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SC 13E-3/A ·Filed Oct 5, 2026

BOW

Bowhead Specialty Holdings Inc.
BULLISH
Impact 7/10
Horizonweeks Processed22d 4h ago SEC0001140361-26-038657
Going-private transaction amendment
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

Monitor the special meeting date and shareholder vote results. The spread to the $34.00 deal price reflects remaining regulatory and approval risk. Any delay or unexpected opposition could widen the spread, while a successful vote would collapse it.

DirectionBullish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+5d ⚠ clustered
BOW ▲ +0.65% at T+5d
LONG call ✓ call won +0.65% · α vs SPY +0.79% · entry $33.78 → $34.00
Next anchor: T+20d in 5d
Latest observation: T+13 -4.15% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Oct 5, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+0.74%
call +0.74% · α +0.98%
$34.03
settled 22d ago
T+5d
+0.65%
call +0.65% · α +0.79%
$34.00
settled 16d ago
T+20d
Pending
in 5d
T+60d
Pending
in 2mo

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

This is Amendment No. 2 to the Schedule 13E-3 filed in connection with the going-private merger of Bowhead Specialty Holdings Inc. by American Family Mutual Insurance Company. The filing updates the preliminary proxy statement and confirms the $34.00 per share cash merger consideration, with the transaction requiring approval from a majority of all outstanding shares and a majority of disinterested shares. The merger remains subject to shareholder vote and other customary closing conditions.

Key Facts

  • Merger consideration of $34.00 per share in cash for Bowhead Specialty Holdings Inc. (BOW) by American Family Mutual Insurance Company.
  • Total transaction value approximately $1.2 billion based on 32,943,005 shares outstanding as of June 30, 2026.
  • Non-Recused Directors unanimously recommend the merger, citing fairness and an 11% premium to the unaffected price.
  • Shareholder approval requires a majority of all outstanding shares and a majority of disinterested shares (excluding Parent and recused directors).
  • Closing expected by year-end 2026; shares will be delisted and deregistered upon completion.

Financial Impact

Shareholders will receive $34.00 per share in cash, representing an 11% premium to the unaffected price and a 9% increase from the initial offer after negotiations.

share pricemarket capitalization

Risk Factors

  • Shareholder vote may fail if a majority of disinterested shares do not approve.
  • Regulatory or closing conditions may delay or prevent the merger.
  • Appraisal rights exercised by dissenting shareholders could create legal uncertainty.

Investment Themes

Traditional Finance

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 4 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
SC 13E-3/A Filing (Primary)0001140361-26-038657
Document: 0001140361-26-038657-index-headers.html0001140361-26-038657
Document: 0001140361-26-038657-index.html0001140361-26-038657
Document: 0001140361-26-038657.txt0001140361-26-038657
8 reports for BOW
Performance horizon
67% Hit rate @ T+20 2 of 3 directional calls Went positive at some point 4 of 4 best @ T+60▲ +1.84%Aug 3, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for BOW — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 14, 2026
13d ago
SC 13E-3/A
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$33.99awaiting T+20—$34.29 (+0.88%)
Oct 14, 2026
13d ago
DEFM14A
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$33.99awaiting T+20—$34.29 (+0.88%)
Oct 6, 2026
21d ago
SC 13G
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$34.03awaiting T+20—$34.29 (+0.76%)
Oct 5, 2026
22d ago
SC 13E-3/A
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$33.78awaiting T+20—$34.29 (+1.51%)
Sep 23, 2026
4w ago
SC 13E-3/A
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$33.87 $34.10▲ +0.68%▲ +1.10%$34.29 (+1.24%)
Aug 28, 2026
8w ago
PREM14A
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$33.52 $33.77▲ +0.75%▲ +0.93%$34.29 (+2.30%)
Aug 3, 2026
12w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 8/10
$33.69 $33.52▼ −0.50%▼ −1.74%$34.29 (+1.78%)
Feb 28, 2026
34w ago
Institutional Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$25.57 $22.25▼ −12.98%▼ −5.05%$34.29 (+34.10%)
Showing 8 of 8

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Thu (11h 51m)

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Report published Oct 5, 2026