The cluster is small in dollar terms relative to ALSN's $9.1B market cap (0.24% of market cap) but is unanimously bullish and corroborated by the company's strong Q3 earnings and raised guidance filed the day before this analysis. Monitor next quarter's 13F for follow-through buying and any insider open-market purchases to confirm conviction.
How the stock moved after the report
⚠ Clustered BULLISH VIEWSTOCK ABOVE ENTRY AT T+5- T+0 · Nov 3 $118.92entry
- T+1 · 8d ago +1.35%α −0.31% · $120.52
- T+5 · yesterday +5.58%α +6.17% · $125.56
- T+6 · todayOpen
- T+20 · in 20d Pending
- T+60 · in 3mo Pending
How similar events traded
Executive Summary
Four institutional investors accumulated $21.6M in ALSN during Q3 2026, led by Principal Financial Group opening a $21.5M new position. The cluster aligns with Allison Transmission's strong Q3 earnings beat and raised guidance reported on November 2, 2026, suggesting the buying was driven by the company's outperformance and upgraded outlook.
Key Financial Metrics
Institutional Positions
Net institutional flow: $21.6M
▲ Buyers (4)
| Institution | Action | Change | Position Value | Value Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Principal Financial Group | NEW | +100% | $21.5M | $21.5M |
| Strs Ohio | ADD | +48.8% | $294.0K | $97.0K |
| Mather Group | ADD | +68.2% | $33.0K | $13.0K |
| Nisa Investment Advisors | ADD | +46.9% | $146.0K | $47.0K |
Key Facts
- 4 institutional buyers, 0 sellers in Q3 2026
- Principal Financial Group opened a new $21.5M position
- Total net institutional buying: $21.6M
- Q3 2026 earnings beat consensus by $0.42 (actual $2.90 vs estimate $2.48)
- Full-year 2026 guidance raised for second consecutive quarter
Financial Impact
4 institutions accumulated $21.6M in new positions; no institutional selling
Risk Factors
- 13F data is 45+ days stale; positions may have been reduced since quarter-end
- Cluster is small in absolute dollar terms ($21.6M) relative to market cap
- No insider open-market buying to corroborate institutional conviction (confluence score 3/100)
Market Snapshot
Investment Themes
Documents Analyzed
This report is based on 1 institutional 13F filing from SEC EDGAR.
| Document | Accession Number |
|---|---|
| INST-CLUSTER Data (Synthetic) | inst-cluster-ALSN-2026-Q3 |
Track record
12 reports on ALSN
The track record builds as more bullish or bearish reports settle.
Filters
- Nov 11, 2026today Press Release Neutral 2/10 Entry $123.03 settles Nov 19
- Nov 10, 20261d ago 8-K Neutral 3/10 Entry $125.56 settles Nov 17
- Nov 2, 20269d ago Institutional Cluster Bullish 4/10 Viewing Entry $118.92 to $125.56 ▲ +5.58% +6.17% vs SPY
- Nov 2, 20269d ago 8-K Bullish 6/10 Entry $118.92 to $125.56 ▲ +5.58% +6.17% vs SPY
- Oct 23, 202619d ago Press Release Neutral 3/10 Entry $106.32 to $108.05 ▲ +1.63% +2.19% vs SPY
- Aug 15, 202612w ago Institutional Cluster Mixed 4/10 Entry $127.11 to $131.38 ▲ +3.36% +4.55% vs SPY
- Aug 13, 202612w ago Insider Cluster Neutral 2/10 Entry $125.87 to $133.23 ▲ +5.85% +7.22% vs SPY
- Aug 5, 202614w ago GOVT-CONTRACT Neutral 3/10 Entry $116.24 to $122.92 ▲ +5.75% +4.53% vs SPY
- Jun 16, 202621w ago 8-K Neutral 3/10 Entry $118.86 to $119.68 ▲ +0.69% +1.73% vs SPY
- May 8, 202626w ago 8-K Neutral 2/10 Entry $123.72 to $114.06 ▼ −7.81% −7.72% vs SPY
US Market Status
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