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8-K ·Filed Jul 30, 2026

AGIO

AGIOS PHARMACEUTICALS, INC.
BULLISH
Impact 6/10
Horizonweeks Processed2mo ago SEC0001439222-26-000115
8-K Item 2.02: Earnings release
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

The strong revenue beat and Priority Review for mitapivat in SCD are positive catalysts. Monitor prescription trends and the Nov 1 PDUFA date. The tebapivat discontinuation removes pipeline risk but also reduces optionality. The cevidoplenib license adds a late-stage asset but Phase 3 is not expected until 2028.

DirectionBullish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d ⚠ clustered
AGIO ▲ +12.98% at T+60d
LONG call ✓ call won +12.98% · α vs SPY +10.51% · entry $32.75 → $37.00
Entry = T+0 close
Jul 30, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-8.34%
call -8.34% · α -9.04%
$30.02
settled 3mo ago
T+5d
-2.44%
call -2.44% · α -6.07%
$31.95
settled 3mo ago
T+20d
+4.67%
call +4.67% · α +0.71%
$34.28
settled 2mo ago
T+60d
+12.98%
call +12.98% · α +10.51%
$37.00
settled 4d ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Agios reported Q2 2026 revenue of $44.7M (up 259% YoY, 68% above consensus), driven by the AQVESME launch in thalassemia and EU approval. Net loss narrowed to $100.7M from $112.0M, with EPS of -$1.69 slightly missing consensus of -$1.67. Key catalysts include FDA Priority Review for mitapivat in sickle cell disease (PDUFA Nov 1, 2026) and pipeline expansion via cevidoplenib licensing, offset by discontinuation of tebapivat in two indications.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
−$1.69
est −$1.67 · -1.2%
Revenue
$44.7M
est $26.7M · +67.6% · +259.3% YoY
Rating
beat
Gross Margin
93.3%

Key Facts

  • Q2 2026 total revenue $44.7M vs $12.5M YoY (+259%), beating $26.7M consensus by 68%
  • Net loss $100.7M vs $112.0M YoY; EPS -$1.69 vs -$1.93 (slight miss vs -$1.67 consensus)
  • FDA granted Priority Review for mitapivat sNDA in sickle cell disease; PDUFA Nov 1, 2026
  • 442 cumulative AQVESME prescriptions for thalassemia as of June 30, 2026
  • Licensed cevidoplenib (SYK inhibitor) for ITP; $25M upfront payment in R&D
  • Discontinued tebapivat development in LR-MDS and sickle cell disease after Phase 2 results
  • Cash, equivalents and marketable securities $964.8M as of June 30, 2026

Financial Impact

Revenue surged 259% YoY to $44.7M, well above consensus; net loss improved 10% YoY; gross margin ~93%

revenuenet losscash position

Risk Factors

  • FDA decision on mitapivat sNDA for SCD (binary event)
  • Competition from other PK activators and SCD therapies
  • Execution risk for cevidoplenib Phase 3 development
  • Cash burn rate; $964.8M provides runway but losses continue

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Pharmaceutical Preparations
Analyst Consensus
75% bullish (16 analysts)

Investment Themes

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 6 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001439222-26-000115
Document: agio-20260730.htm0001439222-26-000115
Document: 0001439222-26-000115-index-headers.html0001439222-26-000115
Document: 0001439222-26-000115-index.html0001439222-26-000115
Document: 0001439222-26-000115.txt0001439222-26-000115
8-K Data (Synthetic)0001439222-26-000115
16 reports for AGIO
Performance horizon
50% Hit rate @ T+60 2 of 4 directional calls Went positive at some point 3 of 4 best @ T+60▲ +29.63%Apr 29, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for AGIO — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 26, 2026
today
144
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$36.85awaiting T+60—$37.00 (+0.41%)
Oct 22, 2026
4d ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$37.00awaiting T+60—$37.00 (0.00%)
Aug 6, 2026
11w ago
Institutional Cluster
MIXED ★ 4/10
$31.95awaiting T+60—$37.00 (+15.81%)
Jul 30, 2026
12w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$32.75 $37.00▲ +12.98%▲ +10.51%$37.00 (+12.98%)
Jul 30, 2026
12w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$32.75 $37.00▲ +12.98%▲ +10.51%$37.00 (+12.98%)
Jul 7, 2026
15w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$44.01 $33.25▼ −24.45%▼ −26.44%$37.00 (−15.93%)
Jun 29, 2026
17w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$38.04 $34.97▼ −8.07%▼ −12.46%$37.00 (−2.73%)
Jun 18, 2026
18w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$35.10 $32.81▼ −6.52%▼ −8.27%$37.00 (+5.41%)
Jun 13, 2026
19w ago
Press Release
MIXED ★ 7/10
$31.82 $34.63▲ +8.83%▲ +7.83%$37.00 (+16.28%)
Jun 1, 2026
21w ago
Press Release
MIXED ★ 6/10
$28.00 $33.90▲ +21.07%▲ +19.84%$37.00 (+32.14%)
Showing 10 of 16

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Wed (13h 20m)

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Report published Jul 30, 2026