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424B5 ·Filed Sep 25, 2026

BXBL

BOXABL Inc.
BEARISH
Impact 6/10
Horizonweeks Processed1mo ago SEC0001493152-26-044411
Notable filing: 424B5
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

Monitor ATM sales pace and stock price for signs of accelerated dilution; monitor quarterly filings for actual shares sold and cash usage. The non-binding LC Vegas agreement is optional and can be terminated at any time — treat as zero revenue until first batch orders.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+20d ⚠ clustered
BXBL ▼ -27.95% at T+20d
SHORT call ✓ call won +27.95% · α vs SPY +27.92% · entry $3.90 → $2.81
Next anchor: T+60d in 8w
Entry = T+0 close
Sep 25, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-4.10%
call +4.10% · α +3.92%
$3.74
settled 29d ago
T+5d
-16.67%
call +16.67% · α +17.87%
$3.25
settled 25d ago
T+20d
-27.95%
call +27.95% · α +27.92%
$2.81
settled 4d ago
T+60d
Pending
in 8w

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

BOXABL Inc. filed a 424B5 prospectus supplement for an at-the-market (ATM) offering of up to $100 million of Class A common stock, under a $500 million shelf registration. The ATM program, with five agents and a 3% commission, allows the company to sell shares opportunistically at prevailing market prices, creating significant potential dilution for existing holders. The filing also discloses a $233 million (non-binding) product purchase agreement with LC Vegas Acquisitions, recent CFO and CAO appointments, and an amendment to pro forma financials correcting prior errors.

Key Facts

  • ATM offering of up to $100,000,000 of Class A common stock via Sales Agreement with five agents (Virtu Americas, A.G.P./Alliance Global Partners, Cohen & Company, Maxim Group, Roth Capital Partners).
  • Agents receive up to 3.0% commission on gross proceeds; no minimum offering amount.
  • Pro forma dilution: at $3.98/share, new investors would experience $3.43 dilution per share (86% of offering price).
  • As of Sept 23, 2026, only 9,471,524 Class A shares outstanding; full ATM could add up to ~25.1M shares (265% dilution).
  • Product Purchase Agreement with LC Vegas Acquisitions for up to 1,580 ranch homes (~$233M potential) is non-binding and terminable at Buyer's discretion.
  • CFO Martin Costas resigned Sept 11, 2026; Larry King appointed CFO (Sept 14) and Heather Clayton CAO (Sept 28).
  • Amendment to pro forma financials filed Sept 9, 2026 correcting forward purchase agreement, prepaid insurance, and transaction cost errors.
  • Shelf registration (S-3) filed July 27, 2026 registered $500M securities plus 3,325,380 shares for SPAC insiders; ATM is first takedown from that shelf.

Financial Impact

Up to $100M gross proceeds from ATM sales; at $3.98/share (Sept 23 close) would add ~25.1M shares, diluting existing holders by 86% of offering price by $3.43/share. No revenue or earnings reported in this filing.

dilutiondilution

Risk Factors

  • Massive dilution risk from ATM could depress stock price due to continuous selling pressure.
  • Non-binding product agreement is optional and can be terminated at any time by buyer.
  • Recent CFO departure and new management changes may signal internal instability.
  • Pro forma restatement of pro forma financials indicates prior accounting errors.
  • No revenue or earnings reported — pre-revenue company with no financial data in this filing.
  • Insider overhang from SPAC insiders (3,325,325,325,380 shares registered for resale.
  • No revenue or earnings reported — no financial data in this filing.

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 4 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
424B5 Filing (Primary)0001493152-26-044411
Document: 0001493152-26-044411-index-headers.html0001493152-26-044411
Document: 0001493152-26-044411-index.html0001493152-26-044411
Document: 0001493152-26-044411.txt0001493152-26-044411
10 reports for BXBL
Performance horizon
60% Hit rate @ T+20 3 of 5 directional calls Went positive at some point 5 of 6 best @ T+60▲ +33.10%Jul 27, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for BXBL — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Sep 29, 2026
27d ago
424B5
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$3.27awaiting T+20—$3.00 (+8.26%)
Sep 25, 2026
4w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$3.90 $2.81▼ −27.95%▼ −27.92%$3.00 (−23.08%)
Sep 25, 2026
4w ago
424B5
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$3.90 $2.81▲ +27.95%▲ +27.92%$3.00 (+23.08%)
Sep 21, 2026
5w ago
3
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$4.19 $2.81▼ −32.94%▼ −32.03%$3.00 (−28.40%)
Sep 1, 2026
7w ago
25-NSE
BEARISH ★ 9/10
$4.14 $3.27▲ +21.01%▲ +20.68%$3.00 (+27.54%)
Aug 28, 2026
8w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$4.01 $3.90▼ −2.74%▼ −3.00%$3.00 (−25.19%)
Aug 20, 2026
9w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$4.28 $4.21▲ +1.64%▲ +1.64%$3.00 (+29.91%)
Aug 11, 2026
10w ago
EFFECT
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$4.71 $4.36▲ +7.43%▲ +6.37%$3.00 (+36.31%)
Aug 5, 2026
11w ago
S-3/A
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$4.27 $4.44▼ −3.98%▼ −3.38%$3.00 (+29.74%)
Jul 27, 2026
13w ago
S-3
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$4.20 $4.27▼ −1.67%▲ +1.71%$3.00 (+28.57%)
Showing 10 of 10

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Wed (12h 24m)

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Report published Sep 25, 2026