Institutional Cluster

ASTS

AST SpaceMobile, Inc.
MIXED
Impact 6/10
Horizonweeks Processed7mo ago
Institutional cluster: 3 buyers, 3 sellers (mixed)
Actionable Insight ◆ Mixed

The divergence between sovereign/passive buyers and exiting quant funds suggests a split in outlook—long-term strategic belief vs short-term risk assessment. Traders should monitor upcoming satellite deployment milestones and cash burn metrics as potential catalysts.

DirectionMixed
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d ⚠ clustered
ASTS ▲ +37.71% at T+60d
NEUTRAL call ✓ call won +37.71% · α vs SPY +28.39% · entry $86.92 → $119.70
Entry anchored
Feb 27, 06:40 PM ET
via exchange tick
T+1d
+6.63%
call +6.63% · α +7.54%
$92.68
settled 7mo ago
T+5d
+3.27%
call +3.27% · α +4.47%
$89.76
settled 7mo ago
T+20d
-15.07%
call -15.07% · α -7.13%
$73.82
settled 6mo ago
T+60d
+37.71%
call +37.71% · α +28.39%
$119.70
settled 4mo ago

Executive Summary

Three major institutions, including Norges Bank with a new $198.3M position, increased or initiated holdings in ASTS during 2025-Q4, while three others, notably quant funds RenTech and Two Sigma exiting entirely, reduced exposure. The mixed signal reflects diverging views between passive/sovereign investors adding confidence and sophisticated quant funds exiting completely.

Key Financial Metrics

Direction
mixed
Buy Value
$621.7M
Sell Value
$13.8M
Net Flow
$607.9M

Institutional Positions

Net institutional flow: $607.9M

▲ Buyers (3)

InstitutionActionChangePosition ValueValue Δ
FidelityADD+47.1%$84.8M$45.9M
Norges BankNEW+0%$198.3M$198.3M
Morgan StanleyADD+44%$338.6M$179.7M

▼ Sellers (3)

InstitutionActionChangePrev ValueValue Δ
Wells FargoTRIM-34.6%$174.4M-$5.7M
RenTechEXIT-100%$6.8M-$6.8M
Two SigmaEXIT-100%$1.3M-$1.3M

Key Facts

  • Norges Bank established a new $198.3M position in ASTS, the largest single buyer in the cluster.
  • Morgan Stanley increased its stake by 44%, adding $179.7M in value, now holding $338.6M.
  • Fidelity added $45.9M, increasing shares by 47.1% to a $84.8M position.
  • RenTech and Two Sigma fully exited their positions, selling $6.8M and $1.3M respectively.
  • Wells Fargo trimmed its position by 34.6%, reducing holdings by $5.7M.
  • Net institutional activity: $423.9M in buying vs $13.8M in selling.

Financial Impact

3 institutions accumulated $423.9M in new or expanded positions while 3 reduced holdings by $13.8M, resulting in a net buy of $410.1M

market_sentimentinstitutional_ownershipfloat_distribution

Risk Factors

  • Quant fund exits may signal concerns about valuation or near-term execution risks.
  • High institutional turnover could increase volatility if sentiment shifts rapidly.

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq

Investment Themes

Space & Satellites

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 institutional 13F filing from SEC EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
INST-CLUSTER Data (Synthetic)inst-cluster-ASTS-2025-Q4
11 reports for ASTS
Performance horizon
80% Hit rate 4 of 5 directional calls best @ T+60▲ +37.71%Feb 28, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for ASTS — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Aug 15, 2026
6w ago
Institutional Cluster
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$71.14 $60.00▼ −15.66%▼ −14.13%—
Jun 23, 2026
14w ago
144
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$72.87 $57.42▲ +21.20%▲ +22.36%—
Jun 12, 2026
15w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$87.57 $67.58▼ −22.83%▼ −22.08%—
Jun 12, 2026
15w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$87.57 $67.58▼ −22.83%▼ −22.08%—
Jun 12, 2026
16w ago
Institutional Cluster
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$82.41 $73.32▼ −11.03%▼ −12.81%—
May 20, 2026
19w ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$96.23 $73.17▼ −23.97%▼ −24.30%—
May 13, 2026
20w ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$83.01 $82.41▼ −0.72%▲ +0.14%—
Apr 28, 2026
22w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$69.85 $129.60▲ +85.54%▲ +80.08%—
Apr 20, 2026
23w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$81.00 $86.83▼ −7.20%▼ −3.00%—
Feb 28, 2026
30w ago
Institutional Cluster
MIXED ★ 6/10
$86.92 $73.82▼ −15.07%▼ −7.13%—
Showing 10 of 11

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Report published Feb 28, 2026