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S-3ASR ·Filed Jul 16, 2026

ASPI

ASP Isotopes Inc.
BEARISH
Impact 6/10
Horizonweeks Processed3mo ago SEC0001477932-26-004362
Notable filing: S-3ASR
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

Monitor for selling activity by the largest holders, especially Tees River Isotopes Fund (9.46M shares registered) and Bakken Limited (2.37M shares). The overhang will likely pressure the stock as the market absorbs potential supply. The company's pre-revenue status and lack of new capital from this filing reinforce the need to watch for further dilution or financing events.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d ⚠ clustered
ASPI ▼ -37.03% at T+60d
SHORT call ✓ call won +37.03% · α vs SPY +41.72% · entry $3.88 → $2.44
Entry = T+0 close
Jul 16, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+0.39%
call -0.39% · α -0.55%
$3.89
settled 3mo ago
T+5d
+4.26%
call -4.26% · α -4.95%
$4.04
settled 3mo ago
T+20d
+10.19%
call -10.19% · α -5.75%
$4.27
settled 2mo ago
T+60d
-37.03%
call +37.03% · α +41.72%
$2.44
settled 17d ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

ASP Isotopes filed an automatic shelf registration (S-3ASR) to register 23,160,682 shares for resale by selling stockholders — shares issued to convert $109.2M of 8% Convertible Promissory Notes from subsidiary QLE. The company receives no proceeds; the filing creates a ~15% overhang that can be sold into the market at any time.

Key Facts

  • 23,160,682 shares registered for resale, representing 15.1% of 153,309,380 shares outstanding post-issuance
  • Shares issued in exchange for $109,181,606 principal plus accrued interest on 8% convertible notes due 2030
  • Company receives no proceeds from the resale — this is a secondary offering by selling stockholders
  • Largest selling stockholder: Tees River Isotopes Fund (10.9% pre-offering, offering 9,461,110 shares, leaving 4.7%)
  • Company has not generated any revenue from enriched isotopes as of March 31, 2026 (per the 10-Q referenced)
  • Renergen audit (acquired Jan 2026) included a going-concern explanatory paragraph

Financial Impact

Potential market overhang of ~15% of outstanding shares that can be sold at market prices; no cash proceeds to the company. The debt conversion eliminates $109.2M in subsidiary liabilities and future interest, but the dilution is certain and immediate.

dilutionshare countdebt

Risk Factors

  • Significant stock overhang could depress share price as selling stockholders offload positions
  • Company remains pre-revenue from its core isotope business, increasing reliance on equity for funding
  • No new capital raised — the filing does not improve the company's cash position

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Miscellaneous Chemical Products
Analyst Consensus
89% bullish (9 analysts)

Investment Themes

Materials & Mining

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 8 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
S-3ASR Filing (Primary)0001477932-26-004362
Document: aspi_ex107.htm0001477932-26-004362
Document: aspi_ex51.htm0001477932-26-004362
Document: aspi_ex232.htm0001477932-26-004362
Document: aspi_ex231.htm0001477932-26-004362
Document: 0001477932-26-004362-index-headers.html0001477932-26-004362
Document: 0001477932-26-004362-index.html0001477932-26-004362
Document: 0001477932-26-004362.txt0001477932-26-004362
31 reports for ASPI
Performance horizon
63% Hit rate @ T+5 5 of 8 directional calls Went positive at some point 7 of 8 best @ T+60▲ +26.00%Feb 28, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for ASPI — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 26, 2026
today
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$2.07awaiting T+5—$2.03 (−2.18%)
Oct 15, 2026
11d ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$2.21 $2.09▼ −5.43%▼ −4.42%$2.03 (−8.34%)
Oct 2, 2026
24d ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$2.91 $2.65▼ −8.93%▼ −10.10%$2.03 (−30.39%)
Sep 25, 2026
4w ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$2.60 $2.93▲ +12.69%▲ +11.49%$2.03 (−22.09%)
Sep 9, 2026
6w ago
425
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$3.82 $3.15▼ −17.54%▼ −16.44%$2.03 (−46.97%)
Sep 2, 2026
7w ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$3.90 $3.31▼ −15.13%▼ −13.98%$2.03 (−48.06%)
Aug 20, 2026
9w ago
425 / 8-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$3.95 $4.04▲ +2.41%▲ +1.29%$2.03 (−48.65%)
Aug 18, 2026
9w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$3.86 $4.00▲ +3.63%▲ +3.83%$2.03 (−47.52%)
Aug 16, 2026
10w ago
Institutional Cluster
MIXED ★ 4/10
$4.02 $3.89▼ −3.23%▼ −2.04%$2.03 (−49.61%)
Aug 5, 2026
11w ago
425
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$4.10 $4.28▲ +4.39%▲ +3.18%$2.03 (−50.60%)
Showing 10 of 31

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Report published Jul 16, 2026