8-K ·Filed May 5, 2026

AHCO

AdaptHealth Corp.
MIXED
Impact 6/10
Horizonweeks Processed5mo ago SEC0001628280-26-030120
8-K Item 2.02: Earnings release
Actionable Insight ◆ Mixed

The revenue beat and raised guidance are positive, but the GAAP EPS miss, declining Adjusted EBITDA, deeply negative FCF, and COO departure create a mixed picture. Watch the Q2 2026 call for evidence that the $12M in elevated labor costs normalize and that the new capitated contract drives margin recovery. The $1.1B refinancing reduces near-term debt risk.

DirectionMixed
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d
AHCO ▼ -9.11% at T+60d
NEUTRAL call ✗ call lost -9.11% · α vs SPY -11.85% · entry $11.75 → $10.68
Entry anchored
May 5, 2026
via day open
T+1d
-2.81%
call -2.81% · α -4.19%
$11.42
settled 5mo ago
T+5d
-4.26%
call -4.26% · α -6.24%
$11.25
settled 5mo ago
T+20d
-17.87%
call -17.87% · α -22.83%
$9.65
settled 4mo ago
T+60d
-9.11%
call -9.11% · α -11.85%
$10.68
settled 2mo ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

AdaptHealth reported Q1 2026 revenue of $819.8M (+5.4% YoY), beating the $796.6M consensus, but GAAP EPS was -$0.12, a miss vs the $0.01 consensus. Adjusted EBITDA declined 5.3% to $121.2M and free cash flow was deeply negative at -$27.5M. Revenue guidance was raised by $10M to $3.45B-$3.52B, but EBITDA and FCF guidance were maintained. The COO was terminated and replaced internally. The combination of a GAAP EPS miss, declining profitability, negative FCF, and a C-suite departure tempers the positive revenue beat and guidance raise.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
$-0.12
est $0.01 · -1300.0%
Revenue
$819.8M
est $796.6M · +2.9% · +5.4% YoY
Rating
miss
Guidance
$3.45B-$3.52B
raised
Free Cash Flow
-$27.5M
Gross Margin
13.6%

Key Facts

  • Q1 2026 net revenue $819.8M, +5.4% YoY from $777.9M, above $796.6M consensus
  • GAAP diluted EPS -$0.12 vs consensus $0.01 — a significant miss
  • Net loss attributable to AdaptHealth widened to -$16.0M from -$7.2M YoY
  • Adjusted EBITDA fell 5.3% to $121.2M from $127.9M; margin contracted to 14.8% from 16.4%
  • Free cash flow was -$27.5M vs -$0.1M YoY, driven by $121.2M in capex
  • FY 2026 revenue guidance raised by $10M to $3.45B-$3.52B; EBITDA and FCF guidance maintained
  • COO Toby Scott Barnhart terminated May 4, 2026; replaced by Daniel McFadden (internal)
  • Completed $1.1B refinancing of senior secured credit facility in April 2026
  • Organic revenue growth of 9.1%, with growth across all four segments
  • Cash balance fell to $48.0M from $106.1M at year-end 2025

Financial Impact

Revenue beat of ~$23M vs consensus but GAAP EPS miss of -$0.13; Adjusted EBITDA down $6.7M YoY; FCF swing of -$27.4M

revenueepsadjustedEbitdafreeCashFlow

Risk Factors

  • GAAP profitability continues to deteriorate — net loss widened 123% YoY
  • Free cash flow deeply negative at -$27.5M, requiring debt or equity to fund capex
  • COO termination could signal operational execution challenges with the new capitated contract
  • Cash balance halved to $48M, reducing financial flexibility

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Services-Home Health Care Services
Analyst Consensus
79% bullish (14 analysts)

Investment Themes

Healthcare & Medical Devices

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 6 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001628280-26-030120
Document: ahco-20260505.htm0001628280-26-030120
Document: 0001628280-26-030120-index-headers.html0001628280-26-030120
Document: 0001628280-26-030120-index.html0001628280-26-030120
Document: 0001628280-26-030120.txt0001628280-26-030120
8-K Data (Synthetic)0001628280-26-030120
9 reports for AHCO
Performance horizon
100% Hit rate 5 of 5 directional calls best @ T+60▲ +47.49%Jul 2, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for AHCO — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Aug 15, 2026
6w ago
Institutional Cluster
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$5.81 $5.82▼ −0.17%▼ −2.15%$5.60 (+3.61%)
Aug 14, 2026
7w ago
Insider Cluster
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$5.81 $5.88▲ +1.20%▲ +3.20%$5.60 (−3.61%)
Aug 11, 2026
7w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$5.65 $5.70▲ +0.89%▲ +1.94%$5.60 (−0.88%)
Jul 2, 2026
13w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$10.76 $10.68▲ +0.74%▲ +0.33%$5.60 (+47.96%)
Jun 26, 2026
14w ago
3
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$10.21 $10.76▲ +5.39%▲ +5.67%$5.60 (−45.15%)
May 5, 2026
21w ago
8-K
MIXED ★ 6/10
$11.75 $9.65▼ −17.87%▼ −22.83%$5.60 (−52.34%)
Apr 13, 2026
24w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 8/10
$12.32 $11.24▼ −8.77%▼ −16.49%$5.60 (−54.55%)
Mar 12, 2026
29w ago
Insider Cluster
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$13.08 $10.35▼ −20.87%▼ −26.92%$5.60 (−57.19%)
Feb 26, 2026
31w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$9.08 $11.41▲ +25.66%▲ +32.06%$5.60 (−38.33%)
Showing 9 of 9

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Mon (64h 9m)

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