Institutional Cluster

AMH

American Homes 4 Rent
BULLISH
Impact 5/10
Horizonweeks Processed2mo ago
Institutional cluster: 5 buyers, 2 sellers (bullish)
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

The institutional cluster is directionally bullish with insider corroboration, but AMH's poor historical T+20 performance on prior reports (14% win rate) and calibration data showing negative net alpha at score-6/7/8 suggest caution. Monitor next earnings for FFO growth and occupancy trends — the accumulation may be a long-term value play rather than a near-term catalyst.

DirectionBullish
Confidencemedium
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+20d
AMH ▼ -3.51% at T+20d
LONG call ✗ call lost -3.51% · α vs SPY -4.74% · entry $34.51 → $33.30
Next anchor: T+60d in 24d
Latest observation: T+43 -3.26% FF3 residual α
Entry anchored
Jul 31, 03:59 PM ET
via exchange tick
T+1d
-0.21%
call -0.21% · α -1.96%
$34.44
settled 2mo ago
T+5d
-1.10%
call -1.10% · α -3.13%
$34.13
settled 8w ago
T+20d
-3.51%
call -3.51% · α -4.74%
$33.30
settled 5w ago
T+60d
—
call — · α —
—
in 24d

Executive Summary

Five institutional asset managers added $14.2M net to AMH positions in Q2 2026, led by Strs Ohio (+$6.0M) and Commonwealth Of Pennsylvania (+$4.3M), while two European managers trimmed $655K. The cluster is entirely active managers with no passive/index rebalancing, and one insider bought $80K open-market, reinforcing conviction. However, the stock's T+20 win rate on prior reports is only 14%, and the calibration data shows score-6/7/8 filings have historically underperformed, suggesting this accumulation may not translate to near-term upside.

Key Financial Metrics

Direction
accumulating
Buy Value
$31.1M
Sell Value
$655.2K
Net Flow
$14.2M

Institutional Positions

Net institutional flow: $14.2M

▲ Buyers (5)

InstitutionActionChangePosition ValueValue Δ
Commonwealth Of Pennsylvania Public SchoolADD+37.6%$10.9M$4.3M
Merit Financial GroupADD+39.8%$1.5M$610.0K
Strs OhioADD+56.9%$12.9M$6.0M
Wealth Enhancement Advisory ServicesDOUBLED+116.2%$5.1M$2.8M
Hb Wealth ManagementDOUBLED+102.5%$667.0K$392.0K

▼ Sellers (2)

InstitutionActionChangePrev ValueValue Δ
Mirae Asset Global Investments Co.TRIM-72.9%$213.0K-$143.8K
Eurizon Capital Sgr S.p.a.TRIM-38.7%$1.9M-$511.3K

Key Facts

  • 5 institutional buyers added $14.2M net in Q2 2026
  • Strs Ohio added $6.0M (+56.9% shares) — largest buyer
  • Wealth Enhancement Advisory Services doubled its position (+116.2%)
  • 2 European sellers trimmed $655K combined
  • One insider bought $80K open-market (confluence score 62/100)
  • All 5 buyers are active asset managers — no passive/index funds
  • Historical T+20 win rate on AMH reports is only 14% (1 of 7 settled)

Financial Impact

5 active managers accumulated $14.2M net; 2 sellers trimmed $655K; total buying $14.9M vs selling $655K

institutional ownershipfloat

Risk Factors

  • 13F data is 45+ days stale — positions may have been unwound since quarter-end
  • Historical T+20 win rate on AMH reports is only 14% (1 of 7 settled)
  • Calibration data shows score-6/7/8 filings on this segment have negative net alpha at T+20
  • All buyers are smaller asset managers — no major activist or hedge fund names

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Real Estate Investment Trusts
Analyst Consensus
59% bullish (29 analysts)

Investment Themes

Real Estate

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 institutional 13F filing from SEC EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
INST-CLUSTER Data (Synthetic)inst-cluster-AMH-2026-Q2
11 reports for AMH
Performance horizon
100% Hit rate 4 of 4 directional calls best @ T+60▲ +8.48%Feb 23, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for AMH — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Aug 3, 2026
8w ago
Court Ruling
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$34.51 $33.30▼ −3.50%▼ −4.74%—
Aug 2, 2026
8w ago
Institutional Cluster
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$34.51 $33.30▼ −3.51%▼ −4.74%—
Jul 30, 2026
9w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$33.42 $33.54▲ +0.36%▼ −2.63%—
Jul 10, 2026
12w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$33.80 $34.13▲ +0.98%▼ −2.21%—
Jun 12, 2026
15w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$32.62 $33.80▲ +3.62%▲ +4.37%—
Jun 12, 2026
15w ago
424B5
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$32.62 $33.80▼ −3.62%▼ −4.37%—
Mar 27, 2026
27w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$22.55 $22.61▲ +0.27%▼ −12.33%—
Feb 24, 2026
31w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$29.85 $27.47▼ −7.97%▼ −2.99%—
Feb 23, 2026
31w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$29.40 $27.54▼ −6.32%▼ −2.38%—
Feb 23, 2026
31w ago
Insider Cluster
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$29.40 $27.54▼ −6.32%▼ −2.38%—
Showing 10 of 11

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Mon (64h 36m)

Subscribe to SecBot

Get Real-Time SEC Filing Intelligence

Comprehensive SEC filing analysis delivered the moment filings hit EDGAR. Sentiment scoring, impact analysis, and actionable insights for every material event.

Try SecBot Free Coming soon: SecBot Pro with alerts, watchlists, and API access
Report published Aug 2, 2026