Institutional Cluster

BMO

BANK OF MONTREAL /CAN/
BEARISH
Impact 5/10
Horizonweeks Processed1mo ago
Institutional cluster: 2 buyers, 8 sellers (bearish)
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

The broad-based selling by 8 asset managers with no insider buying is a clear negative signal. Monitor for further 13F disclosures in Q3 to see if the selling trend continues or reverses. The 45-day lag means the cluster may already be stale — watch for any earnings or credit events that could explain the bearish thesis.

DirectionBearish
Confidencemedium
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+20d
BMO ▼ -5.24% at T+20d
SHORT call ✓ call won +5.24% · α vs SPY +6.47% · entry $179.72 → $170.31
Next anchor: T+60d in 25d
Latest observation: T+39 +11.59% FF3 residual α
Entry anchored
Aug 3, 01:16 PM ET
via exchange tick
T+1d
+0.04%
call -0.04% · α +1.76%
$179.79
settled 8w ago
T+5d
+1.22%
call -1.22% · α +0.81%
$181.91
settled 8w ago
T+20d
-5.24%
call +5.24% · α +6.47%
$170.31
settled 5w ago
T+60d
—
call — · α —
—
in 25d

Executive Summary

A bearish institutional cluster formed in BMO during 2026-Q2, with 8 sellers reducing positions by $35.3M versus 2 buyers adding only $2.6M. The selling is broad-based across asset managers, led by Envestnet Asset Management's near-exit of $24.8M and Truist Financial's $4.4M trim. No insider buying corroborates the institutional selling, weakening any contrarian case. The cluster suggests a shared negative view on BMO's near-term prospects, likely tied to Canadian banking headwinds or capital concerns, though the 45-day reporting lag means positions may have been adjusted since quarter-end.

Key Financial Metrics

Direction
distributing
Buy Value
$4.8M
Sell Value
$35.3M
Net Flow
-$32.5M

Institutional Positions

Net institutional flow: -$32.5M

▲ Buyers (2)

InstitutionActionChangePosition ValueValue Δ
Mediolanum International FundsDOUBLED+103.4%$2.6M$1.6M
Hb Wealth ManagementADD+35.7%$2.3M$991.0K

▼ Sellers (8)

InstitutionActionChangePrev ValueValue Δ
Envestnet Asset ManagementNEAR_EXIT-75.2%$36.6M-$24.8M
Truist FinancialTRIM-72.2%$6.9M-$4.4M
Davenport & CoNEAR_EXIT-93.8%$2.6M-$2.4M
Private Advisor GroupNEAR_EXIT-88.3%$2.8M-$2.4M
AssetmarkTRIM-71.9%$1.6M-$1.0M

Key Facts

  • 8 institutional sellers vs 2 buyers in 2026-Q2
  • Net institutional selling of $35.3M
  • Envestnet Asset Management near-exited $24.8M position (-75.2%)
  • Truist Financial trimmed $4.4M (-72.2%)
  • No insider open-market buying in the window
  • Total buyer activity only $2.6M in new/additions

Financial Impact

8 institutions sold $35.3M net of $2.6M in buying, with Envestnet alone accounting for $24.8M of the selling

institutional_ownershipfloat

Risk Factors

  • 45-day 13F reporting lag — positions may have been unwound or reversed since quarter-end
  • Selling dominated by smaller asset managers; no major hedge fund or activist involvement
  • Canadian bank sector headwinds (interest rate sensitivity, housing exposure) could be the driver
  • Historical calibration shows score-5/6 reports on BMO have mixed T+20 outcomes (40-49% win rate)

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Commercial Banks, NEC
Analyst Consensus
42% bullish (19 analysts)

Investment Themes

Traditional Finance

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 institutional 13F filing from SEC EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
INST-CLUSTER Data (Synthetic)inst-cluster-BMO-2026-Q2
12 reports for BMO
Performance horizon
33% Hit rate 1 of 3 directional calls best @ T+60▲ +6.44%Feb 11, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for BMO — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Sep 8, 2026
24d ago
424B5
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$175.05 $174.28▼ −0.44%▲ +0.22%—
Aug 25, 2026
5w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$173.46 $168.30▼ −2.97%▼ −2.44%—
Aug 25, 2026
5w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$173.46 $168.30▼ −2.97%▼ −2.44%—
Aug 25, 2026
5w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$173.46 $168.30▼ −2.97%▼ −2.44%—
Aug 25, 2026
5w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$173.46 $168.30▼ −2.97%▼ −2.44%—
Aug 25, 2026
5w ago
6-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$173.46 $168.30▼ −2.97%▼ −2.44%—
Aug 25, 2026
5w ago
6-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$173.46 $168.30▼ −2.97%▼ −2.44%—
Aug 25, 2026
5w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$173.46 $168.30▼ −2.97%▼ −2.44%—
Aug 12, 2026
7w ago
13F-HR
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$183.57 $175.73▼ −4.27%▼ −3.83%—
Aug 3, 2026
8w ago
Institutional Cluster
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$179.72 $181.91▼ −1.22%▲ +0.81%—
Showing 10 of 12

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Report published Aug 3, 2026