Insider Cluster (3 insiders) ·Filed May 20, 2026

AFL

AFLAC INC
NEUTRAL
Impact 3/10
Horizonweeks Processed4mo ago
Insider cluster: 3 insiders, $2.1M total
Actionable Insight • Neutral

This cluster is too small in dollar terms to indicate informed selling at a $60B insurer. Monitor Japan Post's continued selling pattern — but at current pace it is likely a portfolio rebalancing, not a bearish signal. No trade recommendation based on this cluster alone.

DirectionNeutral
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d ⚠ clustered
AFL ▲ +2.69% at T+60d
NEUTRAL call ✓ call won +2.69% · α vs SPY -1.61% · entry $117.81 → $120.98
Entry anchored
May 20, 2026
via day open
T+1d
+0.04%
call +0.04% · α -0.40%
$117.86
settled 4mo ago
T+5d
-4.58%
call -4.58% · α -6.42%
$112.42
settled 4mo ago
T+20d
-1.16%
call -1.16% · α -1.50%
$116.44
settled 4mo ago
T+60d
+2.69%
call +2.69% · α -1.61%
$120.98
settled 7w ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

A $2.10M insider selling cluster at Aflac involved two directors and its largest 10% owner (Japan Post Holdings). The bulk of the selling ($1.62M) came from Japan Post, which has been a steady seller over the past month. The two director sales ($471K combined) are small relative to a $60.3B market cap. The cluster follows two recent debt offerings under the shelf registration, which the calibration data identifies as an amplifier pattern, but the dollar amounts are immaterial at ~0.003% of market cap.

Key Financial Metrics

Direction
selling
Total Value
$2.1M
Insiders
3

Key Facts

  • Japan Post Holdings (10% owner) sold $1.62M in open-market sales on May 14, 15, and 18, part of a consistent selling pattern ($11.5M total over 30 days)
  • Directors Kenny and Collins sold $203K and $268K respectively — routine diversification-sized sales
  • Total cluster value of $2.10M represents ~0.003% of Aflac's $60.3B market cap — a trivial proportion
  • Two 424B5 shelf-takedown filings for yen-denominated senior notes occurred within the past 9 days, but involve debt, not equity dilution
  • No open-market purchases by any insider in the cluster

Financial Impact

Cluster value of $2.10M equals 0.003% of market cap — immaterial

insider selling volume

Risk Factors

  • Continued selling by Japan Post could pressure sentiment if it accelerates
  • Debt offering proceeds deployed in a value-destructive manner would be negative, but insiders' selling is not signaling that here

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Accident & Health Insurance
Analyst Consensus
13% bullish (23 analysts)

Investment Themes

Traditional Finance

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 SEC document filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
CLUSTER Data (Synthetic)cluster-AFL-1779318767977
41 reports for AFL
Performance horizon
63% Hit rate 5 of 8 directional calls best @ T+60▲ +1.72%Jun 30, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for AFL — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Aug 19, 2026
6w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$116.51 $117.55▲ +0.89%▲ +2.41%$110.81 (−4.89%)
Aug 18, 2026
6w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$121.73 $117.38▼ −3.57%▼ −2.58%$110.81 (−8.97%)
Aug 17, 2026
6w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$120.98 $117.01▼ −3.28%▼ −1.76%$110.81 (−8.41%)
Aug 14, 2026
7w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$121.45 $117.01▼ −3.66%▼ −1.66%$110.81 (−8.76%)
Aug 8, 2026
7w ago
Institutional Cluster
MIXED ★ 4/10
$121.94 $115.16▼ −5.56%▼ −4.65%$110.81 (−9.13%)
Aug 6, 2026
8w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$124.61 $117.21▼ −5.94%▼ −5.54%$110.81 (−11.07%)
Jun 30, 2026
13w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$117.25 $126.56▼ −7.94%▼ −8.97%$110.81 (+5.49%)
Jun 24, 2026
14w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$117.75 $123.58▲ +4.95%▲ +3.02%$110.81 (−5.89%)
Jun 24, 2026
14w ago
S-3ASR
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$117.75 $123.58▲ +4.95%▲ +3.02%$110.81 (−5.89%)
Jun 2, 2026
17w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$113.63 $118.49▲ +4.28%▲ +5.84%$110.81 (−2.48%)
Showing 10 of 41

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Report published May 20, 2026