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6-K ·Filed Sep 30, 2026

AFYA

Afya Ltd
BULLISH
Impact 7/10
Horizonmonths Processed26d ago SEC0001292814-26-004770
Notable filing: 6-K
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

Monitor the CADE antitrust review timeline and any required remedies, as this is the key regulatory condition. Also watch for the YDUQS EGM and Afya EGM shareholder votes. The fixed exchange ratio means post-announcement stock price movements in either company will create arbitrage opportunities.

DirectionBullish
Confidencehigh
Horizonmonths
Latest settled — T+5d ⚠ clustered
AFYA ▲ +17.14% at T+5d
LONG call ✓ call won +17.14% · α vs SPY +15.83% · entry $12.08 → $14.15
Next anchor: T+20d tomorrow
Latest observation: T+16 +26.72% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Sep 30, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+1.16%
call +1.16% · α +0.42%
$12.22
settled 26d ago
T+5d
+17.14%
call +17.14% · α +15.83%
$14.15
settled 20d ago
T+20d
Pending
tomorrow
T+60d
Pending
in 8w

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Afya Limited has entered into a definitive merger agreement with YDUQS Participações S.A., under which Afya will merge into YDUQS. Afya shareholders will receive 6.408347 YDUQS common shares per Afya share, resulting in Afya shareholders owning 69.0% and YDUQS shareholders owning 31.0% of the combined company. The transaction is subject to CADE antitrust approval, shareholder votes, and other conditions, with a long-stop date of March 31, 2028.

Key Facts

  • Afya shareholders to receive 6.408347 YDUQS common shares per Afya share, with Afya shareholders owning 69.0% and YDUQS shareholders owning 31.0% of the combined company on a fully diluted basis.
  • The merger is structured as a reverse triangular merger under Cayman Islands law, with YDUQS as the surviving entity listed on B3's Novo Mercado segment.
  • Break-up fees: R$325 million pre-EGM, R$650 million post-EGM.
  • Locked box date is June 30, 2026; exchange ratio is fixed and not subject to adjustment for post-locked-box performance.
  • YDUQS may distribute up to R$750 million to its shareholders before closing; Afya may distribute its adjusted free cash flow plus a top-up to maintain the exchange ratio.
  • Conditions precedent include CADE approval, no material adverse effect, and shareholder approvals at both companies.
  • Long-stop date: March 31, 2028, extendable up to 180 days for CADE remedies or appeals.
  • Voting agreement entered into by Bertelsmann, Esteves Family, Zaher Family, and Rose FIP to support the transaction.

Financial Impact

The transaction combines two leading Brazilian education platforms, creating a broader education group. Afya shareholders receive a 69% stake in the combined company. Break-up fees are R$325 million (pre-EGM) and R$650 million (post-EGM). YDUQS can distribute up to R$750 million before closing.

ownershipdilutiondeal value

Risk Factors

  • CADE may impose remedies or reject the transaction, leading to termination.
  • Shareholders may reject the transaction at either company's EGM.
  • Integration risks of combining two large education platforms.
  • Regulatory and legal risks in multiple jurisdictions (Cayman Islands, Brazil, US).

Investment Themes

Services

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 5 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
6-K Filing (Primary)0001292814-26-004770
Document: afya20260930_6k.htm0001292814-26-004770
Document: 0001292814-26-004770-index-headers.html0001292814-26-004770
Document: 0001292814-26-004770-index.html0001292814-26-004770
Document: 0001292814-26-004770.txt0001292814-26-004770
11 reports for AFYA
Performance horizon
100% Hit rate @ T+20 4 of 4 directional calls Went positive at some point 5 of 5 best @ T+5▲ +17.14%Sep 30, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for AFYA — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Sep 30, 2026
26d ago
6-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$12.08awaiting T+20—$15.09 (+24.92%)
Sep 30, 2026
26d ago
6-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$12.08awaiting T+20—$15.09 (+24.92%)
Sep 23, 2026
4w ago
6-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$13.73 $14.91▲ +8.59%▲ +9.01%$15.09 (+9.91%)
Sep 18, 2026
5w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$13.60 $14.53▲ +6.84%▲ +6.63%$15.09 (+10.96%)
Aug 24, 2026
9w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$14.22 $13.49▼ −5.13%▼ −6.45%$15.09 (+6.12%)
Jul 6, 2026
16w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$14.77 $14.20▼ −3.86%▼ −5.19%$15.09 (+2.17%)
Jun 30, 2026
16w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$15.00 $14.75▼ −1.67%▲ +0.52%$15.09 (+0.60%)
Jun 22, 2026
18w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$14.36 $13.99▼ −2.58%▼ −3.74%$15.09 (+5.08%)
Apr 13, 2026
28w ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 4/10
$15.66 $14.01▲ +10.54%▲ +18.26%$15.09 (+3.64%)
Apr 6, 2026
29w ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$14.99 $13.98▲ +6.74%▲ +15.72%$15.09 (−0.67%)
Showing 10 of 11

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Wed (12h 20m)

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Report published Sep 30, 2026