Institutional Cluster

ADM

Archer-Daniels-Midland Co
BULLISH
Impact 6/10
Horizonweeks Processed1mo ago
Institutional cluster: 12 buyers, 4 sellers (bullish)
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

The cluster confirms strong institutional conviction following the Q2 beat and guidance raise. With 12 active managers adding and only 4 trimming, the signal is directionally aligned with the earnings catalyst. Monitor for continued accumulation and any insider buying to corroborate; the 45-day 13F lag means positions may have been adjusted since quarter-end.

DirectionBullish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+20d
ADM ▲ +5.05% at T+20d
LONG call ✓ call won +5.05% · α vs SPY +5.96% · entry $80.49 → $84.56
Next anchor: T+60d in 4w
Latest observation: T+38 +5.15% FF3 residual α
Entry anchored
Aug 7, 06:57 PM ET
via 1-min bar
T+1d
-0.04%
call -0.04% · α +0.28%
$80.46
settled 8w ago
T+5d
+0.99%
call +0.99% · α +1.04%
$81.29
settled 7w ago
T+20d
+5.05%
call +5.05% · α +5.96%
$84.56
settled 28d ago
T+60d
—
call — · α —
—
in 4w

Executive Summary

12 institutional buyers accumulated $157.6M in ADM during Q2 2026, while 4 sellers reduced holdings by $27.8M, for a net inflow of $129.8M. The cluster follows a strong Q2 earnings beat (EPS $1.84 vs $1.44 consensus, +98% YoY) and a second consecutive guidance raise, signaling institutional conviction in the earnings inflection.

Key Financial Metrics

Direction
accumulating
Buy Value
$246.1M
Sell Value
$68.8M
Net Flow
$129.8M

Institutional Positions

Net institutional flow: $129.8M

▲ Buyers (12)

InstitutionActionChangePosition ValueValue Δ
Assenagon Asset ManagementDOUBLED+725%$72.1M$63.8M
Nordea Investment Management AbDOUBLED+781.2%$39.8M$35.5M
CitigroupADD+47.4%$84.8M$30.1M
Envestnet Asset ManagementDOUBLED+356.3%$20.7M$16.4M

▼ Sellers (4)

InstitutionActionChangePrev ValueValue Δ
Ae Wealth ManagementTRIM-36.3%$34.6M-$11.4M
Td Asset ManagementTRIM-39.2%$21.1M-$7.6M
Mediolanum International FundsTRIM-60.9%$8.8M-$5.1M
Walleye TradingNEAR_EXIT-86.7%$4.3M-$3.7M

Key Facts

  • 12 buyers vs 4 sellers; net institutional buying of $129.8M
  • Largest buyer: Assenagon Asset Management DOUBLED position to $72.1M (+$63.8M, +725%)
  • Nordea Investment Management DOUBLED to $39.8M (+$35.5M, +781%)
  • Citigroup ADDED to $84.8M (+$30.1M, +47.4%)
  • Envestnet Asset Management DOUBLED to $20.7M (+$16.4M, +356%)
  • Sellers were modest: Ae Wealth Management trimmed $11.4M, TD Asset Management trimmed $7.6M
  • Cluster follows Q2 2026 earnings beat and raised FY2026 guidance (EPS $5.15-$5.60)

Financial Impact

Net institutional accumulation of $129.8M (buyers added $157.6M, sellers reduced $27.8M)

institutional ownershipnet buying volume

Risk Factors

  • Historical ADM calls have underperformed (avg T+20 -1.51%, 20% win rate)
  • 13F data is 45+ days stale; cluster may have been partially unwound
  • Analyst consensus is only 11% bullish (2 Buy, 10 Hold, 6 Sell)

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Fats & Oils
Analyst Consensus
11% bullish (19 analysts)

Investment Themes

Consumer & Retail

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 institutional 13F filing from SEC EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
INST-CLUSTER Data (Synthetic)inst-cluster-ADM-2026-Q2
7 reports for ADM
Performance horizon

Track record builds as more directional reports settle.

Filters
Rows
Reports for ADM — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Aug 12, 2026
7w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$79.73 $86.91▲ +9.01%▲ +10.90%—
Aug 9, 2026
7w ago
Institutional Cluster
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$80.49 $84.56▲ +5.05%▲ +5.96%—
Aug 4, 2026
8w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$79.87 $84.55▲ +5.86%▲ +7.10%—
Mar 26, 2026
27w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$72.23 $70.54▼ −2.34%▼ −15.08%—
Mar 13, 2026
29w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$71.98 $69.82▼ −3.00%▼ −6.59%—
Mar 13, 2026
29w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$71.98 $69.82▼ −3.00%▼ −6.59%—
Mar 10, 2026
29w ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$69.39 $71.72▼ −3.36%▼ −3.51%—
Showing 7 of 7

US Market Status

Market Open — Closes in 2h 20m

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Report published Aug 9, 2026