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Institutional Cluster

ADT

ADT Inc.
BEARISH
Impact 5/10
Horizonweeks Processed3mo ago
Institutional cluster: 1 buyers, 3 sellers (bearish)
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

The bearish cluster is notable but tempered by strong insider buying ($477K from C-suite). Monitor for additional institutional selling in Q3 13F filings and whether insider buying accelerates. The AMPLIFIER cross-filing verdict (inst-earnings + inst-offering context) suggests this cluster may have more predictive power than usual.

DirectionBearish
Confidencemedium
Horizonweeks
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d
ADT ▼ -4.06% at T+60d
SHORT call ✓ call won +4.06% · α vs SPY +8.04% · entry $6.89 → $6.61
Entry = T+0 close
Jul 21, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+0.15%
call -0.15% · α -0.26%
$6.90
settled 3mo ago
T+5d
+3.77%
call -3.77% · α -5.00%
$7.15
settled 3mo ago
T+20d
+4.79%
call -4.79% · α -2.23%
$7.22
settled 2mo ago
T+60d
-4.06%
call +4.06% · α +8.04%
$6.61
settled 13d ago

Executive Summary

A bearish institutional cluster formed in ADT during 2026-Q2, with 3 sellers trimming $1.71M in aggregate versus a single small buyer adding $206K. The selling is dominated by Wealth Enhancement Advisory Services ($1.12M trim) and Merit Financial Group ($531K trim), both asset managers. However, a strong insider confluence score of 57/100 with $477K in open-market C-suite buying partially offsets the bearish signal, suggesting insiders see value at current levels despite institutional distribution.

Key Financial Metrics

Direction
distributing
Buy Value
$321.0K
Sell Value
$1.7M
Net Flow
-$1.5M

Institutional Positions

Net institutional flow: -$1.5M

▲ Buyers (1)

InstitutionActionChangePosition ValueValue Δ
Sequoia Financial AdvisorsDOUBLED+182.5%$321.0K$206.0K

▼ Sellers (3)

InstitutionActionChangePrev ValueValue Δ
Wealth Enhancement Advisory ServicesTRIM-35.6%$3.5M-$1.1M
Farther Finance AdvisorsTRIM-74.9%$79.0K-$59.5K
Merit Financial GroupTRIM-65.5%$806.0K-$530.5K

Key Facts

  • 3 institutional sellers trimmed $1.71M aggregate vs 1 buyer added $206K
  • Wealth Enhancement Advisory Services cut 35.6% of its ADT position, reducing $3.5M to $2.4M
  • Merit Financial Group trimmed 65.5% of its stake, from $806K to $275K
  • Sequoia Financial Advisors doubled its small position (+182.5%) to $321K
  • Insider confluence score 57/100 with 5 open-market buyers including C-suite ($477K total)

Financial Impact

3 institutional sellers reduced holdings by $1.71M while 1 buyer added $206K, for net institutional outflow of ~$1.5M

institutional ownershipfloat

Risk Factors

  • Insider buying may be a contrarian signal if institutions continue selling
  • 13F data is 45+ days old; the cluster may have already been unwound
  • Small sample size: only 4 institutions total, limiting signal reliability

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Services-Detective, Guard & Armored Car Services
Analyst Consensus
60% bullish (10 analysts)

Investment Themes

Services

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 institutional 13F filing from SEC EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
INST-CLUSTER Data (Synthetic)inst-cluster-ADT-2026-Q2
17 reports for ADT
Performance horizon
67% Hit rate @ T+1 2 of 3 directional calls Went positive at some point 2 of 3 best @ T+20▲ +4.53%May 4, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for ADT — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 23, 2026
3d ago
Institutional Cluster
BULLISH ★ 4/10
$6.90 $6.88▼ −0.29%▼ −1.00%—
Oct 20, 2026
6d ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$6.79 $6.80▲ +0.15%▼ −0.38%—
Oct 8, 2026
18d ago
SC 13G/A
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$6.50 $6.43▼ −1.08%▼ −1.68%—
Jul 30, 2026
12w ago
8-K
MIXED ★ 6/10
$7.51 $7.64▲ +1.73%▲ +1.03%—
Jul 30, 2026
12w ago
Press Release
MIXED ★ 6/10
$7.51 $7.64▲ +1.73%▲ +1.03%—
Jul 21, 2026
13w ago
Institutional Cluster
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$6.89 $6.90▼ −0.15%▼ −0.26%—
Jul 16, 2026
14w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$7.06 $7.00▼ −0.85%▲ +0.14%—
May 28, 2026
21w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$6.71 $6.74▲ +0.45%▲ +0.19%—
May 18, 2026
23w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$6.87 $6.98▲ +1.60%▲ +0.56%—
May 8, 2026
24w ago
DEFA14A
MIXED ★ 6/10
$6.79 $6.79· 0.00%▲ +0.14%—
Showing 10 of 17

US Market Status

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Report published Jul 21, 2026