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Bank of Canada to raise rates to 2.50% on October 28 and once again by end-March

First reported · Updated · 1 source: Reuters

What happened

A Reuters poll indicates the Bank of Canada will raise its policy rate to 2.50% on October 28 and then hike once more by end-March. This signals a continued tightening cycle ahead.

What it means for markets

The Canadian dollar is likely to strengthen as the market prices in these hikes, supporting the currency. The rate path suggests a hawkish stance, which could weigh on Canadian bonds yields. A shift in expectations would alter the outlook.

AssetExpectedMove since first report
Euro FXE Rate hikes support the currency as yields rise
▲ Up
-0.41% 103.53 (2026-10-22) → 103.11 (2026-10-30)

What to watch

  • Bank of Canada decision on October 28
  • Any change in the end-March rate forecast

Source timeline

  1. Reuters POLL Bank of Canada to raise rates to 2.50% on October 28 and once again by end-March

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