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6-K ·Filed Sep 30, 2026

AFYA

Afya Ltd
BULLISH
Impact 6/10
Horizonmonths Processed26d 21h ago SEC0001292814-26-004772
Notable filing: 6-K
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

The merger is now backed by binding commitments from major Afya shareholders, significantly reducing deal risk. Watch for the filing of the Merger Agreement (likely on Form 6-K or 8-K) to assess the exchange ratio and valuation, and monitor for CADE antitrust approval and shareholder meeting dates.

DirectionBullish
Confidencehigh
Horizonmonths
Latest settled — T+5d ⚠ clustered
AFYA ▲ +17.14% at T+5d
LONG call ✓ call won +17.14% · α vs SPY +15.83% · entry $12.08 → $14.15
Next anchor: T+20d in 14h
Latest observation: T+16 +26.72% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Sep 30, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+1.16%
call +1.16% · α +0.42%
$12.22
settled 26d ago
T+5d
+17.14%
call +17.14% · α +15.83%
$14.15
settled 20d ago
T+20d
Pending
in 14h
T+60d
Pending
in 8w

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Afya Ltd filed a Voting Commitment Agreement on September 23, 2026, in connection with its merger into YDUQS Participações S.A. Key Afya shareholders (Bertelsmann and the Esteves Family) irrevocably commit to vote in favor of the merger and are subject to share transfer restrictions and exclusivity provisions, with significant penalties for breach (BRL 325 million for Bertelsmann, BRL 100 million for the Esteves Family). This filing formalizes shareholder support for the transaction, which is expected to create a combined Brazilian education group.

Key Facts

  • Afya will merge into YDUQS, with Afya shareholders receiving newly issued YDUQS common shares based on an exchange ratio in the Merger Agreement.
  • Bertelsmann and the Esteves Family (Afya Shareholders) irrevocably commit to vote all their Afya shares in favor of the merger at the Afya EGM.
  • Afya Shareholders are restricted from transferring shares pre-EGM; post-EGM, Bertelsmann cannot transfer any shares, and the Esteves Family cannot transfer more than 35% of their current holdings.
  • Breach by Bertelsmann triggers a penalty of BRL 325,000,000 multiplied by its percentage interest in Afya; breach by the Esteves Family triggers a penalty of BRL 100,000,000.
  • The merger is subject to antitrust approval (CADE), shareholder votes at both companies' EGMs, and other customary conditions.
  • A new shareholders' agreement for the combined company and a separate BT-Esteves Shareholders' Agreement are to be executed at closing.
  • Afya's current shareholders' agreement (dated July 7, 2019) will be terminated upon closing.

Financial Impact

No financial figures for the transaction (exchange ratio, deal value) are disclosed in this filing. Penalties for breach are BRL 325M (Bertelsmann) and BRL 100M (Esteves Family).

dilutionshareholder structure

Risk Factors

  • Failure to obtain antitrust approval from CADE (Brazilian competition authority).
  • Shareholder vote failure at either YDUQS or Afya EGM.
  • Material Adverse Effect triggering termination rights.
  • Regulatory or legal challenges to the merger.

Investment Themes

Services

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 5 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
6-K Filing (Primary)0001292814-26-004772
Document: afya20260930_6k1.htm0001292814-26-004772
Document: 0001292814-26-004772-index-headers.html0001292814-26-004772
Document: 0001292814-26-004772-index.html0001292814-26-004772
Document: 0001292814-26-004772.txt0001292814-26-004772
11 reports for AFYA
Performance horizon
100% Hit rate @ T+20 4 of 4 directional calls Went positive at some point 5 of 5 best @ T+5▲ +17.14%Sep 30, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for AFYA — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Sep 30, 2026
26d ago
6-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$12.08awaiting T+20—$10.83 (−10.35%)
Sep 30, 2026
26d ago
6-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$12.08awaiting T+20—$10.83 (−10.35%)
Sep 23, 2026
4w ago
6-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$13.73 $14.91▲ +8.59%▲ +9.01%$10.83 (−21.12%)
Sep 18, 2026
5w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$13.60 $14.53▲ +6.84%▲ +6.63%$10.83 (−20.37%)
Aug 24, 2026
9w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$14.22 $13.49▼ −5.13%▼ −6.45%$10.83 (−23.84%)
Jul 6, 2026
16w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$14.77 $14.20▼ −3.86%▼ −5.19%$10.83 (−26.68%)
Jun 30, 2026
17w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$15.00 $14.75▼ −1.67%▲ +0.52%$10.83 (−27.80%)
Jun 22, 2026
18w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$14.36 $13.99▼ −2.58%▼ −3.74%$10.83 (−24.58%)
Apr 13, 2026
28w ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 4/10
$15.66 $14.01▲ +10.54%▲ +18.26%$10.83 (+30.84%)
Apr 6, 2026
29w ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$14.99 $13.98▲ +6.74%▲ +15.72%$10.83 (+27.75%)
Showing 10 of 11

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Wed (15h 42m)

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Report published Sep 30, 2026