20-F ·Filed Aug 18, 2026

BHP

BHP Group Ltd
BULLISH
Impact 6/10
Horizonweeks Processed1mo ago SEC0001193125-26-354647
Notable filing: 20-F
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

The reported results confirm a strong operational year with significantly higher earnings and cash flow, primarily driven by elevated commodity prices. The $2.3 billion Jansen impairment is a non-cash charge and reflects revised cost estimates, but the project remains on track for first production in mid-CY2027. The key watch item is the FY2027 guidance for a ~10% decline in copper production due to lower grades at Escondida, which could pressure segment earnings. Monitor the next operational review for actual production ramp and cost outcomes.

DirectionBullish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+20d
BHP ▼ -4.15% at T+20d
LONG call ✗ call lost -4.15% · α vs SPY -3.16% · entry $89.09 → $85.39
Next anchor: T+60d in 6w
Latest observation: T+30 +1.15% FF3 residual α
Entry anchored
Aug 18, 06:05 AM ET
via 1-min bar
T+1d
+3.59%
call +3.59% · α +3.38%
$92.29
settled 6w ago
T+5d
+10.78%
call +10.78% · α +10.98%
$98.69
settled 5w ago
T+20d
-4.15%
call -4.15% · α -3.16%
$85.39
settled 16d ago
T+60d
—
call — · α —
—
in 6w

Price Chart

Loading chart...

Executive Summary

BHP Group's FY2026 annual report (20-F) shows strong operational and financial results, with revenue of $58.8 billion (+15% YoY) and underlying EBITDA of $32.9 billion (+27% YoY), driven by higher commodity prices, particularly copper. The company recognized a $2.3 billion impairment on the Jansen potash project and reported increased capital expenditure. Positives include record iron ore production, strong copper earnings (now >50% of EBITDA), and a reduced net debt position of $8.7 billion. The filing provides detailed segment performance and forward-looking production guidance, including lower copper output in FY2027 due to grade decline at Escondida.

Key Facts

  • Revenue of $58.8 billion, up 15% from $51.3 billion in FY2025
  • Underlying EBITDA of $32.9 billion, up 27% from $26.0 billion in FY2025
  • Non-cash impairment of $2.3 billion on the Jansen potash project
  • Net debt reduced to $8.7 billion from $12.9 billion
  • Total dividends determined of 172 US cents per share, up from 110 US cents in FY2025
  • FY2027 copper production guidance of 1,650-1,800 kt, down from 1,953 kt in FY2026

Financial Impact

Revenue +$7.5B (+15% YoY), underlying EBITDA +$7.0B (+27% YoY), net debt -$4.2B, total dividends of $8.7B determined for FY2026

revenueunderlying EBITDAnet debtproduction

Risk Factors

  • FY2027 copper production guided 10% lower due to grade decline at Escondida
  • Jansen potash project cost escalation (total Stage 1 now $8.4B) and execution risk
  • Macroeconomic headwinds including trade tariffs and commodity price volatility
  • Ongoing Samarco dam failure legal proceedings and remediation costs

Market Snapshot

Exchange
OTC
Sector
Metal Mining
Analyst Consensus
32% bullish (25 analysts)

Investment Themes

Materials & Mining

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 2 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
20-F Filing (Primary)0001193125-26-354647
Document: bhp-ex96_1.htm0001193125-26-354647
9 reports for BHP
Performance horizon

Track record builds as more directional reports settle.

Filters
Rows
Reports for BHP — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Sep 16, 2026
16d ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$84.14 $84.95▲ +0.96%▼ −1.60%$85.08 (+1.12%)
Sep 15, 2026
17d ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$84.77 $86.27▲ +1.77%▲ +0.95%$85.08 (+0.37%)
Sep 14, 2026
18d ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$84.74 $86.09▲ +1.59%▲ +1.49%$85.08 (+0.41%)
Aug 28, 2026
5w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$95.15 $90.42▼ −4.97%▼ −5.08%$85.08 (−10.58%)
Aug 18, 2026
6w ago
20-F
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$89.09 $98.69▲ +10.78%▲ +10.98%$85.08 (−4.50%)
Jul 17, 2026
11w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$80.64 $83.65▲ +3.73%▲ +4.42%$85.08 (+5.51%)
Jul 1, 2026
13w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$82.22 $80.23▼ −2.42%▼ −2.68%$85.08 (+3.48%)
Jun 30, 2026
13w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$82.22 $80.23▼ −2.42%▼ −2.68%$85.08 (+3.48%)
Jun 18, 2026
15w ago
6-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$87.87 $81.16▲ +7.64%▲ +5.97%$85.08 (+3.17%)
Showing 9 of 9

US Market Status

Market Open — Closes in 2h 20m

Subscribe to SecBot

Get Real-Time SEC Filing Intelligence

Comprehensive SEC filing analysis delivered the moment filings hit EDGAR. Sentiment scoring, impact analysis, and actionable insights for every material event.

Try SecBot Free Coming soon: SecBot Pro with alerts, watchlists, and API access