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PRESS-RELEASE ·Filed May 4, 2026

ADT

ADT Inc.
BEARISH
Impact 7/10
Horizondays Processed5mo ago WireGlobeNewswire
Press release · Offering
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

The massive secondary offering by Apollo creates significant near-term selling pressure. While ADT's concurrent repurchase provides some support, it covers only ~29% of the shares being sold. Traders should expect downward price action as the market absorbs the Apollo block. Monitor the offering pricing and any subsequent insider selling patterns.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizondays
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d ⚠ clustered
ADT ▲ +4.96% at T+60d
SHORT call ✗ call lost -4.96% · α vs SPY -3.10% · entry $7.06 → $7.41
Entry = T+0 close
May 4, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-0.71%
call +0.71% · α +1.50%
$7.01
settled 6mo ago
T+5d
-3.82%
call +3.82% · α +6.76%
$6.79
settled 6mo ago
T+20d
-4.53%
call +4.53% · α +10.18%
$6.74
settled 5mo ago
T+60d
+4.96%
call -4.96% · α -3.10%
$7.41
settled 3mo ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

ADT announced a secondary public offering of 102,000,366 shares held by Apollo Global Management, representing Apollo's full exit from its ADT stake. ADT will not receive any proceeds but intends to repurchase up to 29,142,961 shares from the underwriters under its existing $1.5 billion buyback plan. The offering creates significant overhang and potential downward pressure on the stock, partially offset by the concurrent repurchase.

Key Facts

  • Secondary offering of 102,000,366 shares by Apollo Global Management, representing Apollo's entire remaining stake
  • ADT will not receive any proceeds from the offering
  • ADT intends to repurchase up to 29,142,961 shares from underwriters as part of the offering
  • Repurchase will be funded from ADT's existing $1.5 billion share repurchase plan
  • Barclays and Citigroup are book-running managers
  • A shelf registration statement is effective; preliminary prospectus supplement filed

Financial Impact

102 million shares being sold by Apollo (approximately 11% of ADT's outstanding shares based on ~900M shares outstanding); ADT repurchasing up to 29.1 million shares (about 3.2% of outstanding) at an estimated cost of ~$200M at current prices

dilutionshare countstock price

Risk Factors

  • Apollo's full exit signals lack of confidence in ADT's near-term prospects
  • Secondary offering likely to be priced at a discount to market, pressuring stock
  • Repurchase may not fully offset selling pressure given the size disparity
  • Potential for further dilution if underwriters exercise overallotment options

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Services-Detective, Guard & Armored Car Services
Analyst Consensus
60% bullish (10 analysts)

Investment Themes

Services

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 press release from GlobeNewswire.

DocumentAccession Number
PRESS-RELEASE Data (Synthetic)press-3286521
17 reports for ADT
Performance horizon
33% Hit rate @ T+1 1 of 3 directional calls Went positive at some point 2 of 3 best @ T+60▲ +4.06%Jul 21, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for ADT — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 23, 2026
4d ago
Institutional Cluster
BULLISH ★ 4/10
$6.90 $6.88▼ −0.29%▼ −1.00%$6.88 (−0.36%)
Oct 20, 2026
7d ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$6.79 $6.80▲ +0.15%▼ −0.38%$6.88 (+1.25%)
Oct 8, 2026
19d ago
SC 13G/A
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$6.50 $6.43▼ −1.08%▼ −1.68%$6.88 (+5.77%)
Jul 30, 2026
12w ago
8-K
MIXED ★ 6/10
$7.51 $7.64▲ +1.73%▲ +1.03%$6.88 (−8.46%)
Jul 30, 2026
12w ago
Press Release
MIXED ★ 6/10
$7.51 $7.64▲ +1.73%▲ +1.03%$6.88 (−8.46%)
Jul 21, 2026
14w ago
Institutional Cluster
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$6.89 $6.90▼ −0.15%▼ −0.26%$6.88 (+0.22%)
Jul 16, 2026
14w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$7.06 $7.00▼ −0.85%▲ +0.14%$6.88 (−2.62%)
May 28, 2026
21w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$6.71 $6.74▲ +0.45%▲ +0.19%$6.88 (+2.46%)
May 18, 2026
23w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$6.87 $6.98▲ +1.60%▲ +0.56%$6.88 (+0.07%)
May 8, 2026
24w ago
DEFA14A
MIXED ★ 6/10
$6.79 $6.79· 0.00%▲ +0.14%$6.88 (+1.25%)
Showing 10 of 17

US Market Status

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Report published May 4, 2026