Insider Cluster (2 insiders) ·Filed May 13, 2026

AAON

AAON, INC.
NEUTRAL
Impact 3/10
Horizondays Processed4mo ago
Insider cluster: 2 insiders, $4.8M total
Actionable Insight • Neutral

The insider selling is routine post-earnings profit-taking following a strong quarter and 54% YoY revenue growth. With the stock up significantly on record results and raised guidance, these sales are not a bearish signal. Monitor for any insider purchases in coming weeks, which would be a stronger signal. The $100M buyback authorization provides a floor.

DirectionNeutral
Confidencehigh
Horizondays
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d ⚠ clustered
AAON ▼ -36.26% at T+60d
NEUTRAL call ✗ call lost -36.26% · α vs SPY -39.85% · entry $140.00 → $89.24
Entry anchored
May 13, 03:59 PM ET
via exchange tick
T+1d
-3.22%
call -3.22% · α -1.99%
$135.49
settled 5mo ago
T+5d
-5.44%
call -5.44% · α -4.72%
$132.39
settled 5mo ago
T+20d
-9.15%
call -9.15% · α -8.29%
$127.19
settled 4mo ago
T+60d
-36.26%
call -36.26% · α -39.85%
$89.24
settled 8w ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

AAON insiders sold $4.81M in shares over a 7-day window, including CEO Matthew Tobolski ($1.08M open-market sale) and Director Gary Fields ($6.1M total sales across two dates). These sales occurred 8 days after AAON reported record Q1 2026 results ($496.9M revenue, +54.3% YoY) and raised full-year guidance to 40-45% growth. The insider selling is likely liquidity-driven following a strong earnings beat and stock price appreciation, not a bearish signal — the cluster represents only ~0.04% of AAON's $11.5B market cap, well below the 0.1% materiality threshold.

Key Financial Metrics

Direction
selling
Total Value
$4.8M
Insiders
2

Key Facts

  • CEO Tobolski sold 8,000 shares open-market for $1.08M on May 13, 2026
  • Director Fields sold 45,099 shares total ($6.11M) across May 12-13, including derivative exercises
  • Total cluster open-market sales: ~$7.2M (including Fields' May 13 sale), ~0.06% of $11.5B market cap
  • Sales follow record Q1 earnings (revenue +54.3% YoY, EPS $0.48 vs $0.31 consensus) and raised guidance
  • Six directors received non-cash stock grants of 1,290 shares each on May 12 — routine compensation
  • No insider purchases in the cluster — all cash transactions are sales

Financial Impact

Total insider sales of ~$7.2M represent ~0.06% of AAON's $11.5B market cap — immaterial relative to company size

insider ownershipdilution

Risk Factors

  • Insider selling may continue as executives diversify after stock appreciation
  • Backlog of $2.13B (+107%) creates execution risk — any slowdown in conversion could pressure the stock
  • Elevated valuation post-earnings rally increases sensitivity to any future guidance misses

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Air-Cond & Warm Air Heatg Equip & Comm & Indl Refrig Equip
Analyst Consensus
85% bullish (13 analysts)

Investment Themes

Industrials & Manufacturing

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 SEC document filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
CLUSTER Data (Synthetic)cluster-AAON-1778865143455
18 reports for AAON
Performance horizon

Track record builds as more directional reports settle.

Filters
Rows
Reports for AAON — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Aug 28, 2026
5w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$75.87 $79.40▲ +4.65%▲ +4.54%$84.43 (+11.28%)
Aug 13, 2026
7w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$87.67 $80.84▼ −7.79%▼ −5.83%$84.43 (−3.70%)
Aug 10, 2026
7w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$89.24 $88.09▼ −1.29%▼ −1.24%$84.43 (−5.39%)
Jul 31, 2026
9w ago
Institutional Cluster
MIXED ★ 4/10
$89.06 $94.83▲ +6.48%▲ +2.97%$84.43 (−5.20%)
Jul 30, 2026
9w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$87.59 $90.28▲ +3.07%▼ −0.55%$84.43 (−3.61%)
Jul 23, 2026
10w ago
ANALYST-UPGRADE
MIXED ★ 3/10
$107.68 $87.59▼ −18.66%▼ −19.13%$84.43 (−21.59%)
Jun 8, 2026
16w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$132.05 $131.26▼ −0.60%▼ −2.71%$84.43 (−36.06%)
Jun 5, 2026
17w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$132.62 $127.19▼ −4.09%▼ −4.66%$84.43 (−36.34%)
May 27, 2026
18w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$139.54 $143.50▲ +2.84%▲ +1.63%$84.43 (−39.49%)
May 27, 2026
18w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$139.54 $143.50▲ +2.84%▲ +1.63%$84.43 (−39.49%)
Showing 10 of 18

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Report published May 15, 2026