EFFECT ·Filed May 4, 2026

AFL

AFLAC INC
NEUTRAL
Impact 2/10
Horizonweeks Processed5mo ago SEC9999999995-26-001444
IPO/offering going effective
Actionable Insight • Neutral

Monitor for any Form 4 filings from J&A Alliance Holdings indicating share sales; the overhang is moderate but Aflac's stock may face mild pressure if large blocks are sold. No new capital raise for Aflac.

DirectionNeutral
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d
AFL ▲ +13.54% at T+60d
NEUTRAL call ✓ call won +13.54% · α vs SPY +11.68% · entry $113.33 → $128.67
Entry anchored
May 4, 2026
via day open
T+1d
+1.00%
call +1.00% · α +0.20%
$114.46
settled 5mo ago
T+5d
+1.90%
call +1.90% · α -1.04%
$115.48
settled 5mo ago
T+20d
-1.08%
call -1.08% · α -6.72%
$112.11
settled 4mo ago
T+60d
+13.54%
call +13.54% · α +11.68%
$128.67
settled 2mo ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Aflac's shelf registration (S-3) filed on April 23, 2026 for the resale of up to 51,636,945 shares by selling stockholder J&A Alliance Holdings has been declared effective. The company receives no proceeds from these sales, which are part of an existing shareholder agreement.

Key Facts

  • Effectiveness date: May 1, 2026
  • Shelf registration S-3 File No. 333-295257 now effective
  • Selling stockholder can resell up to 51,636,945 shares
  • Aflac receives no proceeds from any sales

Financial Impact

No proceeds to company; potential dilution of ~9% of outstanding shares (based on 51.6M shares vs ~580M outstanding)

dilution

Risk Factors

  • Price pressure from selling stockholder's sales
  • Dilution overhang may weigh on sentiment

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Accident & Health Insurance
Analyst Consensus
14% bullish (22 analysts)

Investment Themes

Traditional Finance

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 3 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
EFFECT Filing (Primary)9999999995-26-001444
Document: 9999999995-26-001444-index.html9999999995-26-001444
Document: 9999999995-26-001444.txt9999999995-26-001444
41 reports for AFL
Performance horizon
63% Hit rate 5 of 8 directional calls best @ T+60▲ +1.72%Jun 30, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for AFL — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Aug 19, 2026
6w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$116.51 $117.55▲ +0.89%▲ +2.41%$110.81 (−4.89%)
Aug 18, 2026
6w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$121.73 $117.38▼ −3.57%▼ −2.58%$110.81 (−8.97%)
Aug 17, 2026
6w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$120.98 $117.01▼ −3.28%▼ −1.76%$110.81 (−8.41%)
Aug 14, 2026
7w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$121.45 $117.01▼ −3.66%▼ −1.66%$110.81 (−8.76%)
Aug 8, 2026
7w ago
Institutional Cluster
MIXED ★ 4/10
$121.94 $115.16▼ −5.56%▼ −4.65%$110.81 (−9.13%)
Aug 6, 2026
8w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$124.61 $117.21▼ −5.94%▼ −5.54%$110.81 (−11.07%)
Jun 30, 2026
13w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$117.25 $126.56▼ −7.94%▼ −8.97%$110.81 (+5.49%)
Jun 24, 2026
14w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$117.75 $123.58▲ +4.95%▲ +3.02%$110.81 (−5.89%)
Jun 24, 2026
14w ago
S-3ASR
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$117.75 $123.58▲ +4.95%▲ +3.02%$110.81 (−5.89%)
Jun 2, 2026
17w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$113.63 $118.49▲ +4.28%▲ +5.84%$110.81 (−2.48%)
Showing 10 of 41

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