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Institutional Cluster

BXMT

BLACKSTONE MORTGAGE TRUST, INC.
MIXED
Impact 6/10
Horizonweeks Processed2mo ago
Institutional cluster: 7 buyers, 6 sellers (mixed)
Actionable Insight ◆ Mixed

The mixed institutional signal suggests uncertainty around BXMT's credit trajectory. Watch for Q3 2026 earnings for further credit quality data — if CECL reserves stabilize or decline, the active manager buying thesis (stable dividend coverage) could gain traction. If impairments continue rising, expect further institutional distribution. The 1 insider open-market buy of $143K provides mild support but is not decisive.

DirectionMixed
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+20d
BXMT ▼ -6.60% at T+20d
NEUTRAL call -6.60% · α vs SPY -4.62% · entry $14.24 → $13.30
Next anchor: T+60d in 13d
Latest observation: T+48 -4.00% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Aug 15, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-0.42%
call -0.42% · α +0.25%
$14.18
settled 2mo ago
T+5d
-0.84%
call -0.84% · α +0.35%
$14.12
settled 2mo ago
T+20d
-6.60%
call -6.60% · α -4.62%
$13.30
settled 6w ago
T+60d
Pending
in 13d

Executive Summary

Institutional activity in BXMT for Q2 2026 was mixed: 7 buyers added $9.9M in new positions while 6 sellers reduced holdings by $14.8M, for a net outflow of ~$4.9M. Active asset managers (Nuveen, Russell, Citigroup, Florida SBA) accumulated shares, likely attracted by stable dividend coverage (Distributable EPS of $0.48 covering the $0.47 dividend), while Goldman Sachs and smaller advisors trimmed on credit quality concerns (CECL reserves rising $106M to $410M with three new impaired loans). The net negative flow and credit deterioration tilt the balance slightly bearish, though the buying by multiple active managers provides a counterweight.

Key Financial Metrics

Direction
mixed
Buy Value
$68.4M
Sell Value
$14.8M
Net Flow
-$4.9M

Institutional Positions

Net institutional flow: -$4.9M

▲ Buyers (7)

InstitutionActionChangePosition ValueValue Δ
NuveenADD+41.5%$14.0M$2.8M
Morgan StanleyADD+26.3%$47.9M$5.0M
CitigroupDOUBLED+257.5%$1.4M$964.0K
Russell Investments GroupADD+45.4%$3.6M$794.0K
State Board Of Administration Of FloridaADD+48%$1.2M$291.0K

▼ Sellers (6)

InstitutionActionChangePrev ValueValue Δ
Goldman SachsTRIM-31.6%$27.5M-$10.8M
First Trust AdvisorsTRIM-41.4%$3.5M-$1.7M
Pnc Financial Services GroupTRIM-56.1%$2.2M-$1.4M
Kestra Advisory ServicesTRIM-28.1%$1.4M-$515.5K
Private Advisor GroupTRIM-27.5%$1.0M-$375.3K

Key Facts

  • 7 institutional buyers added $9.9M in new BXMT positions in Q2 2026
  • 6 institutional sellers reduced holdings by $14.8M, led by Goldman Sachs trimming $10.8M
  • Net institutional outflow of ~$4.9M for the quarter
  • Nuveen was the largest buyer, adding $2.8M (41.5% increase to 828K shares)
  • Goldman Sachs was the largest seller, reducing $10.8M (31.6% decrease to 984K shares)
  • Cross-filing context: Q2 2026 earnings showed GAAP net loss of $0.48/share but Distributable EPS of $0.48 covering the dividend
  • Credit quality deterioration: CECL reserves rose $106M to $410M with three new impaired loans

Financial Impact

Net institutional outflow of ~$4.9M in Q2 2026, with $9.9M in buying offset by $14.8M in selling

institutional_ownershipnet_flowcredit_quality

Risk Factors

  • Further credit deterioration could accelerate institutional selling
  • Dividend cut risk if Distributable EPS falls below the $0.47 quarterly payout
  • Book value decline ($19.31 from $20.20) signals ongoing asset quality headwinds

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Real Estate Investment Trusts
Analyst Consensus
73% bullish (15 analysts)

Investment Themes

Real Estate

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 institutional 13F filing from SEC EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
INST-CLUSTER Data (Synthetic)inst-cluster-BXMT-2026-Q2
2 reports for BXMT
Performance horizon
Filters
Rows
Reports for BXMT — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Aug 15, 2026
10w ago
Institutional Cluster
MIXED ★ 6/10
$14.24 $13.30▼ −6.60%▼ −4.62%—
Jul 30, 2026
12w ago
8-K
MIXED ★ 5/10
$14.97 $13.81▼ −7.75%▼ −11.71%—
Showing 2 of 2

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens in 1h 52m

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Report published Aug 15, 2026