17.40%—
May 29, 2026
17w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$169.36 $147.83▼ −12.71%▼ −11.41%—
Apr 23, 2026
23w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$229.14 $152.80▼ −33.32%▼ −37.95%—
Apr 22, 2026
23w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$229.14 $152.80▼ −33.32%▼ −37.95%—
Mar 27, 2026
26w ago
424B5
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$135.56 $182.01▼ −34.27%▼ −21.67%—
Mar 27, 2026
26w ago
S-3ASR
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$135.56 $182.01▲ +34.27%▲ +21.67%—
Feb 20, 2026
32w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$96.47 $99.90▲ +3.56%▲ +9.51%—
Feb 20, 2026
32w ago
Insider Cluster
BULLISH ★ 8/10
$96.47 $99.90▲ +3.56%▲ +9.51%—
Showing 10 of 10

US Market Status

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Report published Aug 9, 2026