Insider Cluster (4 insiders) ·Filed May 5, 2026

AFL

AFLAC INC
NEUTRAL
Impact 3/10
Horizondays Processed4mo ago
Insider cluster: 4 insiders, $1.5M total
Actionable Insight • Neutral

The insider selling is too small relative to Aflac's $58.8B market cap to warrant a bearish read. The debt offering filing (424B5) is a more material signal — monitor pricing terms and use of proceeds for potential leverage increase. The cluster's sell-only nature is consistent with routine diversification and 10b5-1 plans, not informed selling.

DirectionNeutral
Confidencehigh
Horizondays
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d ⚠ clustered
AFL ▲ +11.27% at T+60d
NEUTRAL call ✓ call won +11.27% · α vs SPY +8.53% · entry $114.46 → $127.36
Entry anchored
May 4, 03:59 PM ET
via exchange tick
T+1d
-0.93%
call -0.93% · α -2.31%
$113.40
settled 5mo ago
T+5d
+1.49%
call +1.49% · α -0.50%
$116.16
settled 5mo ago
T+20d
-0.73%
call -0.73% · α -5.68%
$113.63
settled 4mo ago
T+60d
+11.27%
call +11.27% · α +8.53%
$127.36
settled 2mo ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Aflac insiders sold $1.52M in stock over a 7-day window, including the Chairman of Aflac Japan and a 10% owner (Japan Post Holdings), just 3 days after a debt offering filing. The sales total ~0.003% of Aflac's $58.8B market cap — trivial in proportion. The cluster is entirely sells, but the dollar amount is immaterial relative to company size, and the presence of a 10b5-1 pattern (Japan Post's two sales at similar sizes on consecutive days) suggests liquidity-driven selling rather than informed bearishness. The cross-filing context (debt offering 3 days prior) is an AMPLIFIER per calibration, but the standalone materiality is too low to escalate.

Key Financial Metrics

Direction
selling
Total Value
$1.5M
Insiders
4

Key Facts

  • Total insider sales of $1.52M over 7 days, representing ~0.003% of Aflac's $58.8B market cap
  • Chairman of Aflac Japan (Charles D. Lake II) sold $737K on May 5
  • 10% owner Japan Post Holdings sold $1.4M across two days (May 11-12), consistent with a 10b5-1 plan
  • Director Joseph Moskowitz sold $68K on May 8
  • Director Miwako Hosoda sold $28K on May 6
  • Aflac filed a 424B5 for a senior notes offering 3 days before the cluster ended (May 11)
  • No open-market purchases in the cluster — all sells

Financial Impact

Total insider sales of $1.52M, or ~0.003% of market cap — immaterial

insider selling volume

Risk Factors

  • Debt offering could increase leverage if proceeds are not used for refinancing
  • Japan Post Holdings' continued selling pattern may indicate reduced strategic commitment
  • No insider buying to offset the sell signal

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Accident & Health Insurance
Analyst Consensus
13% bullish (23 analysts)

Investment Themes

Traditional Finance

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 SEC document filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
CLUSTER Data (Synthetic)cluster-AFL-1778766462697
41 reports for AFL
Performance horizon
63% Hit rate 5 of 8 directional calls best @ T+60▲ +1.72%Jun 30, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for AFL — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Aug 19, 2026
6w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$116.51 $117.55▲ +0.89%▲ +2.41%$110.81 (−4.89%)
Aug 18, 2026
6w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$121.73 $117.38▼ −3.57%▼ −2.58%$110.81 (−8.97%)
Aug 17, 2026
6w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$120.98 $117.01▼ −3.28%▼ −1.76%$110.81 (−8.41%)
Aug 14, 2026
7w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$121.45 $117.01▼ −3.66%▼ −1.66%$110.81 (−8.76%)
Aug 8, 2026
7w ago
Institutional Cluster
MIXED ★ 4/10
$121.94 $115.16▼ −5.56%▼ −4.65%$110.81 (−9.13%)
Aug 6, 2026
8w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$124.61 $117.21▼ −5.94%▼ −5.54%$110.81 (−11.07%)
Jun 30, 2026
13w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$117.25 $126.56▼ −7.94%▼ −8.97%$110.81 (+5.49%)
Jun 24, 2026
14w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$117.75 $123.58▲ +4.95%▲ +3.02%$110.81 (−5.89%)
Jun 24, 2026
14w ago
S-3ASR
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$117.75 $123.58▲ +4.95%▲ +3.02%$110.81 (−5.89%)
Jun 2, 2026
17w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$113.63 $118.49▲ +4.28%▲ +5.84%$110.81 (−2.48%)
Showing 10 of 41

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Report published May 14, 2026