425 ·Filed Aug 17, 2026

AWK

American Water Works Company, Inc.
NEUTRAL
Impact 5/10
Horizonmonths Processed1mo ago SEC0001193125-26-353249
Actionable Insight • Neutral

The HSR clearance and multiple state approvals reduce deal risk incrementally. Monitor remaining state regulatory approvals (e.g., Pennsylvania, West Virginia) and any potential conditions imposed. The stock should trade closer to the deal price as the close approaches, but with limited upside absent a competing bid or material synergy revision.

DirectionNeutral
Confidencehigh
Horizonmonths
Latest settled — T+20d
AWK ▲ +2.73% at T+20d
NEUTRAL call ✓ call won +2.73% · α vs SPY +4.71% · entry $134.35 → $138.02
Next anchor: T+60d in 6w
Latest observation: T+32 -11.83% FF3 residual α
Entry anchored
Aug 17, 07:04 AM ET
via 1-min bar
T+1d
+1.43%
call +1.43% · α +2.10%
$136.27
settled 6w ago
T+5d
+4.06%
call +4.06% · α +5.25%
$139.80
settled 6w ago
T+20d
+2.73%
call +2.73% · α +4.71%
$138.02
settled 17d ago
T+60d
—
call — · α —
—
in 6w

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

American Water Works (AWK) and Essential Utilities (WTRG) announced the expiration of the HSR Act waiting period for their pending merger, clearing a key antitrust hurdle. The companies have also received regulatory approvals from Kentucky, Ohio, and Virginia, with a settlement in principle reached in Texas. This filing represents meaningful deal progress, moving the merger closer to its expected close by end of Q1 2027, but the stock impact is neutral as the deal terms remain unchanged and the timeline is consistent with prior guidance.

Key Financial Metrics

Deal Type
merger

Key Facts

  • HSR Act waiting period expired on August 14, 2026, satisfying one condition to closing.
  • Regulatory approvals received from Kentucky PSC (April 21), Ohio PUCO (May 13), and Virginia SCC (June 22).
  • Settlement in principle reached in Texas.
  • Shareholders of both companies overwhelmingly approved the transaction earlier this year.
  • Merger expected to close by end of Q1 2027, subject to remaining regulatory approvals.

Financial Impact

No new financial terms disclosed; deal value remains as previously announced in the merger agreement.

Risk Factors

  • Remaining state regulatory approvals may impose conditions that alter deal economics.
  • Macroeconomic or interest rate changes could affect financing or valuation assumptions.
  • Litigation or regulatory challenges could delay or block the merger.

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Water Supply
Analyst Consensus
37% bullish (19 analysts)

Investment Themes

Traditional Energy

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 8 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
425 Filing (AWK) — Batch item 10001193125-26-353249
Document: 0001193125-26-353249-index-headers.html0001193125-26-353249
Document: 0001193125-26-353249-index.html0001193125-26-353249
Document: 0001193125-26-353249.txt0001193125-26-353249
425 Filing (AWK) — Batch item 50001193125-26-353249
Document: 0001193125-26-353249-index-headers.html0001193125-26-353249
Document: 0001193125-26-353249-index.html0001193125-26-353249
Document: 0001193125-26-353249.txt0001193125-26-353249
21 reports for AWK
Performance horizon

Track record builds as more directional reports settle.

Filters
Rows
Reports for AWK — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Sep 14, 2026
18d ago
424B5
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$138.92 $133.97▼ −3.56%▼ −3.67%$129.66 (−6.67%)
Aug 26, 2026
5w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$137.49 $139.49▲ +1.45%▲ +1.57%$129.66 (−5.69%)
Aug 18, 2026
6w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$136.27 $137.60▲ +0.98%▲ +1.18%$129.66 (−4.85%)
Aug 17, 2026
6w ago
425
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$134.35 $139.80▲ +4.06%▲ +5.25%$129.66 (−3.49%)
Aug 13, 2026
7w ago
425
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$136.46 $137.21▲ +0.55%▲ +2.51%$129.66 (−4.98%)
Aug 13, 2026
7w ago
425
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$136.46 $137.21▲ +0.55%▲ +2.51%$129.66 (−4.98%)
Jul 27, 2026
9w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$138.04 $131.30▼ −4.88%▼ −7.15%$129.66 (−6.07%)
Jul 16, 2026
11w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$135.11 $134.41▼ −0.52%▲ +0.17%$129.66 (−4.03%)
Jun 23, 2026
14w ago
Institutional Cluster
MIXED ★ 5/10
$126.60 $132.50▲ +4.66%▲ +3.65%$129.66 (+2.42%)
Jun 22, 2026
14w ago
425
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$126.60 $132.50▲ +4.66%▲ +3.65%$129.66 (+2.42%)
Showing 10 of 21

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