8-K ·Filed Jul 29, 2026

ADP

AUTOMATIC DATA PROCESSING INC
NEUTRAL
Impact 5/10
Horizondays Processed2mo ago SEC0000008670-26-000025
8-K Item 2.02: Earnings release
Actionable Insight • Neutral

The 5-6% revenue growth guidance for FY2027 signals a deceleration from the 7% reported rate, which may temper near-term sentiment. Watch the market's reaction to the margin expansion (70-90 bps) and whether the $91.1M restructuring charge signals further cost actions. The beat was modest and guidance is cautious, suggesting limited upside catalysts in the near term.

DirectionNeutral
Confidencehigh
Horizondays
Latest settled — T+20d
ADP ▲ +2.93% at T+20d
NEUTRAL call ✓ call won +2.93% · α vs SPY -2.09% · entry $273.37 → $281.39
Next anchor: T+60d in 20d
Latest observation: T+44 -15.71% FF3 residual α
Entry anchored
Jul 28, 03:59 PM ET
via exchange tick
T+1d
-3.48%
call -3.48% · α -5.15%
$263.87
settled 2mo ago
T+5d
-1.27%
call -1.27% · α -6.80%
$269.90
settled 8w ago
T+20d
+2.93%
call +2.93% · α -2.09%
$281.39
settled 5w ago
T+60d
—
call — · α —
—
in 20d

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

ADP reported Q4 FY2026 revenue of $5.47B (+7% YoY) and adjusted diluted EPS of $2.64 (+17% YoY), marginally beating consensus estimates ($2.60) by about 1.5%. Full-year revenue reached $21.9B (+7% YoY) and adjusted EPS was $11.12 (+11% YoY). The FY2027 outlook calls for revenue growth of 5-6% (decelerating from 7% actual) and adjusted EPS growth of 9-11%, reflecting cautious guidance amid a business alignment program charge of $91.1M.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
$2.64
est $2.60 · +1.5%
Revenue
$5.5B
est $5.4B · +0.6% · +7.0% YoY
Rating
in line
Guidance
5% to 6% growth
initiated
Free Cash Flow
$4.8B

Key Facts

  • Q4 FY2026 revenue $5.47B (+7% YoY to $5.12B), adjusted EPS $2.64 (beat consensus $2.60 by 1.5%)
  • Full FY2026 revenue $21.9B (+7% YoY), adjusted EPS $11.12 (+11% YoY)
  • FY2027 guidance: revenue growth 5-6%, adjusted EPS growth 9-11%, adjusted EBIT margin expansion 70-90 bps
  • Employer Services segment margin +90 bps in Q4; PEO Services margin -100 bps
  • Business alignment program charge of $91.1M in Q4 (severance $89.1M + advisory $2.0M)
  • Interest on funds held for clients +15% to $355M in Q4; average yield +20 bps to 3.5%
  • Client revenue retention flat at 92.1%; new business bookings +6% to $2.2B for fiscal year

Financial Impact

Q4 revenue $5,473.8M, net earnings $978.6M, adjusted diluted EPS $2.64 on 399.7M diluted shares

revenueearningsepsguidancesegment margins

Risk Factors

  • Decelerating revenue growth guidance (5-6% vs 7% actual) could disappoint growth expectations
  • PEO Services segment margin declining (down 100 bps in Q4) due to competitive pressures and pass-through costs
  • Client revenue retention guided lower by 10-30 bps in FY2027 vs flat in FY2026
  • Interest rate sensitivity: client funds yield projected at 3.7% vs current 3.4%, but Fed rate path is uncertain

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Services-Computer Processing & Data Preparation
Analyst Consensus
35% bullish (23 analysts)

Investment Themes

Software & IT

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 6 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0000008670-26-000025
Document: adp-20260729.htm0000008670-26-000025
Document: 0000008670-26-000025-index-headers.html0000008670-26-000025
Document: 0000008670-26-000025-index.html0000008670-26-000025
Document: 0000008670-26-000025.txt0000008670-26-000025
8-K Data (Synthetic)0000008670-26-000025
9 reports for ADP
Performance horizon

Track record builds as more directional reports settle.

Filters
Rows
Reports for ADP — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Sep 4, 2026
28d ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$277.62 $276.63▼ −0.36%▲ +0.85%$258.36 (−6.94%)
Sep 4, 2026
28d ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$277.62 $276.63▼ −0.36%▲ +0.85%$258.36 (−6.94%)
Sep 3, 2026
29d ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$283.53 $268.26▼ −5.39%▼ −4.24%$258.36 (−8.88%)
Aug 24, 2026
5w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$283.01 $286.16▲ +1.11%▲ +0.64%$258.36 (−8.71%)
Jul 29, 2026
9w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$273.37 $269.90▼ −1.27%▼ −6.80%$258.36 (−5.49%)
Jul 20, 2026
10w ago
Institutional Cluster
BULLISH ★ 4/10
$246.22 $254.98▲ +3.56%▲ +4.79%$258.36 (+4.93%)
Jun 21, 2026
14w ago
Institutional Cluster
MIXED ★ 4/10
$214.60 $223.55▲ +4.17%▲ +6.24%$258.36 (+20.39%)
Mar 30, 2026
26w ago
Court Ruling
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$205.41 $203.47▼ −0.94%▼ −5.24%$258.36 (+25.78%)
Mar 10, 2026
29w ago
Court Ruling
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$217.22 $209.63▼ −3.49%▼ −2.59%$258.36 (+18.94%)
Showing 9 of 9

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