Insider Cluster (3 insiders) ·Filed Aug 19, 2026

AUR

Aurora Innovation, Inc.
BEARISH
Impact 8/10
Horizondays Processed1mo ago
Insider cluster: 2 insiders, $471.9M total
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

Traders should consider the strong bearish signal from Uber's massive exit and director selling. Monitor for further insider selling or a potential secondary offering. The stock may face significant downward pressure as the market absorbs this supply and interprets the signal.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizondays
Latest settled — T+20d ⚠ clustered
AUR ▲ +4.76% at T+20d
SHORT call ✗ call lost -4.76% · α vs SPY -6.71% · entry $6.20 → $6.49
Next anchor: T+60d in 6w
Latest observation: T+28 -5.20% FF3 residual α
Entry anchored
Aug 18, 07:58 PM ET
via 1-min bar
T+1d
-1.21%
call +1.21% · α +0.37%
$6.12
settled 6w ago
T+5d
-7.02%
call +7.02% · α +6.63%
$5.76
settled 5w ago
T+20d
+4.76%
call -4.76% · α -6.71%
$6.49
settled 16d ago
T+60d
—
call — · α —
—
in 6w

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

A massive insider selling cluster at Aurora Innovation, driven by Uber Technologies' $471.6M open-market sale of 72M shares and a director's $19.9M sale, totaling ~3.8% of market cap. This is a highly material bearish signal, as the 10% owner is aggressively exiting a large position, likely signaling a lack of confidence in near-term prospects or a strategic unwind. The historical calibration shows past high-score bearish calls on AUR have been correct, and the cross-filing actuarial verdicts amplify the signal due to the insider-trades context.

Key Financial Metrics

Direction
selling
Total Value
$491.5M
Insiders
3

Key Facts

  • Uber Technologies sold 72,000,000 shares for $471.6M on August 17, 2026.
  • Director Volpi Michelangelo sold 2,842,682 shares for $19.9M on August 17, 2026.
  • Total cluster selling value is $491.5M, representing ~4.0% of AUR's $12.3B market cap.
  • Two other insiders (President, See Remarks) had tax-withholding transactions totaling $694K, which are non-cash and non-directional.
  • The cluster is heavily weighted toward a 10% owner (Uber) and a director, both selling in open market.

Financial Impact

Total insider selling of $491.5M, approximately 4.0% of market cap.

dilutionmarket_sentimentownership_structure

Risk Factors

  • Uber's sale could be part of a strategic unwind, not necessarily a bearish view on Aurora's business.
  • The stock may have already priced in some selling pressure if the market was aware of Uber's intent.
  • Historical calibration shows high-score bearish calls on AUR have been correct, but past performance is not guaranteed.

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Services-Computer Integrated Systems Design
Analyst Consensus
63% bullish (16 analysts)

Investment Themes

Software & IT

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 SEC document filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
CLUSTER Data (Synthetic)cluster-AUR-1787379061663
12 reports for AUR
Performance horizon
100% Hit rate 7 of 7 directional calls best @ T+60▲ +47.37%Feb 28, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for AUR — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Aug 19, 2026
6w ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 8/10
$6.20 $6.49▼ −4.76%▼ −6.71%$5.67 (+8.47%)
Aug 19, 2026
6w ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 8/10
$6.20 $6.49▼ −4.76%▼ −6.71%$5.67 (+8.47%)
Aug 19, 2026
6w ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 8/10
$6.20 $6.49▼ −4.76%▼ −6.71%$5.67 (+8.47%)
Aug 17, 2026
6w ago
144
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$6.15 $6.36▼ −3.41%▼ −5.16%$5.67 (+7.80%)
Aug 12, 2026
7w ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$6.84 $6.43▼ −5.99%▼ −4.25%$5.67 (−17.11%)
Aug 12, 2026
7w ago
144
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$6.84 $6.43▲ +5.99%▲ +4.25%$5.67 (+17.11%)
Aug 10, 2026
7w ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$6.95 $6.50▼ −6.47%▼ −5.42%$5.67 (−18.42%)
Aug 10, 2026
7w ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$6.95 $6.50▼ −6.47%▼ −5.42%$5.67 (−18.42%)
Aug 7, 2026
7w ago
144
BEARISH ★ 4/10
$6.98 $6.51▲ +6.73%▲ +5.82%$5.67 (+18.77%)
Jun 15, 2026
15w ago
Insider Buy
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$6.39 $6.05▼ −5.32%▼ −4.57%$5.67 (−11.27%)
Showing 10 of 12

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Mon (65h 7m)

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Report published Aug 22, 2026