425 ·Filed May 11, 2026

BLD

TopBuild Corp
BULLISH
Impact 8/10
Horizonmonths Processed4mo ago SEC0001104659-26-058189
Rule 425 M&A communications
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

The detailed synergy and growth targets provide a measurable framework for the deal's success. Watch for the joint proxy statement and shareholder vote timeline; any delays or regulatory pushback would be negative. The $300M synergy target and >200 bps margin improvement are key milestones to track post-close.

DirectionBullish
Confidencehigh
Horizonmonths
Latest settled — T+20d
BLD ▼ -3.68% at T+20d
LONG call ✗ call lost -3.68% · α vs SPY -3.38% · entry $424.63 → $409.00
Next anchor: T+60d due 8w ago
Latest observation: T+36 -5.48% FF3 residual α
Entry anchored
May 11, 2026
via day open
T+1d
-1.85%
call -1.85% · α -1.71%
$416.79
settled 5mo ago
T+5d
-4.32%
call -4.32% · α -4.23%
$406.29
settled 5mo ago
T+20d
-3.68%
call -3.68% · α -3.38%
$409.00
settled 4mo ago
T+60d
—
call — · α —
—
due 8w ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

QXO released an investor Q&A detailing the strategic rationale and financial targets for its pending $17 billion acquisition of TopBuild. Management targets ~$300 million in synergies by 2030 and projects $4 billion in organic EBITDA by 2030, with a $50 billion revenue goal within the decade. The filing reinforces the deal's transformative potential but contains no new financial results or changes to deal terms.

Key Financial Metrics

Deal Value
$17.0B
Deal Type
merger

Key Facts

  • $17 billion acquisition of TopBuild by QXO
  • Target of ~$300 million in synergies from TopBuild by 2030
  • Combined platform projected to generate $4 billion organic EBITDA by 2030 ($5.5 billion including tuck-ins)
  • $50 billion revenue goal within the decade
  • Financing includes $3 billion Series C convertible preferred at 4.75% yield led by Apollo and Temasek
  • Approximately 22,000 job site visits per day from TopBuild to drive cross-selling

Financial Impact

Deal value: $17 billion; targeted synergies: ~$300 million by 2030; projected combined EBITDA: $4-5.5 billion by 2030; revenue goal: $50 billion within decade

revenueebitdasynergiesmarket cap

Risk Factors

  • Integration execution risk across three platforms (Beacon, Kodiak, TopBuild)
  • Higher multiple paid vs prior deals may face investor scrutiny
  • Synergy realization dependent on cross-selling and technology rollout
  • Potential regulatory or shareholder approval delays

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Construction - Special Trade Contractors
Analyst Consensus
59% bullish (17 analysts)

Investment Themes

Industrials & Manufacturing

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 5 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
425 Filing (Primary)0001104659-26-058189
Document: tm2612209d6_8k.htm0001104659-26-058189
Document: 0001104659-26-058189-index-headers.html0001104659-26-058189
Document: 0001104659-26-058189-index.html0001104659-26-058189
Document: 0001104659-26-058189.txt0001104659-26-058189
25 reports for BLD
Performance horizon
33% Hit rate 3 of 9 directional calls best @ T+20▲ +22.72%Apr 7, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for BLD — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Aug 3, 2026
8w ago
Institutional Cluster
BEARISH ★ 6/10
—awaiting T+1——
Jul 1, 2026
13w ago
25-NSE
NEUTRAL ★ 7/10
$354.53 $354.53· 0.00%▲ +0.13%—
Jun 29, 2026
13w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$354.53 $354.53· 0.00%▲ +0.14%—
Jun 22, 2026
14w ago
425
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$413.47 $407.41▼ −1.47%▼ −0.01%—
Jun 22, 2026
14w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$413.47 $407.41▼ −1.47%▼ −0.01%—
Jun 22, 2026
14w ago
425
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$413.47 $407.41▼ −1.47%▼ −0.01%—
Jun 11, 2026
16w ago
Institutional Cluster
MIXED ★ 4/10
$409.84 $411.08▲ +0.30%▼ −0.24%—
Jun 4, 2026
17w ago
425
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$401.82 $399.03▼ −0.69%▼ −0.92%—
Jun 4, 2026
17w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$401.82 $399.03▼ −0.69%▼ −0.92%—
May 29, 2026
17w ago
DEFM14A
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$412.19 $407.07▼ −1.24%▼ −1.39%—
Showing 10 of 25

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