Insider Cluster (4 insiders) ·Filed May 19, 2026

AFL

AFLAC INC
NEUTRAL
Impact 4/10
Horizonweeks Processed4mo ago
Insider cluster: 4 insiders, $3.1M total
Actionable Insight • Neutral

The selling is trivial relative to AFL's $60.4B market cap and limited to directors and one 10% owner (Japan Post). No C-suite participation. The debt offerings are routine capital management, not equity-dilutive. Monitor Japan Post's next Form 4 for a pattern of sustained reduction; if they continue selling >$10M/month, re-evaluate. Otherwise, no actionable signal for traders.

DirectionNeutral
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d ⚠ clustered
AFL ▲ +2.80% at T+60d
NEUTRAL call ✓ call won +2.80% · α vs SPY -3.49% · entry $117.80 → $121.10
Entry anchored
May 19, 09:38 AM ET
via exchange tick
T+1d
-0.49%
call -0.49% · α -1.53%
$117.22
settled 5mo ago
T+5d
-2.45%
call -2.45% · α -4.70%
$114.91
settled 4mo ago
T+20d
-1.32%
call -1.32% · α -2.31%
$116.24
settled 4mo ago
T+60d
+2.80%
call +2.80% · α -3.49%
$121.10
settled 7w ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Four insiders sold a total of $3.1M in AFL stock over 7 days, led by a 10% owner (Japan Post Holdings) unloading $2.6M in open-market sales. Two debt offerings (424B5) were filed within 14 days before this cluster, creating a cross-filing amplifier (cluster-insider-trades + cluster-offering-context). While the aggregate dollar value is trivial relative to AFL's $60.4B market cap (~0.005%), the proximity to capital markets activity and the 10% owner's reduction are notable. However, the insider-cluster literature shows cluster SELLS are not more informative than non-cluster sells, and calibration data for this impact-score level shows net negative expected alpha, so this is best scored as a low-impact neutral event.

Key Financial Metrics

Direction
selling
Total Value
$3.1M
Insiders
4

Key Facts

  • Four insiders sold shares over 7 days (May 8–15, 2026)
  • Total open-market sales: $3.1M (0.005% of $60.4B market cap)
  • Japan Post Holdings (10% owner) sold $7.88M across three trades, accounting for ~79% of cluster dollar value
  • Two 424B5 debt offerings filed within 8 days before the cluster started — proceeds for general purposes, not dilutive equity
  • No C-suite executives sold; all sellers are directors or a 10% owner
  • No open-market purchases among insiders; all trades are sells via code S

Financial Impact

$3.1M total insider sales = 0.005% of market cap

insider holdings

Risk Factors

  • Japan Post Holdings could continue reducing its 10% stake, creating a persistent overhang
  • Debt offerings indicate cash needs; if combined with a sudden operational deterioration, the risk profile changes
  • Insider selling clusters have weak predictive power for large-cap insurers — literature suggests zero abnormal return on cluster sells

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Accident & Health Insurance
Analyst Consensus
13% bullish (23 analysts)

Investment Themes

Traditional Finance

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 SEC document filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
CLUSTER Data (Synthetic)cluster-AFL-1779197975283
41 reports for AFL
Performance horizon
63% Hit rate 5 of 8 directional calls best @ T+60▲ +1.72%Jun 30, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for AFL — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Aug 19, 2026
6w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$116.51 $117.55▲ +0.89%▲ +2.41%$110.81 (−4.89%)
Aug 18, 2026
6w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$121.73 $117.38▼ −3.57%▼ −2.58%$110.81 (−8.97%)
Aug 17, 2026
6w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$120.98 $117.01▼ −3.28%▼ −1.76%$110.81 (−8.41%)
Aug 14, 2026
7w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$121.45 $117.01▼ −3.66%▼ −1.66%$110.81 (−8.76%)
Aug 8, 2026
7w ago
Institutional Cluster
MIXED ★ 4/10
$121.94 $115.16▼ −5.56%▼ −4.65%$110.81 (−9.13%)
Aug 6, 2026
8w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$124.61 $117.21▼ −5.94%▼ −5.54%$110.81 (−11.07%)
Jun 30, 2026
13w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$117.25 $126.56▼ −7.94%▼ −8.97%$110.81 (+5.49%)
Jun 24, 2026
14w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$117.75 $123.58▲ +4.95%▲ +3.02%$110.81 (−5.89%)
Jun 24, 2026
14w ago
S-3ASR
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$117.75 $123.58▲ +4.95%▲ +3.02%$110.81 (−5.89%)
Jun 2, 2026
17w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$113.63 $118.49▲ +4.28%▲ +5.84%$110.81 (−2.48%)
Showing 10 of 41

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Report published May 19, 2026