8-K ·Filed Jun 9, 2026

AWK

American Water Works Company, Inc.
NEUTRAL
Impact 4/10
Horizonmonths Processed3mo ago SEC0001410636-26-000105
8-K context-dependent: Items 8.01
Actionable Insight • Neutral

Monitor CPUC decision on Cal Am CWIP treatment — if excluded, 2027 revenue drops by ~17% from settlement level. Virginia settlement provides modestly improved ROE (9.75% vs 9.70%) and significantly higher equity component (51.79% vs 45.67%), which supports future filings. Both outcomes are within normal regulatory range for water utilities and unlikely to move AWK materially.

DirectionNeutral
Confidencehigh
Horizonmonths
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d
AWK ▲ +11.41% at T+60d
NEUTRAL call ✓ call won +11.41% · α vs SPY +4.83% · entry $126.46 → $140.89
Entry anchored
Jun 9, 03:59 PM ET
via exchange tick
T+1d
-1.59%
call -1.59% · α -3.29%
$124.45
settled 4mo ago
T+5d
+1.59%
call +1.59% · α -1.84%
$128.47
settled 4mo ago
T+20d
+3.23%
call +3.23% · α -0.39%
$130.55
settled 3mo ago
T+60d
+11.41%
call +11.41% · α +4.83%
$140.89
settled 29d ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

American Water Works (AWK) subsidiaries reached partial settlements in two general rate cases. California American Water (Cal Am) filed a partial settlement for $24M incremental annualized revenue in 2027 (vs. $43M requested), with CWIP treatment still pending. Virginia American Water settled for a $16M annualized revenue increase (vs. $22M requested), with an agreed ROE of 9.75%. Both settlements are subject to regulatory approval and represent routine regulatory outcomes for a regulated utility — the revenue awards are below initial requests but provide rate base recovery visibility.

Key Facts

  • Cal Am partial settlement: $24M incremental annualized revenue in 2027 test year, $21M in 2028, $22M in 2029 (vs. revised proposed $43M/$22M/$26M)
  • Cal Am CWIP treatment remains the only unresolved issue; if excluded, 2027 revenue drops to $20M and 2028 to $19M
  • Virginia American Water settlement: $16M annualized revenue increase (vs. $22M requested), driven by ~$115M in capital investments
  • Virginia American Water agreed ROE of 9.75% (vs. 9.70% previously) and equity component of 51.79% (vs. 45.67% previously)
  • Both settlements subject to regulatory approval; Cal Am rates effective Jan 1, 2027; Virginia interim rates effective May 2, 2026 with refund mechanism

Financial Impact

Combined incremental annualized revenue of ~$40M (Cal Am $24M + Virginia $16M) vs. ~$65M originally requested, representing a ~38% reduction from ask but providing regulatory certainty for ~$865M in planned capital investments

revenuerate base

Risk Factors

  • CPUC may exclude CWIP from rate base, reducing Cal Am revenue by ~$4M in 2027 and ~$2M in 2028
  • Potential condemnation of Cal Am's Monterey peninsula assets remains a risk factor per filing
  • Final CPUC/VSCC orders may deviate from settlement terms

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Water Supply
Analyst Consensus
33% bullish (18 analysts)

Investment Themes

Traditional Energy

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 6 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001410636-26-000105
Exhibit: exhibit991-2026californiag.htm0001410636-26-000105
Exhibit: exhibit992-pressreleaseofv.htm0001410636-26-000105
Document: 0001410636-26-000105-index-headers.html0001410636-26-000105
Document: 0001410636-26-000105-index.html0001410636-26-000105
Document: 0001410636-26-000105.txt0001410636-26-000105
21 reports for AWK
Performance horizon

Track record builds as more directional reports settle.

Filters
Rows
Reports for AWK — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Sep 14, 2026
18d ago
424B5
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$138.92 $133.97▼ −3.56%▼ −3.67%$130.25 (−6.24%)
Aug 26, 2026
5w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$137.49 $139.49▲ +1.45%▲ +1.57%$130.25 (−5.27%)
Aug 18, 2026
6w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$136.27 $137.60▲ +0.98%▲ +1.18%$130.25 (−4.42%)
Aug 17, 2026
6w ago
425
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$134.35 $139.80▲ +4.06%▲ +5.25%$130.25 (−3.05%)
Aug 13, 2026
7w ago
425
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$136.46 $137.21▲ +0.55%▲ +2.51%$130.25 (−4.55%)
Aug 13, 2026
7w ago
425
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$136.46 $137.21▲ +0.55%▲ +2.51%$130.25 (−4.55%)
Jul 27, 2026
9w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$138.04 $131.30▼ −4.88%▼ −7.15%$130.25 (−5.64%)
Jul 16, 2026
11w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$135.11 $134.41▼ −0.52%▲ +0.17%$130.25 (−3.60%)
Jun 23, 2026
14w ago
Institutional Cluster
MIXED ★ 5/10
$126.60 $132.50▲ +4.66%▲ +3.65%$130.25 (+2.88%)
Jun 22, 2026
14w ago
425
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$126.60 $132.50▲ +4.66%▲ +3.65%$130.25 (+2.88%)
Showing 10 of 21

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