8-K ·Filed Jul 30, 2026

BGC

BGC Group, Inc.
BULLISH
Impact 6/10
Horizonweeks Processed2mo ago SEC0001628280-26-050814
8-K Item 2.02: Earnings release
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

The beat and raised guidance support the growth narrative, but the deceleration from Q1's 44% revenue growth may limit upside. Watch for Q3 execution on FMX market share gains and the Fanatics partnership ramp.

DirectionBullish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+20d
BGC ▲ +3.60% at T+20d
LONG call ✓ call won +3.60% · α vs SPY -0.37% · entry $11.68 → $12.10
Next anchor: T+60d in 21d
Latest observation: T+42 +4.10% FF3 residual α
Entry anchored
Jul 29, 03:59 PM ET
via exchange tick
T+1d
-1.37%
call -1.37% · α -2.08%
$11.52
settled 2mo ago
T+5d
-10.02%
call -10.02% · α -13.64%
$10.51
settled 8w ago
T+20d
+3.60%
call +3.60% · α -0.37%
$12.10
settled 5w ago
T+60d
—
call — · α —
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in 21d

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

BGC Group reported Q2 2026 revenue of $845.5M (+7.8% YoY) and adjusted EPS of $0.35, beating consensus estimates of $812.8M and $0.34 respectively. Q3 guidance of $775-$835M revenue and $172-$190M pre-tax adjusted earnings implies continued growth over the prior year's $736.8M and $155.1M. The beat and raised guidance reinforce the company's growth trajectory, though the pace has moderated from Q1's 44% surge.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
$0.35
est $0.34 · +2.9%
Revenue
$845.5M
est $812.8M · +4.0% · +7.8% YoY
Rating
beat
Guidance
$775M-$835M
raised

Key Facts

  • Q2 2026 revenue of $845.5M, a second-quarter record, up 7.8% YoY
  • Adjusted EPS of $0.35 beat consensus of $0.34 by ~2.9%
  • GAAP EPS of $0.15 vs $0.11 a year ago (+36.4%)
  • Q3 2026 guidance: revenue $775-$835M, pre-tax adjusted earnings $172-$190M
  • FMX UST market share reached 42%, up from 35% a year ago
  • Announced partnership with Fanatics to build a prediction market ecosystem
  • Recorded a $24.5M UK tax litigation reserve in Q2

Financial Impact

Revenue beat consensus by ~$32.7M (+4.0%), adjusted EPS beat by $0.01 (+2.9%). Q3 guidance midpoint implies ~9% revenue growth over prior year.

revenueepsguidance

Risk Factors

  • UK tax litigation reserve of $24.5M could expand if unfavorable rulings continue
  • Revenue growth decelerated sharply from Q1's 43.8% to 7.8%, raising questions about sustainability
  • Fanatics partnership is early-stage and may not contribute materially in the near term

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Security & Commodity Brokers, Dealers, Exchanges & Services
Analyst Consensus
83% bullish (6 analysts)

Investment Themes

Traditional Finance

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 6 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001628280-26-050814
Document: bgcp-20260730.htm0001628280-26-050814
Document: 0001628280-26-050814-index-headers.html0001628280-26-050814
Document: 0001628280-26-050814-index.html0001628280-26-050814
Document: 0001628280-26-050814.txt0001628280-26-050814
8-K Data (Synthetic)0001628280-26-050814
4 reports for BGC
Performance horizon

Track record builds as more directional reports settle.

Filters
Rows
Reports for BGC — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Aug 8, 2026
7w ago
Institutional Cluster
MIXED ★ 4/10
$10.29 $12.05▲ +17.06%▲ +17.97%$11.85 (+15.21%)
Jul 30, 2026
9w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$11.68 $12.10▲ +3.60%▼ −0.37%$11.85 (+1.50%)
May 15, 2026
19w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$11.37 $11.84▲ +4.14%▲ +2.56%$11.85 (+4.28%)
May 7, 2026
21w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$11.29 $10.15▼ −10.10%▼ −13.23%$11.85 (+5.00%)
Showing 4 of 4

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