Insider Cluster (2 insiders) ·Filed Jul 29, 2026

AAL

American Airlines Group Inc.
BEARISH
Impact 5/10
Horizonweeks Processed2mo ago
Insider cluster: 2 insiders, $1.1M total
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

The cluster of insider sales immediately after a disastrous earnings report and $1.3B capital raise is a bearish signal. While the dollar amount is small relative to market cap, the timing and seniority (Vice Chair + SVP) suggest insiders see further downside. Monitor for additional insider sales and any further guidance cuts. The stock may face continued pressure from the earnings collapse and fuel cost headwinds.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+20d ⚠ clustered
AAL ▼ -11.08% at T+20d
SHORT call ✓ call won +11.08% · α vs SPY +15.05% · entry $15.43 → $13.72
Next anchor: T+60d in 20d
Latest observation: T+44 +12.27% FF3 residual α
Entry anchored
Jul 29, 03:59 PM ET
via exchange tick
T+1d
-1.13%
call +1.13% · α +1.79%
$15.26
settled 2mo ago
T+5d
+3.89%
call -3.89% · α -0.27%
$16.03
settled 8w ago
T+20d
-11.08%
call +11.08% · α +15.05%
$13.72
settled 5w ago
T+60d
—
call — · α —
—
in 20d

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Two American Airlines insiders sold a total of $1.06M in open-market sales over two days, following a disastrous Q2 earnings report (net income -88% YoY) and a $1.3B aircraft financing. The Vice Chair sold 90,000 shares in a three-day span, and the SVP Corporate Controller sold 39,168 shares. While the dollar amount is modest relative to the $9.8B market cap (~0.01%), the cluster of sales immediately after a severe earnings miss and capital raise is a bearish signal of insider concern about the company's deteriorating financial position.

Key Financial Metrics

Direction
selling
Total Value
$1.1M
Insiders
2

Key Facts

  • Insider cluster: 2 insiders sold $1.06M in open-market sales over 2 days
  • Vice Chair Stephen L. Johnson sold 90,000 shares across 3 transactions ($1.35M total)
  • SVP Corporate Controller Angela Owens sold 39,168 shares ($601K)
  • Sales follow Q2 earnings where GAAP net income plunged 88% to $71M on record revenue
  • Full-year adjusted EPS guidance slashed to ($0.65)-$0.65 from prior 'flat to 2025' midpoint
  • Company issued $1.3B in aircraft financing (424B5) 3 days before the cluster
  • Total sales of $1.06M represent ~0.01% of $9.8B market cap

Financial Impact

Insider sales of $1.06M represent ~0.01% of market cap; the earnings deterioration and capital raise are far more material

net_incomeepsfuel_expensedebt

Risk Factors

  • Further insider selling as more executives exit
  • Jet fuel costs remain elevated, pressuring margins
  • Debt load increases with $1.3B aircraft financing
  • Full-year EPS guidance implies potential net loss
  • Airlines are cyclical; recession risk could amplify losses

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Air Transportation, Scheduled
Analyst Consensus
53% bullish (30 analysts)

Investment Themes

Industrials & Manufacturing

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 SEC document filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
CLUSTER Data (Synthetic)cluster-AAL-1785382311482
27 reports for AAL
Performance horizon
85% Hit rate 11 of 13 directional calls best @ T+60▲ +56.15%Apr 9, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for AAL — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Aug 12, 2026
7w ago
Court Ruling
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$14.93 $12.85▼ −13.93%▼ −12.03%$12.94 (−13.33%)
Aug 5, 2026
8w ago
Court Ruling
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$16.58 $13.10▼ −21.01%▼ −20.41%$12.94 (−21.95%)
Aug 5, 2026
8w ago
Court Ruling
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$16.58 $13.10▼ −21.01%▼ −20.41%$12.94 (−21.95%)
Aug 5, 2026
8w ago
Court Ruling
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$16.58 $13.10▼ −21.01%▼ −20.41%$12.94 (−21.95%)
Aug 3, 2026
8w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$16.04 $13.43▼ −16.27%▼ −17.51%$12.94 (−19.33%)
Jul 31, 2026
8w ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$16.04 $13.43▲ +16.27%▲ +17.51%$12.94 (+19.33%)
Jul 29, 2026
9w ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$15.43 $13.72▲ +11.08%▲ +15.05%$12.94 (+16.14%)
Jul 29, 2026
9w ago
Institutional Cluster
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$14.84 $13.84▲ +6.74%▲ +11.76%$12.94 (+12.80%)
Jul 28, 2026
9w ago
Court Ruling
MIXED ★ 5/10
$15.36 $13.95▼ −9.18%▼ −12.56%$12.94 (−15.76%)
Jul 28, 2026
9w ago
Court Ruling
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$15.36 $13.95▼ −9.18%▼ −12.56%$12.94 (−15.76%)
Showing 10 of 27

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Mon (64h 59m)

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Report published Jul 30, 2026