Insider Buy ·Filed Sep 2, 2026

ADC

AGREE REALTY CORP
BULLISH
Impact 5/10
Horizonweeks Processed29d 22h ago SEC0001528153-26-000013
Insider cluster: 1 insiders, $2.2M total
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

Initiate or accumulate a long position. Director Rakolta's $2.20M conviction buy at a weighted average price of ~$73 is a strong insider confidence signal, especially given the prior cluster's +6.80% T+20 return. Monitor for additional C-suite open-market purchases. If the stock dips below $72, use it as a tactical entry point. Stop-loss at $68 (-7%).

DirectionBullish
Confidencemedium
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+5d ⚠ clustered
ADC ▼ -2.06% at T+5d
LONG call ✗ call lost -2.06% · α vs SPY -0.91% · entry $72.73 → $71.23
Next anchor: T+20d due yesterday
Latest observation: T+19 -2.53% FF3 residual α
Entry anchored
Sep 2, 04:05 PM ET
via 1-min bar
T+1d
-0.15%
call -0.15% · α +0.23%
$72.62
settled 29d ago
T+5d
-2.06%
call -2.06% · α -0.91%
$71.23
settled 22d ago
T+20d
—
call — · α —
—
due yesterday
T+60d
—
call — · α —
—
in 8w

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Director John Rakolta Jr. purchased $2.20M of ADC shares on the open market over three days, with the largest single purchase ($1.46M) at $73.23. This is a conviction buy from a board member, totaling $2.20M or approximately 0.024% of the $9.0B market cap, which is modest in proportion but notable in absolute dollar terms and consistent with the recent insider cluster signal that generated a +6.80% T+20 return. The filing is a standalone bullish signal per Cohen/Malloy/Pomorski 2012, amplified by the proximity to the cluster event and the historical win rate of 57% with positive T+20 alpha.

Key Financial Metrics

Direction
buying
Total Value
$2.2M
Insiders
1

Key Facts

  • Director John Rakolta Jr. purchased 20,000 shares at $73.23 ($1.46M) on 2026-08-27
  • Additional purchases: 136 shares at $73.52 ($10K) on 2026-08-28, and 10,000 shares at $72.42 ($724K) on 2026-08-31
  • Total open-market purchase value: $2.20M
  • Total represents ~0.024% of ADC's $9.0B market cap
  • Filing is a single director's conviction buy, not a 10b5-1 plan
  • Past cluster signal on ADC (2026-06-08) delivered +6.80% T+20 alpha

Financial Impact

$2.20M open-market purchase by Director Rakolta

insider ownershipmarket cap

Risk Factors

  • Director buys are 2x weaker than CEO/CFO buys per Cohen/Malloy/Pomorski
  • Dollar amount is only 0.024% of market cap — must be sustained by broader insider cluster to be fully validated
  • REIT preferred-stock dynamics: limited earnings upside vs. common stock

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Real Estate Investment Trusts
Analyst Consensus
64% bullish (25 analysts)

Investment Themes

Real Estate

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 SEC document filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
INSIDER-BUY Data (Synthetic)0001528153-26-000013
10 reports for ADC
Performance horizon
67% Hit rate 2 of 3 directional calls best @ T+20▲ +5.37%Jun 8, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for ADC — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Sep 2, 2026
29d ago
Insider Buy
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$72.73 $71.23▼ −2.06%▼ −0.91%$65.83 (−9.48%)
Aug 11, 2026
7w ago
Institutional Cluster
MIXED ★ 5/10
$74.36 $74.39▲ +0.04%▲ +0.48%$65.83 (−11.46%)
Jul 2, 2026
13w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$77.81 $77.85▲ +0.05%▼ −0.88%$65.83 (−15.39%)
Jun 8, 2026
16w ago
Insider Buy
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$73.24 $74.47▲ +1.68%▼ −0.43%$65.83 (−10.11%)
May 18, 2026
19w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$75.77 $75.51▼ −0.34%▼ −1.96%$65.83 (−13.11%)
May 18, 2026
19w ago
Insider Cluster
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$75.77 $75.51▼ −0.34%▼ −1.96%$65.83 (−13.11%)
May 18, 2026
19w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$75.77 $75.51▼ −0.34%▼ −1.96%$65.83 (−13.11%)
Apr 24, 2026
22w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$17.06 $17.05▼ −0.06%▼ −0.46%$65.83 (+285.90%)
Apr 24, 2026
22w ago
424B5
MIXED ★ 6/10
$17.06 $17.05▼ −0.06%▼ −0.46%$65.83 (+285.90%)
Apr 21, 2026
23w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 8/10
$17.06 $17.04▼ −0.12%▼ −0.17%$65.83 (+285.90%)
Showing 10 of 10

US Market Status

Market Open — Closes in 48m

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