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8-K ·Filed Apr 29, 2026

AGIO

AGIOS PHARMACEUTICALS, INC.
NEUTRAL
Impact 5/10
Horizonweeks Processed6mo ago SEC0001439222-26-000071
8-K Item 2.02: Earnings release
Actionable Insight • Neutral

The sNDA submission for mitapivat in sickle cell disease is the key near-term catalyst. Monitor for FDA acceptance and any updates on the accelerated approval pathway. The AQVESME launch trajectory (242 prescriptions) provides a real-time demand signal for thalassemia. Cash runway of ~$1.0B supports operations through multiple pipeline readouts.

DirectionNeutral
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d ⚠ clustered
AGIO ▲ +29.63% at T+60d
NEUTRAL call +29.63% · α vs SPY +25.51% · entry $28.05 → $36.36
Entry = T+0 close
Apr 29, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-0.18%
call -0.18% · α -1.20%
$28.00
settled 6mo ago
T+5d
-3.81%
call -3.81% · α -6.92%
$26.98
settled 6mo ago
T+20d
+8.45%
call +8.45% · α +2.40%
$30.42
settled 5mo ago
T+60d
+29.63%
call +29.63% · α +25.51%
$36.36
settled 3mo ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Agios reported Q1 2026 revenue of $20.7M, more than doubling from $8.7M a year ago, driven by the U.S. launch of AQVESME in thalassemia. However, the net loss widened to $99.1M from $89.3M, and the company's cash burn continues. The key catalyst is the planned sNDA submission for mitapivat in sickle cell disease under the accelerated approval pathway in Q2 2026.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
−$1.69
Revenue
$20.7M
+137.8% YoY
Rating
in line

Key Facts

  • Worldwide mitapivat net revenue of $20.7M in Q1 2026, up 138% YoY from $8.7M
  • 242 AQVESME prescriptions written in the U.S. as of March 31, 2026
  • Net loss of $99.1M vs $89.3M in Q1 2025
  • Cash, cash equivalents, and marketable securities at $1.0B as of March 31, 2026
  • Company plans to submit mitapivat sNDA for sickle cell disease in Q2 2026 under accelerated approval pathway
  • Phase 2b tebapivat trial in LR-MDS topline results expected in H1 2026
  • Phase 2 tebapivat trial in sickle cell disease topline results expected in H2 2026

Financial Impact

Revenue doubled YoY to $20.7M, but net loss widened to $99.1M. Cash burn of ~$119M in Q1 2026.

revenuenet losscash

Risk Factors

  • Widening net loss and continued cash burn
  • Regulatory risk for mitapivat sNDA in sickle cell disease
  • Clinical trial risk for tebapivat Phase 2 readouts
  • Commercial execution risk for AQVESME launch

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Pharmaceutical Preparations
Analyst Consensus
75% bullish (16 analysts)

Investment Themes

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 6 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001439222-26-000071
Document: agio-20260429.htm0001439222-26-000071
Document: 0001439222-26-000071-index-headers.html0001439222-26-000071
Document: 0001439222-26-000071-index.html0001439222-26-000071
Document: 0001439222-26-000071.txt0001439222-26-000071
8-K Data (Synthetic)0001439222-26-000071
15 reports for AGIO
Performance horizon
60% Hit rate @ T+60 3 of 5 directional calls Went positive at some point 4 of 5 best @ T+60▲ +29.63%Apr 29, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for AGIO — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 22, 2026
3d ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$37.19awaiting T+60—$37.58 (+1.06%)
Aug 6, 2026
11w ago
Institutional Cluster
MIXED ★ 4/10
$31.95awaiting T+60—$37.58 (+17.64%)
Jul 30, 2026
12w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$32.75 $37.00▲ +12.98%▲ +10.51%$37.58 (+14.76%)
Jul 30, 2026
12w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$32.75 $37.00▲ +12.98%▲ +10.51%$37.58 (+14.76%)
Jul 7, 2026
15w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$44.01 $33.25▼ −24.45%▼ −26.44%$37.58 (−14.60%)
Jun 29, 2026
17w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$38.04 $34.97▼ −8.07%▼ −12.46%$37.58 (−1.20%)
Jun 18, 2026
18w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$35.10 $32.81▼ −6.52%▼ −8.27%$37.58 (+7.08%)
Jun 13, 2026
19w ago
Press Release
MIXED ★ 7/10
$31.82 $34.63▲ +8.83%▲ +7.83%$37.58 (+18.12%)
Jun 1, 2026
21w ago
Press Release
MIXED ★ 6/10
$28.00 $33.90▲ +21.07%▲ +19.84%$37.58 (+34.23%)
May 29, 2026
21w ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$29.40 $32.64▼ −11.02%▼ −9.84%$37.58 (−27.84%)
Showing 10 of 15

US Market Status

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Report published Apr 29, 2026