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424B5 ·Filed Sep 29, 2026

BXBL

BOXABL Inc.
BEARISH
Impact 6/10
Horizonweeks Processed27d 21h ago SEC0001493152-26-044957
Notable filing: 424B5
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

Monitor ATM sales velocity via periodic 424B5 filings and volume patterns. The combination of a $100M ATM, $500M shelf, and insider resale registration creates persistent overhang. Any acceleration of ATM usage would signal urgent cash needs and further pressure the stock.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+5d
BXBL ▲ +0.31% at T+5d
SHORT call ✗ call lost -0.31% · α vs SPY +1.61% · entry $3.27 → $3.28
Next anchor: T+20d due 10h ago
Latest observation: T+17 -19.71% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Sep 29, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-1.83%
call +1.83% · α +2.01%
$3.21
settled 27d ago
T+5d
+0.31%
call -0.31% · α +1.61%
$3.28
settled 21d ago
T+20d
Pending
due 10h ago
T+60d
Pending
in 8w

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

BOXABL filed Amendment No. 1 to its ATM prospectus supplement, correcting the S-3 filing date and restating the dilution table. The ATM allows for up to $100M in Class A common stock sales, with an illustrative 25.1M shares at $3.98/share. The correction filing itself is administrative, but the underlying $100M ATM program represents material potential dilution given the company's pre-revenue status and existing insider overhang.

Key Facts

  • ATM sales agreement for up to $100M of Class A common stock with five placement agents
  • Illustrative sale of 25,125,628 shares at $3.98/share would raise ~$100M gross proceeds
  • Pro forma net tangible book value per share would increase from $0.18 to $0.55
  • New investors would experience immediate dilution of $3.43 per share at the assumed price
  • As of September 23, 2026, there were 9,471,524 Class A shares and 232,083,710 Class B shares outstanding
  • Filing corrects a date error (S-3 filed July 27, not September 27) and restates dilution figures
  • Cross-filing context shows a $500M S-3 shelf filed in July 2026 with full insider liquidation intent

Financial Impact

Up to $100M in potential equity dilution via ATM; illustrative 25.1M new shares represent ~265% of current Class A float

dilutionnet tangible book valueshare count

Risk Factors

  • Massive dilution: 25.1M new shares vs 9.5M Class A shares outstanding
  • Insider selling overhang from SPAC legacy holders registered to sell all positions
  • Pre-revenue status with no operating history as a standalone public company
  • Potential for further equity raises under the $500M shelf

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 4 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
424B5 Filing (Primary)0001493152-26-044957
Document: 0001493152-26-044957-index-headers.html0001493152-26-044957
Document: 0001493152-26-044957-index.html0001493152-26-044957
Document: 0001493152-26-044957.txt0001493152-26-044957
10 reports for BXBL
Performance horizon
67% Hit rate @ T+20 4 of 6 directional calls Went positive at some point 5 of 6 best @ T+60▲ +33.10%Jul 27, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for BXBL — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Sep 29, 2026
27d ago
424B5
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$3.27awaiting T+20—$2.72 (+16.82%)
Sep 25, 2026
4w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$3.90 $2.81▼ −27.95%▼ −27.92%$2.72 (−30.26%)
Sep 25, 2026
4w ago
424B5
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$3.90 $2.81▲ +27.95%▲ +27.92%$2.72 (+30.26%)
Sep 21, 2026
5w ago
3
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$4.19 $2.81▼ −32.94%▼ −32.03%$2.72 (−35.08%)
Sep 1, 2026
8w ago
25-NSE
BEARISH ★ 9/10
$4.14 $3.27▲ +21.01%▲ +20.68%$2.72 (+34.30%)
Aug 28, 2026
8w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$4.01 $3.90▼ −2.74%▼ −3.00%$2.72 (−32.17%)
Aug 20, 2026
9w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$4.28 $4.21▲ +1.64%▲ +1.64%$2.72 (+36.45%)
Aug 11, 2026
11w ago
EFFECT
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$4.71 $4.36▲ +7.43%▲ +6.37%$2.72 (+42.25%)
Aug 5, 2026
11w ago
S-3/A
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$4.27 $4.44▼ −3.98%▼ −3.38%$2.72 (+36.30%)
Jul 27, 2026
13w ago
S-3
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$4.20 $4.27▼ −1.67%▲ +1.71%$2.72 (+35.24%)
Showing 10 of 10

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Wed (15h 46m)

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Report published Sep 29, 2026