8-K ·Filed Jun 22, 2026

ACA

Arcosa, Inc.
BULLISH
Impact 8/10
Horizonmonths Processed3mo ago SEC0001739445-26-000112
8-K material event: Items 1.01
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

Arcosa stock will likely trade near the $150 deal price, with the spread reflecting time value and regulatory/approval risk. Monitor for stockholder vote timing and antitrust review progress. The absence of a financing condition reduces deal risk. Consider merger arbitrage positioning if the spread is attractive relative to the Q1 2027 expected close.

DirectionBullish
Confidencehigh
Horizonmonths
Latest settled — T+20d ⚠ clustered
ACA ▲ +0.08% at T+20d
LONG call ✓ call won +0.08% · α vs SPY +0.22% · entry $144.90 → $145.01
Next anchor: T+60d due 16d ago
Latest observation: T+58 -1.30% FF3 residual α
Entry anchored
Jun 18, 03:59 PM ET
via exchange tick
T+1d
+0.01%
call +0.01% · α +1.47%
$144.92
settled 3mo ago
T+5d
-0.28%
call -0.28% · α +1.79%
$144.50
settled 3mo ago
T+20d
+0.08%
call +0.08% · α +0.22%
$145.01
settled 2mo ago
T+60d
—
call — · α —
—
due 16d ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Arcosa (ACA) has entered into a definitive merger agreement to be acquired by CRH Americas for $150 per share in cash, representing a total enterprise value of approximately $8.5 billion. The all-cash transaction offers a 25% premium to Arcosa's 60-day VWAP and is expected to close in Q1 2027, subject to stockholder and regulatory approvals.

Key Financial Metrics

Deal Value
$8.5B
Premium
25%
Deal Type
merger

Key Facts

  • $150 per share all-cash consideration, implying a total enterprise value of approximately $8.5 billion
  • 25% premium to Arcosa's 60-day VWAP as of June 18, 2026
  • Acquisition multiple of 11.5x 2026E Adjusted EBITDA including $175 million in estimated annual run-rate cost synergies by year three
  • Arcosa's Board unanimously approved the transaction and recommends stockholders vote in favor
  • Transaction expected to close in Q1 2027; no financing condition for CRH
  • Termination fees: $260.4M payable by Arcosa under certain circumstances (e.g., superior proposal), $372.0M payable by CRH if antitrust-related conditions fail

Financial Impact

Arcosa stockholders receive $150 per share in cash, a 25% premium to the unaffected price. The $8.5B enterprise value represents a significant monetization event.

stock priceenterprise valuepremium

Risk Factors

  • Failure to obtain stockholder approval (majority of outstanding shares required)
  • Regulatory delays or prohibition under HSR Act or other antitrust laws
  • Material adverse change or breach of representations/warranties allowing termination
  • Competing superior proposal triggering termination fee

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Fabricated Structural Metal Products
Analyst Consensus
88% bullish (8 analysts)

Investment Themes

Industrials & Manufacturing

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 6 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001739445-26-000112
Exhibit: exh991-crhtoacquirearcos.htm0001739445-26-000112
Document: aca-20260621.htm0001739445-26-000112
Document: 0001739445-26-000112-index-headers.html0001739445-26-000112
Document: 0001739445-26-000112-index.html0001739445-26-000112
Document: 0001739445-26-000112.txt0001739445-26-000112
11 reports for ACA
Performance horizon
75% Hit rate 3 of 4 directional calls best @ T+20▲ +17.68%Jun 5, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for ACA — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Aug 25, 2026
5w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$145.25 $145.48▲ +0.16%▲ +0.70%$146.57 (+0.91%)
Aug 14, 2026
6w ago
Institutional Cluster
MIXED ★ 5/10
$145.01 $145.27▲ +0.18%▲ +1.37%$146.57 (+1.07%)
Aug 5, 2026
8w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$144.89 $144.96▲ +0.05%▼ −1.16%$146.57 (+1.16%)
Jun 22, 2026
14w ago
DEFA14A
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$144.92 $145.29▲ +0.26%▼ −1.54%$146.57 (+1.14%)
Jun 22, 2026
14w ago
DEFA14A
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$144.92 $144.62▼ −0.21%▼ −1.22%$146.57 (+1.14%)
Jun 22, 2026
14w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$144.92 $144.62▼ −0.21%▼ −1.22%$146.57 (+1.14%)
Jun 22, 2026
14w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 8/10
$144.90 $144.50▼ −0.28%▲ +1.79%$146.57 (+1.15%)
Jun 5, 2026
16w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$123.54 $128.44▲ +3.97%▲ +1.85%$146.57 (+18.64%)
May 18, 2026
19w ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$117.24 $126.74▲ +8.10%▲ +5.81%$146.57 (+25.01%)
Apr 8, 2026
25w ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$111.96 $110.79▼ −1.05%▼ −4.23%$146.57 (+30.91%)
Showing 10 of 11

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