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S-4 ·Filed Jul 22, 2026

AIRI

AIR INDUSTRIES GROUP
BEARISH
Impact 7/10
Horizonweeks Processed3mo ago SEC0001213900-26-080468
Notable filing: S-4
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

Monitor stockholder vote outcome. If approved, AIRI shares will likely trade based on Tenax's business fundamentals but with extremely limited public float (~4%). The redemption right provides a put at approximately $3.27 per pre-split share one year post-close, which may set a floor. Traders should assess whether the combined company's earnings justify the post-merger market cap given the 96% dilution. Watch for any competing proposal or stockholder opposition ahead of the special meeting.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d
AIRI ▼ -5.24% at T+60d
SHORT call ✓ call won +5.24% · α vs SPY +9.80% · entry $2.67 → $2.53
Entry = T+0 close
Jul 22, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+1.87%
call -1.87% · α -1.77%
$2.72
settled 3mo ago
T+5d
+2.62%
call -2.62% · α -2.15%
$2.74
settled 3mo ago
T+20d
-9.74%
call +9.74% · α +13.05%
$2.41
settled 2mo ago
T+60d
-5.24%
call +5.24% · α +9.80%
$2.53
settled 12d ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Air Industries Group filed a Form S-4 to register shares for its reverse merger with Tenax Aerospace Acquisition, LLC. Existing AIR stockholders will be diluted to approximately 4% ownership of the combined company, while Tenax members will own ~96%. The merger is expected to close in September 2026, subject to stockholder approval of the stock issuance, authorized share increase, and written consent proposals. AIR's credit facility expires September 30, 2026, and the company has going concern uncertainties, making the merger a survival necessity but at extreme cost to current shareholders.

Key Facts

  • Existing AIR stockholders will own ~4% of the combined company post-merger; Tenax holders will own ~96% on a fully diluted basis.
  • Merger consideration: 126,900,000 AIR shares (25,380,000 after proposed 1:5 reverse stock split).
  • Tenax will repay AIR's net senior and subordinated debt, aggregating ~$26.233 million as of May 31, 2026.
  • Tenax FY2025 revenue: $133.4 million, net income: $18.6 million vs. AIR FY2025 revenue: $47.9 million, net loss: $1.3 million.
  • Pro forma combined FY2025 revenue: $181.4 million, net income: $8.0 million.
  • AIR stockholders receive non-transferable redemption rights to put shares at 107.3% of $3.05 (pre-split) one year post-close if VWAP is below that threshold.
  • Board unanimously recommends FOR all proposals; stockholder approval required for stock issuance, authorized share increase (20M to 200M), and written consent amendment.
  • HSR waiting period expired June 15, 2026; no other material regulatory hurdles identified.
  • AIR's credit facility with Webster Bank expires September 30, 2026; bank will not renew; AIR is in default on FCCR covenant.
  • Termination fee of $1.25 million payable by either party under specified circumstances.

Financial Impact

Existing AIR stockholders face ~96% dilution. Tenax will repay ~$26.2 million of AIR indebtedness at closing. Combined company expected to have pro forma FY2025 revenue of $181.4 million and net income of $8.0 million, but current AIR shareholders' stake value will be minimal.

dilutionownershiprevenuedebtmarket cap

Risk Factors

  • Stockholder approval may fail, leading to merger termination and AIR's inability to refinance its September 2026 debt maturity.
  • Tenax may not secure financing to repay AIR's debt at closing despite having $27M borrowing capacity.
  • Post-merger stock may fail to maintain NYSE American listing requirements despite the 1:5 reverse split.
  • Massive dilution and limited public float may pressure the stock price and liquidity post-merger.
  • Integration risks between AIR's precision manufacturing and Tenax's special mission aircraft operations may impair expected synergies.

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Aircraft Parts & Auxiliary Equipment, NEC
Analyst Consensus
86% bullish (7 analysts)

Investment Themes

Industrials & Manufacturing

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 21 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
S-4 Filing (Primary)0001213900-26-080468
Document: ea029819201ex-fee.htm0001213900-26-080468
Document: ea029819201ex5-1.htm0001213900-26-080468
Document: ea029819201ex8-1.htm0001213900-26-080468
Document: ea029819201ex3-8.htm0001213900-26-080468
Document: ea029819201ex99-1.htm0001213900-26-080468
Document: ea029819201ex23-5.htm0001213900-26-080468
Document: ea029819201ex15-1.htm0001213900-26-080468
Document: ea029819201ex23-4.htm0001213900-26-080468
Document: ea029819201ex99-8.htm0001213900-26-080468
Document: ea029819201ex99-6.htm0001213900-26-080468
Document: ea029819201ex99-7.htm0001213900-26-080468
Document: ea029819201ex99-9.htm0001213900-26-080468
Document: ea029819201ex99-3.htm0001213900-26-080468
Document: ea029819201ex99-5.htm0001213900-26-080468
Document: ea029819201ex99-4.htm0001213900-26-080468
Document: ea029819201ex23-2.htm0001213900-26-080468
Document: ea029819201ex23-3.htm0001213900-26-080468
Document: 0001213900-26-080468-index-headers.html0001213900-26-080468
Document: 0001213900-26-080468-index.html0001213900-26-080468
Document: 0001213900-26-080468.txt0001213900-26-080468
5 reports for AIRI
Performance horizon

Track record builds as more directional reports settle.

Filters
Rows
Reports for AIRI — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 22, 2026
4d ago
S-4/A
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$2.60 $2.55▲ +1.92%▲ +2.63%$2.60 (+0.00%)
Aug 3, 2026
12w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$2.66 $2.63▼ −1.13%▼ −2.93%$2.60 (−2.26%)
Jul 22, 2026
13w ago
S-4
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$2.67 $2.72▼ −1.87%▼ −1.77%$2.60 (+2.62%)
May 5, 2026
24w ago
PREM14A
BEARISH ★ 8/10
$3.04 $3.08▼ −1.32%▼ −1.65%$2.60 (+14.47%)
Feb 27, 2026
34w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$3.38 $3.37▼ −0.30%▼ −0.35%$2.60 (−23.08%)
Showing 5 of 5

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Wed (13h 19m)

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Report published Jul 22, 2026