Institutional Cluster

ALK

ALASKA AIR GROUP, INC.
MIXED
Impact 5/10
Horizonweeks Processed2mo ago
Institutional cluster: 19 buyers, 27 sellers (mixed)
Actionable Insight ◆ Mixed

The cluster reveals sharp divergence: major new active stakes (Capital World, DZ Bank) versus heavy trimming by large passive and quant funds (Fidelity, Capital Group, Point72). This suggests uncertainty around ALK's earnings trajectory or competitive positioning. Monitor upcoming quarterly results for a catalyst that could resolve the disagreement. The lack of insider buying (confluence score 39/100) weakens the bullish signal from the new positions.

DirectionMixed
Confidencemedium
Horizonweeks
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d
ALK ▼ -20.79% at T+60d
NEUTRAL call ✗ call lost -20.79% · α vs SPY -22.51% · entry $50.41 → $39.93
Entry anchored
Jul 4, 2026
via day open
T+1d
-2.62%
call -2.62% · α -2.14%
$49.09
settled 3mo ago
T+5d
-1.96%
call -1.96% · α -2.45%
$49.42
settled 3mo ago
T+20d
-5.87%
call -5.87% · α -5.31%
$47.45
settled 2mo ago
T+60d
-20.79%
call -20.79% · α -22.51%
$39.93
settled 4d ago

Executive Summary

Institutional 13F cluster for ALK shows a mixed picture: 19 buyers added $436M in new positions (led by Capital World Investors and DZ Bank with $129.8M and $161.8M new stakes), while 27 sellers reduced holdings by $536M (led by Fidelity, Capital Group, and Point72 trimming or nearly exiting). The net institutional flow is negative (~$100M), but the presence of large new active positions suggests divergent views on Alaska Air's near-term outlook.

Key Financial Metrics

Direction
distributing
Buy Value
$647.2M
Net Flow
-$99.9M

Institutional Positions

Net institutional flow: -$99.9M

▲ Buyers (19)

InstitutionActionChangePosition ValueValue Δ
Capital World InvestorsNEW—$129.8M$129.8M
Dz Bank Ag Deutsche Zentral GenossenschaftsNEW—$161.8M$161.8M
Semper AugustusDOUBLED+314.2%$62.3M$41.8M
Marshall WaceDOUBLED+929.8%$72.4M$62.8M
CausewayADD+74.4%$92.0M$19.9M

▼ Sellers (27)

InstitutionActionChangePrev ValueValue Δ
FidelityTRIM-45.3%$326.5M-$195.8M
Capital GroupNEAR_EXIT-85%$159.7M-$142.2M
Point72NEAR_EXIT-77.5%$91.9M-$76.8M
Ameriprise FinancialTRIM-25.1%$95.6M-$43.2M
BofATRIM-37.4%$77.6M-$42.1M

Key Facts

  • Capital World Investors initiated a new $129.8M position (3.53M shares).
  • DZ Bank initiated a new $161.8M position (4.40M shares).
  • Semper Augustus more than quadrupled its stake (+314.2%) to $62.3M.
  • Marshall Wace increased its position by 929.8% to $72.4M.
  • Fidelity trimmed 45.3% of its stake, selling ~$195.8M worth.
  • Capital Group nearly exited, reducing by 85.0% ($142.2M sold).
  • Point72 nearly exited, reducing by 77.5% ($76.8M sold).
  • Net institutional selling of approximately $100M across the cluster.

Financial Impact

Net institutional selling of ~$100M, with $436M in new buying offset by $536M in selling. Largest new positions total $291.6M from Capital World and DZ Bank.

institutional ownershipfloat turnover

Risk Factors

  • Continued selling pressure from large holders like Fidelity and Capital Group could weigh on the stock.
  • Earnings miss or negative guidance could validate the sellers' caution.
  • 13F data is 45 days stale; positions may have already been adjusted.

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Air Transportation, Scheduled
Analyst Consensus
86% bullish (22 analysts)

Investment Themes

Industrials & Manufacturing

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 institutional 13F filing from SEC EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
INST-CLUSTER Data (Synthetic)inst-cluster-ALK-2026-Q1
10 reports for ALK
Performance horizon
67% Hit rate 2 of 3 directional calls best @ T+20▲ +9.45%Apr 20, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for ALK — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Aug 21, 2026
6w ago
Insider Buy
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$40.41 $41.90▲ +3.69%▲ +4.21%—
Aug 17, 2026
6w ago
Institutional Cluster
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$44.04 $40.71▼ −7.56%▼ −6.04%—
Jul 4, 2026
12w ago
Institutional Cluster
MIXED ★ 5/10
$50.41 $47.45▼ −5.87%▼ −5.31%—
Jun 17, 2026
15w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$48.27 $47.62▼ −1.35%▼ −2.66%—
Jun 3, 2026
17w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$41.74 $51.25▲ +22.79%▲ +23.91%—
May 20, 2026
19w ago
Court Ruling
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$39.68 $48.27▲ +21.65%▲ +21.69%—
May 12, 2026
20w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$38.53 $46.66▲ +21.10%▲ +21.72%—
May 7, 2026
21w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$40.58 $41.87▲ +3.18%▲ +0.05%—
Apr 20, 2026
23w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 8/10
$41.26 $37.36▲ +9.45%▲ +14.37%—
Mar 30, 2026
26w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$36.78 $38.63▲ +5.03%▼ −4.39%—
Showing 10 of 10

US Market Status

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Report published Jul 4, 2026