Institutional Cluster

ARCC

ARES CAPITAL CORP
NEUTRAL
Impact 3/10
Horizonweeks Processed1mo ago
Institutional cluster: 6 buyers, 3 sellers (mixed)
Actionable Insight • Neutral

The cluster is mixed and lacks insider corroboration or activist involvement, making it a weak standalone signal. Monitor for a catalyst (e.g., earnings, dividend change, or BDC-specific news) before taking directional action. The selling by M&G (-42.5%) is the most notable individual move and could indicate a thesis change at a large asset manager.

DirectionNeutral
Confidencemedium
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+20d
ARCC ▼ -1.23% at T+20d
NEUTRAL call ✗ call lost -1.23% · α vs SPY -0.31% · entry $19.98 → $19.74
Next anchor: T+60d in 4w
Latest observation: T+35 -2.91% FF3 residual α
Entry anchored
Aug 9, 2026
via day open
T+1d
-0.05%
call -0.05% · α +0.27%
$19.97
settled 8w ago
T+5d
-1.70%
call -1.70% · α -1.66%
$19.64
settled 7w ago
T+20d
-1.23%
call -1.23% · α -0.31%
$19.74
settled 28d ago
T+60d
—
call — · α —
—
in 4w

Executive Summary

A mixed institutional cluster in ARCC for 2026-Q2 shows 6 asset managers adding $13.0M in net new holdings (total $41.4M) while 3 sellers trimmed $2.9M. The buying is broad but dominated by passive-oriented wealth managers (Kestra, Russell, Concurrent) rather than high-conviction activist or hedge-fund names, and the selling by M&G (-42.5%) and others is notable. With no insider open-market buying corroborating the accumulation and a weak historical win rate (33% T+20), the signal is modest and likely reflects routine portfolio rebalancing rather than a catalyst-driven thesis.

Key Financial Metrics

Direction
mixed
Buy Value
$41.4M
Sell Value
$2.9M
Net Flow
$13.0M

Institutional Positions

Net institutional flow: $13.0M

▲ Buyers (6)

InstitutionActionChangePosition ValueValue Δ
Russell Investments GroupADD+38.8%$22.3M$6.7M
Kestra Advisory ServicesADD+34.5%$9.6M$2.7M
Concurrent Investment AdvisorsDOUBLED+132.4%$2.9M$1.7M
Farther Finance AdvisorsADD+38%$4.1M$1.3M
Mml Investors ServicesADD+36.4%$2.2M$618.0K
Fisher Asset ManagementADD+52.1%$365.0K$132.0K

▼ Sellers (3)

InstitutionActionChangePrev ValueValue Δ
M&GTRIM-42.5%$3.6M-$1.4M
Hb Wealth ManagementTRIM-33.4%$2.7M-$865.1K
Johnson Investment CounselTRIM-33.1%$2.1M-$662.9K

Key Facts

  • 6 buyers added $13.0M in net new ARCC holdings in Q2 2026, led by Russell Investments (+$6.7M) and Kestra Advisory (+$2.7M)
  • 3 sellers trimmed $2.9M, with M&G cutting 42.5% of its position (-$1.4M)
  • No insider open-market buying in the window; the cluster is institutions-only
  • All participants are asset managers (no activist or hedge-fund names); buying is concentrated in wealth advisory firms
  • Historical reports on ARCC have a 33% win rate at T+20, suggesting limited predictive power from similar signals

Financial Impact

6 buyers accumulated $13.0M in net new holdings (total $41.4M) while 3 sellers reduced by $2.9M

institutional ownershipfloat

Risk Factors

  • 13F data is 45+ days stale; positions may have been unwound since quarter-end
  • No insider buying to confirm institutional conviction
  • Historical win rate on ARCC reports is low (33% at T+20), suggesting limited edge from this signal type

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Analyst Consensus
80% bullish (20 analysts)

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 institutional 13F filing from SEC EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
INST-CLUSTER Data (Synthetic)inst-cluster-ARCC-2026-Q2
10 reports for ARCC
Performance horizon
Filters
Rows
Reports for ARCC — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Aug 9, 2026
7w ago
Institutional Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$19.98 $19.74▼ −1.23%▼ −0.31%—
Jul 22, 2026
10w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$18.61 $19.78▲ +6.29%▲ +2.98%—
Jun 22, 2026
14w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$17.89 $18.98▲ +6.09%▲ +4.93%—
Jun 6, 2026
16w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$18.77 $18.56▼ −1.12%▼ −2.75%—
May 26, 2026
18w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$18.82 $18.05▼ −4.09%▼ −2.14%—
May 15, 2026
20w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$18.72 $18.62▼ −0.53%▼ −2.12%—
May 15, 2026
20w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$18.72 $18.62▼ −0.53%▼ −2.12%—
May 11, 2026
20w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$18.77 $18.57▼ −1.09%▲ +0.64%—
Apr 28, 2026
22w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$18.67 $18.86▲ +1.02%▼ −4.44%—
Apr 28, 2026
22w ago
8-K
MIXED ★ 5/10
$18.92 $18.86▼ −0.32%▼ −5.77%—
Showing 10 of 10

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Mon (38h 18m)

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Report published Aug 9, 2026