8-K ·Filed Jul 29, 2026

AON

Aon plc
NEUTRAL
Impact 5/10
Horizondays Processed2mo ago SEC0001628280-26-050367
8-K Item 2.02: Earnings release
Actionable Insight • Neutral

The reaffirmed guidance and 5% organic growth confirm steady execution, but the GAAP EPS decline and 34% FCF drop in the quarter may create near-term noise. Watch the Q3 cash flow trajectory and any commentary on M&A deployment given the $7.7B remaining buyback authorization and strong balance sheet.

DirectionNeutral
Confidencehigh
Horizondays
Latest settled — T+20d
AON ▼ -6.15% at T+20d
NEUTRAL call ✗ call lost -6.15% · α vs SPY -11.17% · entry $377.16 → $353.98
Next anchor: T+60d in 20d
Latest observation: T+44 -36.80% FF3 residual α
Entry anchored
Jul 28, 03:59 PM ET
via exchange tick
T+1d
-2.81%
call -2.81% · α -4.48%
$366.57
settled 2mo ago
T+5d
-4.56%
call -4.56% · α -10.09%
$359.97
settled 8w ago
T+20d
-6.15%
call -6.15% · α -11.17%
$353.98
settled 5w ago
T+60d
—
call — · α —
—
in 20d

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Aon reported Q2 2026 results with total revenue of $4.246B (+2% YoY), 5% organic revenue growth, and adjusted EPS of $3.81 (+9% YoY), slightly above the $3.77 consensus. GAAP diluted EPS declined 3% to $2.58 due to the absence of prior-year gains from deferred consideration. The company reaffirmed 2026 guidance for mid-single-digit or greater organic revenue growth, 70-80 bps of adjusted operating margin expansion, strong adjusted EPS growth, and double-digit free cash flow growth. The quarter was characterized by solid organic growth across all segments, margin expansion, and aggressive capital return ($600M in buybacks, $175M in dividends), but GAAP net income declined and operating cash flow fell 30% in the quarter.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
$3.81
est $3.77 · +1.1%
Revenue
$4.2B
est $4.3B · -0.6% · +2.0% YoY
Rating
in line
Free Cash Flow
$483.0M

Key Facts

  • Total revenue $4.246B, +2% YoY (5% organic growth, +1% FX, -4% divestitures)
  • Adjusted EPS $3.81, +9% YoY, vs consensus $3.77 (beat by ~1%)
  • GAAP diluted EPS $2.58, -3% YoY, impacted by absence of prior-year deferred consideration gains
  • Adjusted operating margin 28.9%, +70 bps YoY
  • Operating cash flow $556M, -30% YoY; free cash flow $483M, -34% YoY
  • Reaffirmed 2026 guidance: mid-single-digit+ organic revenue growth, 70-80 bps margin expansion, strong adjusted EPS growth, double-digit FCF growth
  • Returned $775M to shareholders in Q2: $600M buybacks (1.9M shares) + $175M dividends
  • Risk Capital revenue +5% to $3.0B; Human Capital revenue -4% to $1.2B (Wealth Solutions -18% reported, +5% organic)
  • Interest expense -16% to $179M on lower total debt
  • Weighted average diluted shares -2% to 213.9M

Financial Impact

Adjusted EPS beat consensus by ~$0.04 (1%), revenue slightly below consensus of $4.27B by ~$24M (0.6%)

revenueadjusted_epsoperating_marginfree_cash_flowshare_repurchases

Risk Factors

  • GAAP net income declined 5% YoY due to absence of prior-year one-time gains
  • Operating cash flow fell 30% in Q2, though H1 was up 5%
  • Human Capital revenue declined 4% reported due to NFP Wealth divestiture
  • Effective tax rate increased to 22.0% from 15.5% YoY, pressuring GAAP EPS

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Insurance Agents, Brokers & Service
Analyst Consensus
66% bullish (29 analysts)

Investment Themes

Traditional Finance

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 6 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001628280-26-050367
Document: aon-20260729.htm0001628280-26-050367
Document: 0001628280-26-050367-index-headers.html0001628280-26-050367
Document: 0001628280-26-050367-index.html0001628280-26-050367
Document: 0001628280-26-050367.txt0001628280-26-050367
8-K Data (Synthetic)0001628280-26-050367
5 reports for AON
Performance horizon

Track record builds as more directional reports settle.

Filters
Rows
Reports for AON — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Sep 4, 2026
28d ago
Insider Buy
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$323.09 $311.54▼ −3.57%▼ −2.37%$270.96 (−16.13%)
Aug 31, 2026
4w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$321.52 $315.79▼ −1.78%▼ −1.64%$270.96 (−15.73%)
Aug 17, 2026
6w ago
Press Release
MIXED ★ 5/10
$343.20 $354.83▲ +3.39%▲ +3.59%$270.96 (−21.05%)
Jul 29, 2026
9w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$377.16 $359.97▼ −4.56%▼ −10.09%$270.96 (−28.16%)
Apr 28, 2026
22w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$322.35 $308.16▼ −4.40%▼ −7.51%$270.96 (−15.94%)
Showing 5 of 5

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