Insider Cluster (3 insiders) ·Filed May 27, 2026

AFL

AFLAC INC
NEUTRAL
Impact 2/10
Horizonweeks Processed4mo ago
Insider cluster: 3 insiders, $4.5M total
Actionable Insight • Neutral

This cluster is dominated by a large-holder portfolio adjustment (Japan Post) and a CFO's tax-motivated same-day derivative exercise/sale — neither suggests fundamental concerns. With the cluster at 0.008% of market cap and the historical calibration showing past neutral scores on this ticker were directionless (avg ~flat T+5), no trading action is warranted. Monitor Japan Post's 13G filings for any reduction below the 10% threshold.

DirectionNeutral
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d ⚠ clustered
AFL ▲ +3.05% at T+60d
NEUTRAL call ✓ call won +3.05% · α vs SPY +1.32% · entry $112.63 → $116.07
Entry anchored
May 27, 2026
via day open
T+1d
-0.19%
call -0.19% · α -0.43%
$112.42
settled 4mo ago
T+5d
+2.36%
call +2.36% · α +2.05%
$115.29
settled 4mo ago
T+20d
+6.68%
call +6.68% · α +9.82%
$120.15
settled 3mo ago
T+60d
+3.05%
call +3.05% · α +1.32%
$116.07
settled 6w ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Aflac CFO Steven Beaver (Japan) exercised and immediately sold 5,508 shares ($649K) in a same-day stock-settled derivative unwind, alongside a 30,920-share open-market sale by 10% holder Japan Post Holdings ($3.64M) and a small director sale ($203K). Total insider selling of $4.49M represents ~0.008% of Aflac's $59.5B market cap — trivial in relative terms. The Japan Post sale follows a 424B5 debt offering filed 9 days prior and likely reflects ongoing portfolio positioning by the large shareholder, not fundamentals.

Key Financial Metrics

Direction
selling
Total Value
$4.5M
Insiders
3

Key Facts

  • Total insider cluster selling: $4.49M across 3 insiders in a 7-day window
  • CFO Steven Beaver's sale ($649K) was an immediate open-market sale of shares acquired via derivative exercise — a routine cashless exercise pattern, not a directional bearish signal
  • 10% owner Japan Post Holdings sold $3.64M (30,920 shares) — 81% of total cluster value
  • Cluster value is only 0.008% of Aflac's $59.5B market cap, far below the 0.1% materiality threshold
  • Aflac filed a 424B5 for yen-denominated senior note offering on May 18 (9 days ago), a routine debt issuance under an existing shelf

Financial Impact

Total insider dispositions of $4.49M (0.008% of market cap) — economically trivial given Aflac's $59.5B market cap and $16.2M in insider selling over the past 30 days

insider ownershipshare count

Risk Factors

  • Japan Post Holdings may continue reducing its stake if this is a step-down in a broader divestiture program
  • Debt issuance (424B5) increases leverage modestly, but as a routine yen-denominated senior note offering under shelf, it is low risk for a AAA-rated insurer

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Accident & Health Insurance
Analyst Consensus
13% bullish (23 analysts)

Investment Themes

Traditional Finance

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 SEC document filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
CLUSTER Data (Synthetic)cluster-AFL-1779914532200
41 reports for AFL
Performance horizon
63% Hit rate 5 of 8 directional calls best @ T+60▲ +1.72%Jun 30, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for AFL — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Aug 19, 2026
6w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$116.51 $117.55▲ +0.89%▲ +2.41%$110.81 (−4.89%)
Aug 18, 2026
6w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$121.73 $117.38▼ −3.57%▼ −2.58%$110.81 (−8.97%)
Aug 17, 2026
6w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$120.98 $117.01▼ −3.28%▼ −1.76%$110.81 (−8.41%)
Aug 14, 2026
7w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$121.45 $117.01▼ −3.66%▼ −1.66%$110.81 (−8.76%)
Aug 8, 2026
7w ago
Institutional Cluster
MIXED ★ 4/10
$121.94 $115.16▼ −5.56%▼ −4.65%$110.81 (−9.13%)
Aug 6, 2026
8w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$124.61 $117.21▼ −5.94%▼ −5.54%$110.81 (−11.07%)
Jun 30, 2026
13w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$117.25 $126.56▼ −7.94%▼ −8.97%$110.81 (+5.49%)
Jun 24, 2026
14w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$117.75 $123.58▲ +4.95%▲ +3.02%$110.81 (−5.89%)
Jun 24, 2026
14w ago
S-3ASR
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$117.75 $123.58▲ +4.95%▲ +3.02%$110.81 (−5.89%)
Jun 2, 2026
17w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$113.63 $118.49▲ +4.28%▲ +5.84%$110.81 (−2.48%)
Showing 10 of 41

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Report published May 27, 2026