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S-3ASR ·Filed Jun 29, 2026

ALOY

REALLOYS INC.
MIXED
Impact 6/10
Horizondays Processed3mo ago SEC0001185185-26-002707
Notable filing: S-3ASR
Actionable Insight ◆ Mixed

Monitor for immediate selling by institutional holders. The $100M cash raise strengthens balance sheet but the resale registration creates near-term overhang. Watch volume and price action for signs of distribution.

DirectionMixed
Confidencehigh
Horizondays
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d ⚠ clustered
ALOY ▼ -40.00% at T+60d
NEUTRAL call -40.00% · α vs SPY -42.82% · entry $14.45 → $8.67
Entry = T+0 close
Jun 29, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+3.74%
call +3.74% · α +3.87%
$14.99
settled 4mo ago
T+5d
-11.83%
call -11.83% · α -12.44%
$12.74
settled 4mo ago
T+20d
-46.37%
call -46.37% · α -45.34%
$7.75
settled 3mo ago
T+60d
-40.00%
call -40.00% · α -42.82%
$8.67
settled 5w ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

REalloys Inc. filed an automatic shelf registration (S-3ASR) covering an indeterminate amount of securities for future offerings and, critically, a resale prospectus for 7,017,540 shares issued in a private placement on June 24, 2026. The private placement raised approximately $100 million at $14.25 per share from institutional investors including Blackstone, Citadel, Davidson Kempner, and Ghisallo. The registration allows these shares to be resold immediately, creating a large overhang (10.2% of shares outstanding) that may pressure the stock.

Key Facts

  • Private placement raised ~$100M via 7,017,540 shares at $14.25 each
  • Resale registration covers all 7,017,540 shares for selling stockholders
  • Selling stockholders include Blackstone (350,877 shares), Citadel (4,210,524), Davidson Kempner (1,754,385), and Ghisallo (701,754)
  • Company had $42.5M cash as of March 31, 2026 and an accumulated deficit of $187.8M
  • As of June 26, 2026, 68,782,081 shares outstanding; resale shares represent ~10.2% dilution

Financial Impact

~$100M cash infusion, but potential selling pressure from up to 7.0M shares (~10% of outstanding) at current market price near $14.68

dilutioncash position

Risk Factors

  • Significant dilution from resale of 7.0M shares
  • Potential downward price pressure if selling stockholders liquidate quickly
  • Company has limited operating history and large accumulated deficit

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Metal Mining
Analyst Consensus
86% bullish (7 analysts)

Investment Themes

Materials & Mining

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 3 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
S-3ASR Filing (Primary)0001185185-26-002707
Document: 0001185185-26-002707-index.html0001185185-26-002707
Document: 0001185185-26-002707.txt0001185185-26-002707
18 reports for ALOY
Performance horizon
100% Hit rate @ T+60 8 of 8 directional calls Went positive at some point 8 of 9 best @ T+20▲ +50.34%Mar 6, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for ALOY — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 6, 2026
20d ago
SC 13G
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$7.93awaiting T+60—$6.95 (−12.36%)
Aug 15, 2026
10w ago
Institutional Cluster
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$13.86awaiting T+60—$6.95 (−49.84%)
Aug 13, 2026
10w ago
Press Release
MIXED ★ 6/10
$14.72awaiting T+60—$6.95 (−52.79%)
Jun 30, 2026
16w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$14.99 $8.52▼ −43.16%▼ −46.03%$6.95 (−53.64%)
Jun 29, 2026
17w ago
S-3ASR
MIXED ★ 6/10
$14.45 $8.67▼ −40.00%▼ −42.82%$6.95 (−51.90%)
Jun 26, 2026
17w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$14.68 $9.33▲ +36.44%▲ +42.55%$6.95 (+52.66%)
Jun 26, 2026
17w ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$14.68 $9.33▲ +36.44%▲ +42.55%$6.95 (+52.66%)
Jun 24, 2026
17w ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$14.25 $8.26▲ +42.04%▲ +45.77%$6.95 (+51.23%)
Jun 2, 2026
20w ago
144
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$11.64 $11.55▲ +0.77%▲ +1.89%$6.95 (+40.29%)
May 22, 2026
22w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$10.55 $12.51▲ +18.58%▲ +15.85%$6.95 (−34.12%)
Showing 10 of 18

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Tue (15h 57m)

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Report published Jun 29, 2026