Insider Cluster (3 insiders) ·Filed May 19, 2026

AAOI

APPLIED OPTOELECTRONICS, INC.
BEARISH
Impact 7/10
Horizondays Processed4mo ago
Insider cluster: 2 insiders, $9.2M total
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

The combination of a massive ATM filing and rapid insider sales at a steep discount to the pre-offer reference price is a strong bearish signal. Monitor for the company to begin drawing on the ATM — any announcement of share sales would likely pressure the stock further. The large equity grants just before the sales suggest insiders secured a high strike price base before taking liquidity.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizondays
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d
AAOI ▼ -9.06% at T+60d
SHORT call ✓ call won +9.06% · α vs SPY +14.07% · entry $165.26 → $150.28
Entry anchored
May 19, 06:19 PM ET
via exchange tick
T+1d
+6.99%
call -6.99% · α -6.79%
$176.81
settled 5mo ago
T+5d
+8.82%
call -8.82% · α -7.58%
$179.83
settled 4mo ago
T+20d
-2.06%
call +2.06% · α +2.80%
$161.85
settled 4mo ago
T+60d
-9.06%
call +9.06% · α +14.07%
$150.28
settled 7w ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

AAOI insiders sold $9.16M in open-market shares on May 19, 2026, just 5 days after the company filed a $600M at-the-market equity offering. The CEO and two other executives sold, following large equity grants 4 days prior. The ATM filing creates significant near-term dilution overhang (~4.3% of current market cap if fully drawn), and insider sales at a price well below the post-grant stock price suggest insiders moved quickly to capture liquidity ahead of potential dilution.

Key Financial Metrics

Direction
selling
Total Value
$9.2M
Insiders
3

Key Facts

  • $600M ATM equity distribution agreement filed May 14, 2026 (Raymond James & Needham)
  • CEO Lin Chih-Hsiang (Thompson) sold 58,000 shares for $10.05M in open market on May 19
  • Two other executives sold 52,857 shares combined for $9.16M in open market on May 19
  • CEO and two other executives received 1.09M shares in equity grants on May 15 at $0 basis
  • Tax withholding transactions on May 19 surrendered 133,016 shares for $25.3M (non-discretionary)
  • Open-market sales of $19.2M represent ~0.14% of current $13.9B market cap
  • ATM filing alone represents potential dilution of ~4.3% if fully drawn at $223.10/share reference price
  • Stock trading at ~$173 on sale dates, ~22% below the May 13 reference price of $223.10

Financial Impact

Insider open-market sales of $19.2M (0.14% of market cap) co-occurring with a $600M ATM shelf that could dilute by ~4.3% at current prices

dilutioninsider_sentiment

Risk Factors

  • ATM program allows continuous dilution at management's discretion with no volume limit per day
  • CEO and top executives have now demonstrated willingness to sell at ~$173, establishing a potential ceiling
  • Historical model calibration shows cluster + offering context has been an amplifier for negative outcomes
  • The stock has rallied +14% avg T+20 on prior neutral reports, but this filing contains fresh bearish fundamentals

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Semiconductors & Related Devices
Analyst Consensus
69% bullish (13 analysts)

Investment Themes

Semiconductors

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 SEC document filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
CLUSTER Data (Synthetic)cluster-AAOI-1779231921541
17 reports for AAOI
Performance horizon
100% Hit rate 3 of 3 directional calls best @ T+60▲ +36.68%Jun 8, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for AAOI — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Sep 10, 2026
22d ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$103.29 $98.06▼ −5.06%▼ −4.56%$115.05 (+11.39%)
Aug 12, 2026
7w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$130.08 $129.10▼ −0.75%▲ +1.21%$115.05 (−11.55%)
Aug 2, 2026
8w ago
Institutional Cluster
MIXED ★ 4/10
$110.21 $132.81▲ +20.51%▲ +18.48%$115.05 (+4.39%)
Jun 16, 2026
15w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$167.34 $146.97▼ −12.17%▼ −11.13%$115.05 (−31.25%)
Jun 16, 2026
15w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$167.34 $146.97▼ −12.17%▼ −11.13%$115.05 (−31.25%)
Jun 8, 2026
16w ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 4/10
$162.88 $191.55▼ −17.60%▼ −15.19%$115.05 (+29.37%)
Jun 8, 2026
16w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$162.88 $191.55▲ +17.60%▲ +15.19%$115.05 (−29.37%)
Jun 5, 2026
16w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$196.64 $191.55▼ −2.59%▼ −4.70%$115.05 (−41.49%)
May 19, 2026
19w ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$165.26 $179.83▼ −8.82%▼ −7.58%$115.05 (+30.38%)
May 8, 2026
21w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$148.94 $203.57▲ +36.68%▲ +35.22%$115.05 (−22.75%)
Showing 10 of 17

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Report published May 19, 2026