8-K ·Filed Mar 19, 2026

ALL

ALLSTATE CORP
MIXED
Impact 5/10
Horizonweeks Processed6mo ago SEC0000899051-26-000055
8-K context-dependent: Items 7.01
Actionable Insight ◆ Mixed

Monitor Allstate's upcoming earnings report for confirmation of these preliminary catastrophe loss estimates and assess whether the policy growth in auto and homeowners can offset the impact of these losses on profitability.

DirectionMixed
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d
ALL ▲ +8.74% at T+60d
NEUTRAL call ✓ call won +8.74% · α vs SPY -5.60% · entry $203.92 → $221.74
Entry anchored
Mar 18, 03:59 PM ET
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call +6.00% · α -1.62%
$216.16
settled 6mo ago
T+60d
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call +8.74% · α -5.60%
$221.74
settled 4mo ago

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Executive Summary

Allstate reported estimated catastrophe losses of $140 million ($111 million after-tax) for February 2026, bringing year-to-date losses to $315 million. The company also disclosed policy count growth across auto and homeowners lines, with total policies in force increasing 2.5% year-over-year to 38.4 million.

Key Facts

  • Estimated catastrophe losses of $140 million ($111 million after-tax) for February 2026
  • Total catastrophe losses for January and February 2026 were $315 million ($249 million after-tax)
  • Allstate Protection policies in force totaled 38,437,000 as of February 28, 2026
  • Auto policies grew 3.0% year-over-year to 25,633,000
  • Homeowners policies increased 2.5% year-over-year to 7,726,000
  • Commercial lines policies declined 10.2% year-over-year to 176,000

Financial Impact

$315 million in catastrophe losses for first two months of 2026

catastrophe lossesnet incomepolicy count

Risk Factors

  • High catastrophe losses could pressure quarterly earnings and capital ratios
  • Declining commercial lines policies (-10.2% YoY) may indicate challenges in this segment
  • Preliminary loss estimates could be revised upward in final financial statements

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE

Investment Themes

Traditional Finance

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 5 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0000899051-26-000055
Exhibit: exhibit99newsrelease031926.htm0000899051-26-000055
Document: 0000899051-26-000055-index-headers.html0000899051-26-000055
Document: 0000899051-26-000055-index.html0000899051-26-000055
Document: 0000899051-26-000055.txt0000899051-26-000055
14 reports for ALL
Performance horizon
25% Hit rate 1 of 4 directional calls best @ T+20▲ +1.85%Aug 20, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for ALL — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Aug 20, 2026
6w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$254.54 $249.83▲ +1.85%▲ +1.85%$224.41 (+11.84%)
Aug 13, 2026
7w ago
13F-HR
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$260.48 $253.71▼ −2.60%▼ −0.85%$224.41 (−13.85%)
Aug 12, 2026
7w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$260.48 $253.71▼ −2.60%▼ −0.85%$224.41 (−13.85%)
Aug 5, 2026
8w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 8/10
$275.11 $263.11▼ −4.36%▼ −4.96%$224.41 (−18.43%)
Jul 18, 2026
10w ago
Institutional Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$253.73 $258.10▲ +1.72%▼ −2.40%$224.41 (−11.56%)
Jul 16, 2026
11w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$241.86 $260.48▲ +7.70%▲ +4.08%$224.41 (−7.21%)
Jul 8, 2026
12w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$251.17 $264.59▲ +5.34%▲ +2.07%$224.41 (−10.65%)
Jul 6, 2026
12w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$248.37 $264.08▲ +6.33%▲ +6.89%$224.41 (−9.65%)
Jun 18, 2026
15w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$221.17 $241.86▲ +9.35%▲ +8.82%$224.41 (+1.46%)
May 21, 2026
19w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$25.91 $25.82▼ −0.35%▼ −0.68%$224.41 (+766.11%)
Showing 10 of 14

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