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20-F ·Filed Apr 17, 2026

ZTOEF

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc.
MIXED
Impact 5/10
Horizonmonths Processed6mo ago SEC0001104659-26-044613
Notable filing: 20-F
Actionable Insight ◆ Mixed

Monitor upcoming regulatory developments regarding VIE structures and foreign investment in China, as these could significantly impact valuation. The recent share buybacks suggest management sees value at current levels, but declining profit margins warrant caution.

DirectionMixed
Confidencehigh
Horizonmonths
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d ⚠ clustered
ZTOEF ▲ 0.00% at T+60d
NEUTRAL call 0.00% · α vs SPY -6.14% · entry $17.00 → $17.00
Entry = T+0 close
Apr 17, 2026
via day close
T+1d
0.00%
call 0.00% · α +0.19%
$17.00
settled 6mo ago
T+5d
0.00%
call 0.00% · α -0.55%
$17.00
settled 6mo ago
T+20d
0.00%
call 0.00% · α -5.37%
$17.00
settled 6mo ago
T+60d
0.00%
call 0.00% · α -6.14%
$17.00
settled 3mo ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

ZTO Express reported mixed financial results for 2025 with revenue growth but declining profitability. The company faces structural risks from its VIE structure and regulatory environment, while recent share buybacks and dividend increases signal confidence in its financial position. Cross-filing context shows active capital management through recent share repurchases.

Key Facts

  • 2025 revenue increased 10.9% to RMB49.1 billion, but net income grew only 3.9% to RMB9.2 billion
  • Adjusted net income declined 6.3% to RMB9.5 billion in 2025
  • Recent share buybacks: 25.6 million shares repurchased in March 2026
  • New $1.5 billion share repurchase program authorized in March 2026
  • 2025 dividend of $0.39 per ADS announced
  • VIE structure risk: PRC government could challenge foreign ownership restrictions

Financial Impact

Revenue growth of 10.9% but declining profit margins

revenueepsdilution

Risk Factors

  • VIE structure regulatory risk
  • Intensifying competition in express delivery sector
  • Currency exchange rate fluctuations

Market Snapshot

Exchange
OTC
Sector
Trucking & Courier Services (No Air)

Investment Themes

Industrials & Manufacturing

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 11 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
20-F Filing (Primary)0001104659-26-044613
Document: zto-20251231xex8d1.htm0001104659-26-044613
Document: zto-20251231xex12d2.htm0001104659-26-044613
Document: zto-20251231xex12d1.htm0001104659-26-044613
Document: zto-20251231xex13d2.htm0001104659-26-044613
Document: zto-20251231xex13d1.htm0001104659-26-044613
Document: zto-20251231xex15d2.htm0001104659-26-044613
Document: zto-20251231xex15d1.htm0001104659-26-044613
Document: 0001104659-26-044613-index-headers.html0001104659-26-044613
Document: 0001104659-26-044613-index.html0001104659-26-044613
Document: 0001104659-26-044613.txt0001104659-26-044613
9 reports for ZTOEF
Performance horizon

Track record builds as more directional reports settle.

Filters
Rows
Reports for ZTOEF — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Jun 8, 2026
20w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$17.00 $17.00· 0.00%▼ −3.32%$17.00 (0.00%)
Jun 2, 2026
21w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$17.00 $17.00· 0.00%▼ −1.12%$17.00 (0.00%)
May 26, 2026
22w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$17.00 $17.00· 0.00%▼ −2.72%$17.00 (0.00%)
May 20, 2026
22w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$17.00 $17.00· 0.00%▼ −5.00%$17.00 (0.00%)
Apr 24, 2026
26w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$17.00 $17.00· 0.00%▼ −5.08%$17.00 (0.00%)
Apr 17, 2026
27w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$17.00 $17.00· 0.00%▼ −6.14%$17.00 (0.00%)
Apr 17, 2026
27w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$17.00 $17.00· 0.00%▼ −6.14%$17.00 (0.00%)
Apr 17, 2026
27w ago
20-F
MIXED ★ 5/10
$17.00 $17.00· 0.00%▼ −6.14%$17.00 (0.00%)
Apr 8, 2026
28w ago
6-K
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$17.00 $17.00· 0.00%▼ −10.46%$17.00 (0.00%)
Showing 9 of 9

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Wed (< 1m)

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Report published Apr 17, 2026