8-K ·Filed May 7, 2026

AAON

AAON, INC.
BULLISH
Impact 8/10
Horizondays Processed4mo ago SEC0000824142-26-000034
8-K Item 2.02: Earnings release
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

The raised guidance and record backlog signal sustained data center demand and improving operational execution. Monitor gross margin progression through 2026 as capacity utilization improves; the stock may re-rate higher on the growth acceleration.

DirectionBullish
Confidencehigh
Horizondays
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d ⚠ clustered
AAON ▼ -28.39% at T+60d
LONG call ✗ call lost -28.39% · α vs SPY -32.22% · entry $129.25 → $92.56
Entry anchored
May 7, 07:07 AM ET
via exchange tick
T+1d
+8.05%
call +8.05% · α +7.22%
$139.66
settled 5mo ago
T+5d
+4.74%
call +4.74% · α +3.23%
$135.37
settled 5mo ago
T+20d
+14.70%
call +14.70% · α +11.56%
$148.25
settled 4mo ago
T+60d
-28.39%
call -28.39% · α -32.22%
$92.56
settled 8w ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

AAON reported record Q1 2026 sales of $496.9M (+54.3% YoY) and GAAP diluted EPS of $0.48 (+37.1% YoY), significantly beating the $0.31 consensus. Backlog reached a record $2.13B (+107.4% YoY), and the company raised its full-year revenue growth guidance to 40-45% from prior 18-20%. A $100M share buyback was also authorized.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
$0.48
est $0.31 · +54.8%
Revenue
$496.9M
+54.3% YoY
Rating
strong beat
Guidance
40%-45% growth
raised
Gross Margin
25.1%

Key Facts

  • Q1 2026 net sales $496.9M, +54.3% YoY; GAAP diluted EPS $0.48, +37.1% YoY.
  • EPS of $0.48 beat consensus of $0.31 by 54.8%.
  • Record total backlog of $2.13B, up 107.4% YoY and 16.5% sequentially.
  • Raised FY2026 revenue growth guidance to 40-45% from 18-20%.
  • Board authorized $100M share repurchase program.
  • Operating cash flow improved to $34.0M, highest since Q3 2024.

Financial Impact

Strong earnings beat and raised guidance; $100M buyback represents ~1.25% of market cap.

revenueepsbacklogguidance

Risk Factors

  • Gross margin compression from capacity ramp (25.1% vs 26.8% YoY) may persist near-term.
  • Elevated debt ($425.2M revolver balance) and capex ($52.9M) strain balance sheet.
  • Tariff and raw material cost risks could impact margins.

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Air-Cond & Warm Air Heatg Equip & Comm & Indl Refrig Equip
Analyst Consensus
85% bullish (13 analysts)

Investment Themes

Industrials & Manufacturing

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 6 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0000824142-26-000034
Document: aaon-20260507.htm0000824142-26-000034
Document: 0000824142-26-000034-index-headers.html0000824142-26-000034
Document: 0000824142-26-000034-index.html0000824142-26-000034
Document: 0000824142-26-000034.txt0000824142-26-000034
8-K Data (Synthetic)0000824142-26-000034
18 reports for AAON
Performance horizon

Track record builds as more directional reports settle.

Filters
Rows
Reports for AAON — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Aug 28, 2026
5w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$75.87 $79.40▲ +4.65%▲ +4.54%$84.43 (+11.28%)
Aug 13, 2026
7w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$87.67 $80.84▼ −7.79%▼ −5.83%$84.43 (−3.70%)
Aug 10, 2026
7w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$89.24 $88.09▼ −1.29%▼ −1.24%$84.43 (−5.39%)
Jul 31, 2026
9w ago
Institutional Cluster
MIXED ★ 4/10
$89.06 $94.83▲ +6.48%▲ +2.97%$84.43 (−5.20%)
Jul 30, 2026
9w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$87.59 $90.28▲ +3.07%▼ −0.55%$84.43 (−3.61%)
Jul 23, 2026
10w ago
ANALYST-UPGRADE
MIXED ★ 3/10
$107.68 $87.59▼ −18.66%▼ −19.13%$84.43 (−21.59%)
Jun 8, 2026
16w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$132.05 $131.26▼ −0.60%▼ −2.71%$84.43 (−36.06%)
Jun 5, 2026
17w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$132.62 $127.19▼ −4.09%▼ −4.66%$84.43 (−36.34%)
May 27, 2026
18w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$139.54 $143.50▲ +2.84%▲ +1.63%$84.43 (−39.49%)
May 27, 2026
18w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$139.54 $143.50▲ +2.84%▲ +1.63%$84.43 (−39.49%)
Showing 10 of 18

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