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8-K ·Filed Sep 1, 2026

BAFN

BayFirst Financial Corp.
BEARISH
Impact 6/10
Horizonweeks Processed1mo ago SEC0001649739-26-000097
8-K context-dependent: Items 8.01
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

Monitor the subscription period for take-up rate. Low participation will increase dilution for non-participating shareholders and may signal weak investor confidence. The offering price of $3.50 sets a floor near-term; any weakness below that could accelerate selling. Watch for subsequent capital actions or guidance updates.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+20d
BAFN ▼ -4.76% at T+20d
SHORT call ✓ call won +4.76% · α vs SPY +5.07% · entry $7.15 → $6.81
Next anchor: T+60d in 4w
Latest observation: T+37 +18.06% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Sep 1, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+0.56%
call -0.56% · α -0.12%
$7.19
settled 8w ago
T+5d
+4.62%
call -4.62% · α -4.53%
$7.48
settled 7w ago
T+20d
-4.76%
call +4.76% · α +5.07%
$6.81
settled 26d ago
T+60d
Pending
in 4w

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

BayFirst Financial Corp. launched a rights offering to raise up to ~$14.4M by issuing up to 4,108,072 shares at $3.50 per share to shareholders of record as of May 12, 2026. The offering is part of a recapitalization plan and will dilute existing shareholders who do not participate.

Key Facts

  • Up to 4,108,072 shares offered at $3.50 per share
  • Maximum gross proceeds of approximately $14.4 million
  • Record date for shareholders: May 12, 2026
  • SEC declared S-1 registration effective on August 31, 2026
  • Rights offering described as 'next step in recapitalization'
  • Total assets of $1.13 billion as of June 30, 2026
  • Information agent: Regan Associates, Inc.

Financial Impact

Up to $14.4 million capital raise with dilution of up to 4.1 million shares (approximately 8% of market cap at $3.50 vs $175M market cap)

dilutionshare countbook value per share

Risk Factors

  • Significant dilution for non-participating shareholders
  • Potential overhang from unsubscribed shares
  • Signals potential capital adequacy concerns at the bank subsidiary

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
State Commercial Banks

Investment Themes

Traditional Finance

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 5 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001649739-26-000097
Document: bayfirstq32026rightsofferi.htm0001649739-26-000097
Document: 0001649739-26-000097-index-headers.html0001649739-26-000097
Document: 0001649739-26-000097-index.html0001649739-26-000097
Document: 0001649739-26-000097.txt0001649739-26-000097
22 reports for BAFN
Performance horizon
100% Hit rate @ T+60 3 of 3 directional calls Went positive at some point 12 of 13 best @ T+5▲ +30.29%Oct 13, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for BAFN — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 19, 2026
7d ago
SC 13D/A
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$6.44awaiting T+60—$6.57 (+2.02%)
Oct 13, 2026
13d ago
SC 13D/A
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$5.25awaiting T+60—$6.57 (+25.14%)
Sep 30, 2026
26d ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$6.81awaiting T+60—$6.57 (−3.52%)
Sep 29, 2026
27d ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$7.21awaiting T+60—$6.57 (−8.88%)
Sep 24, 2026
4w ago
3
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$7.12awaiting T+60—$6.57 (−7.72%)
Sep 24, 2026
4w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$7.12awaiting T+60—$6.57 (−7.72%)
Sep 1, 2026
7w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$7.15awaiting T+60—$6.57 (+8.11%)
Aug 27, 2026
8w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$6.61awaiting T+60—$6.57 (−0.61%)
Aug 25, 2026
8w ago
EFFECT
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$7.37awaiting T+60—$6.57 (+10.85%)
Aug 21, 2026
9w ago
S-1/A
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$7.31awaiting T+60—$6.57 (+10.12%)
Showing 10 of 22

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Tue (16h 50m)

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Report published Sep 1, 2026