PREM14A ·Filed Jul 13, 2026

ARI

Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc.
MIXED
Impact 7/10
Horizonmonths Processed2mo ago SEC0001193125-26-302255
Preliminary proxy statement (merger-related)
Actionable Insight ◆ Mixed

The stock is expected to trade near the estimated liquidation value of $11.50-$12.25 per share including the July 15 dividend. The initial cash distribution of ~$3.70-$4.00 within 30 days provides a near-term catalyst. Monitor shareholder vote and subsequent REO sale progress for the final distribution amount.

DirectionMixed
Confidencehigh
Horizonmonths
Latest settled — T+5d
ARI ▼ -35.63% at T+5d
NEUTRAL call ✗ call lost -35.63% · α vs SPY -34.33% · entry $10.61 → $6.83
Next anchor: T+20d due 8w ago
Latest observation: T+57 +4.35% FF3 residual α
Entry anchored
Jul 13, 03:59 PM ET
via exchange tick
T+1d
-0.66%
call -0.66% · α -1.06%
$10.54
settled 3mo ago
T+5d
-35.63%
call -35.63% · α -34.33%
$6.83
settled 2mo ago
T+20d
—
call — · α —
—
due 8w ago
T+60d
—
call — · α —
—
in 4d

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

ARI's board unanimously recommends complete liquidation and dissolution, with estimated total stockholder distributions of $7.75-$8.50 per share (plus a $3.75/share dividend already declared). An initial cash distribution of $3.70-$4.00 per share is expected within 30 days of stockholder approval. The company holds $1.3 billion in cash and $0.9 billion in REO assets, with the liquidation targeting completion by the first half of 2028.

Key Facts

  • Board unanimously recommends dissolution and liquidation
  • Estimated total stockholder distributions: $7.75-$8.50 per share (fully diluted)
  • Initial cash distribution of $3.70-$4.00 per share within ~30 days of approval
  • Total BVPS returned including July 15 dividend: $11.50-$12.25 per share
  • Remaining assets: $1.3B cash, $0.9B REO (real estate owned)
  • Manager waives termination fee; Liquidating Trust management fee set at 0.50% of net assets
  • No appraisal or dissenters' rights available
  • Special meeting date to be announced; requires majority of votes entitled to be cast

Financial Impact

Estimated total return to common shareholders of $7.75-$8.50 per share (excluding $3.75 dividend already declared); initial cash distribution of $3.70-$4.00 per share within 30 days of approval

book value per sharecash distributionliquidation value

Risk Factors

  • Actual distributions may be lower than estimated due to REO sale prices, costs, or contingent liabilities
  • Tax implications for non-U.S. and tax-exempt holders from Liquidating Trust interests
  • Potential REIT qualification failure could reduce distributable cash
  • Delays in asset sales or litigation could extend timeline beyond 2028

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Real Estate Investment Trusts
Analyst Consensus
67% bullish (9 analysts)

Investment Themes

Real Estate

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 5 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
PREM14A Filing (Primary)0001193125-26-302255
Document: d119099dexfilingfees.htm0001193125-26-302255
Document: 0001193125-26-302255-index-headers.html0001193125-26-302255
Document: 0001193125-26-302255-index.html0001193125-26-302255
Document: 0001193125-26-302255.txt0001193125-26-302255
8 reports for ARI
Performance horizon
Filters
Rows
Reports for ARI — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Aug 25, 2026
5w ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$6.86 $6.81▼ −0.73%▼ −0.19%$6.20 (−9.62%)
Aug 15, 2026
6w ago
Institutional Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$6.83 $6.89▲ +0.88%▲ +2.07%$6.20 (−9.22%)
Jul 13, 2026
11w ago
PREM14A
MIXED ★ 7/10
$10.61 $6.83▼ −35.63%▼ −34.33%$6.20 (−41.56%)
May 29, 2026
18w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$10.92 $10.98▲ +0.55%▲ +3.30%$6.20 (−43.22%)
May 15, 2026
19w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$10.90 $11.04▲ +1.28%▼ −0.33%$6.20 (−43.12%)
Apr 24, 2026
22w ago
8-K
MIXED ★ 8/10
$11.09 $10.99▼ −0.90%▼ −1.30%$6.20 (−44.09%)
Apr 8, 2026
25w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$10.76 $11.22▲ +4.28%▲ +0.76%$6.20 (−42.38%)
Mar 9, 2026
29w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$10.30 $10.18▼ −1.14%▼ −0.23%$6.20 (−39.80%)
Showing 8 of 8

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Mon (64h 36m)

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