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8-K ·Filed Jul 30, 2026

BXMT

BLACKSTONE MORTGAGE TRUST, INC.
MIXED
Impact 5/10
Horizonweeks Processed2mo ago SEC0001061630-26-000071
8-K Item 2.02: Earnings release
Actionable Insight ◆ Mixed

Core distributable earnings of $0.48/share remain stable and cover the dividend, but rising CECL reserves ($410M) and declining book value ($19.31) signal ongoing credit stress, particularly in office. Watch for further watchlist migration and the pace of portfolio rotation into residential/industrial to offset legacy office exposure.

DirectionMixed
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d ⚠ clustered
BXMT ▼ -29.19% at T+60d
NEUTRAL call -29.19% · α vs SPY -31.66% · entry $14.97 → $10.60
Entry = T+0 close
Jul 30, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-2.87%
call -2.87% · α -3.58%
$14.54
settled 3mo ago
T+5d
-7.55%
call -7.55% · α -11.17%
$13.84
settled 3mo ago
T+20d
-7.75%
call -7.75% · α -11.71%
$13.81
settled 2mo ago
T+60d
-29.19%
call -29.19% · α -31.66%
$10.60
settled 4d ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

BXMT reported Q2 2026 GAAP net loss of $0.48 per share, but Distributable EPS prior to realized gains and losses was $0.48, covering the $0.47 dividend. Credit quality deteriorated with CECL reserves rising $106M to $410M and three new impaired loans, though portfolio turnover remains active with $1.4B in new investments and $1.2B in repayments. The core earnings power is stable, but rising credit provisions and a declining book value ($19.31 from $20.20) signal ongoing asset quality headwinds.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
$0.31
est $0.36 · -13.9%
Revenue
$158.1M
+18.3% YoY
Rating
in line

Key Facts

  • GAAP net loss of $81.2M or $(0.48) per share vs. $0.04 EPS in Q2 2025
  • Distributable EPS prior to realized gains and losses was $0.48, covering the $0.47 dividend
  • CECL reserves increased by $106M QoQ to $410M, including $219M of asset-specific reserves
  • Book value per share fell to $19.31 from $20.20 in Q1 2026
  • Loan portfolio 97% performing; three new impaired loans added (two office)
  • Q2 investments of $1.4B, with $1.2B in loan repayments (99% pre-2023 originations)
  • Debt-to-equity ratio of 3.9x; issued $0.5B Senior Secured Notes due 2031
  • Liquidity of $1.2B; 88% non-MTM debt with no capital markets MTM provisions

Financial Impact

CECL reserves increased $106M QoQ to $410M; book value declined $0.89 per share QoQ

book valuecredit reservesnet incomedistributable earnings

Risk Factors

  • Further credit deterioration in office loans driving additional CECL reserve builds
  • Book value erosion continuing if realized losses exceed current reserve levels
  • Dividend sustainability if distributable earnings decline from current $0.48 level

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Real Estate Investment Trusts
Analyst Consensus
80% bullish (15 analysts)

Investment Themes

Real Estate

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 7 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001061630-26-000071
Exhibit: exhibit9922q26.htm0001061630-26-000071
Document: a8-kexhibit9912q2026.htm0001061630-26-000071
Document: 0001061630-26-000071-index-headers.html0001061630-26-000071
Document: 0001061630-26-000071-index.html0001061630-26-000071
Document: 0001061630-26-000071.txt0001061630-26-000071
8-K Data (Synthetic)0001061630-26-000071
2 reports for BXMT
Performance horizon
Filters
Rows
Reports for BXMT — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Aug 15, 2026
10w ago
Institutional Cluster
MIXED ★ 6/10
$14.24 $13.30▼ −6.60%▼ −4.62%$10.60 (−25.56%)
Jul 30, 2026
12w ago
8-K
MIXED ★ 5/10
$14.97 $13.81▼ −7.75%▼ −11.71%$10.60 (−29.19%)
Showing 2 of 2

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Report published Jul 30, 2026